Challenges and Policy Recommendations

Women and youth make up a significant portion of Tanzania’s workforce, yet they face major challenges in accessing formal employment, securing decent wages, and overcoming social and economic barriers. According to the 2025 Employment Study, women and youth account for over 60% of informal employment, highlighting the urgent need for policy interventions to improve job opportunities and workforce inclusion.

This article examines the barriers affecting women and youth in employment, presents statistical insights, and offers policy recommendations to promote greater economic participation.

Employment Status of Women and Youth in Tanzania

• 65% of women and 72% of youth are employed in the informal sector, where wages are lower and job security is minimal.
• Only 20% of women and 25% of youth have formal jobs, mainly in education, healthcare, and administrative roles.
• Unemployment among youth (33%) is nearly twice as high as the national average, highlighting the difficulty young people face in finding jobs.

Key Challenges Facing Women and Youth in Employment

1. Gender Discrimination and Societal Expectations

Women face discriminatory hiring practices, lower wages, and limited leadership opportunities.

• 29% of women cited gender-based hiring discrimination, making it harder to access high-paying jobs.
• 26% struggle with balancing work and family responsibilities, as childcare support is limited.
• 18% face financial barriers, preventing them from starting businesses or investing in skills training.

2. Limited Access to Skills Training and Education

Many young workers and women in rural areas lack technical skills, reducing their job prospects.

• 72% of formally employed women and 80% of formally employed youth have a bachelor’s degree or higher, showing that education plays a key role in accessing formal jobs.
• However, many young workers (88%) lack post-secondary education, limiting their access to structured employment.

3. High Unemployment Among Youth

Young people struggle with job market entry, as employers prefer experienced workers.

• 60% of young workers with less than one year of experience are in informal jobs, as formal employment requires prior experience.
• Only 5% of inexperienced youth find formal jobs, highlighting the need for internship and apprenticeship programs.

4. Financial and Business Challenges for Women and Youth Entrepreneurs

Many women and youth prefer self-employment, but lack financial resources to grow their businesses.

• 31% of women and youth entrepreneurs struggle to access capital for business expansion.
• 25% cite high-interest rates, making loans unaffordable.

Opportunities for Improving Women and Youth Employment

1. Expanding Technical and Vocational Training Programs

Providing job-specific skills can help women and youth access higher-paying employment.

• 37% support digital and ICT skills training, as tech-related jobs provide higher wages and flexible work opportunities.
• 32% prefer entrepreneurship training, enabling women and youth to create businesses.

2. Expanding Financial Access for Women and Youth

Providing affordable credit and microfinance services can support entrepreneurial growth.

• 38% of respondents support low-interest business loans to help young entrepreneurs grow.
• 34% prefer government-backed grants, reducing financial risks for startups.

3. Strengthening Workplace Gender Equality Policies

Companies should enforce policies that promote equal pay, leadership opportunities, and workplace safety.

• 40% job growth expected if companies enforce equal pay policies.
• 35% increase projected if workplaces offer childcare support.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

Women and youth remain marginalized in Tanzania’s labor market, facing high unemployment, financial challenges, and limited access to skills training. Addressing these barriers will create a more inclusive workforce.

Key Policy Recommendations:

1. Expand Vocational Training – Strengthen ICT, digital marketing, and entrepreneurship programs.
2. Improve Financial Access – Provide low-interest loans and microfinance for women and youth-led businesses.
3. Strengthen Job Market Entry Programs – Promote internships, apprenticeships, and mentorship programs.
4. Enhance Workplace Gender Policies – Enforce equal pay, leadership training, and flexible work arrangements.

NOTE:

The research and case studies presented in this report were conducted by Tanzania Investment and Consulting Group Limited (TICGL) to analyze employment trends, macroeconomic stability, and job creation dynamics in Tanzania. The study covered a sample size of 2,500 respondents, representing diverse economic sectors and geographic regions. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative surveys (85%), structured interviews (10%), and focus group discussions (5%) to gather both statistical data and qualitative insights. The research was conducted across six key regions: Dar es Salaam (25% of respondents), Mwanza (18%), Arusha (15%), Dodoma (14%), Mbeya (12%), and Morogoro (16%), ensuring a balance between urban and rural employment patterns.

The findings indicate that Tanzania’s workforce is 71.8% informal (25.95 million workers) and 28.2% formal (10.17 million workers), highlighting a significant divide in job security, wages, and access to social protection. Among the 2,500 surveyed individuals, formal employment accounts for 23% (550 individuals), predominantly in government (32% of formal jobs), banking and financial services (25%), manufacturing (18%), and education and healthcare (15%). On the other hand, informal employment constitutes 49% (1,170 individuals), with key sectors including agriculture (35% of informal workers), small businesses and trade (28%), transportation (15%), and casual labor (12%). The remaining 27% (650 individuals) were unemployed, with youth unemployment (ages 18–35) reaching 33%, significantly higher than the national average of 9.2%.

Employment trends indicate that formal employment is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, driven by industrialization, digital transformation, and policy reforms. However, major barriers continue to slow the transition, including limited job availability (42%), skills mismatches (26%), and bureaucratic challenges (21%). The study also found that women make up 65% of the informal workforce, primarily due to barriers in accessing formal jobs, while 72% of youth are engaged in informal employment due to limited entry-level job opportunities.

To bridge the gap between formal and informal employment, Tanzania must focus on expanding SME growth, strengthening vocational training programs, improving access to financial services for small businesses, and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for business registration. This report emphasizes the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping Tanzania’s employment landscape and highlights the role of public-private partnerships, investment in digital workforce expansion, and targeted policy interventions in creating a more structured and inclusive workforce by 2030.

Macroeconomic stability is a key driver of job creation and economic growth in Tanzania. Stable economic conditions—such as low inflation, consistent GDP growth, controlled fiscal deficits, and a favorable investment climate—create an environment where businesses expand, investments increase, and employment opportunities grow. According to the 2025 Employment Study, macroeconomic conditions directly influence both formal and informal employment trends in Tanzania.

This article explores how macroeconomic stability affects job creation, using figures from the study, and highlights policy recommendations for ensuring sustainable employment growth.

Macroeconomic Indicators and Employment Trends in Tanzania

• GDP growth has steadily increased from 5.2% in 2023 to a projected 6.0% in 2025, boosting business confidence and job creation.
• Inflation has declined, improving consumer purchasing power and reducing business costs.
• Fiscal deficits are being controlled, allowing more government spending on infrastructure and job-creating sectors.
• Unemployment is decreasing, reflecting stronger macroeconomic conditions.

How Macroeconomic Stability Affects Job Creation

1. GDP Growth and Employment Expansion

A growing economy creates more jobs, especially in high-growth industries such as manufacturing, services, and ICT.

• Manufacturing employment is projected to grow by 18%, driven by industrialization and PPP investments.
• ICT and digital economy jobs are expected to increase by 22%, supported by fintech and e-commerce growth.

2. Inflation and Wage Stability

Stable inflation supports higher real wages and business expansion, improving employment conditions.

• As inflation decreases, wages increase, improving living standards.
• Lower inflation helps businesses expand, creating more job opportunities.

3. Fiscal Policies and Government Investment in Job-Creating Sectors

Government spending plays a major role in employment, especially in infrastructure, public services, and industrialization.

• 30% increase in infrastructure investment has boosted construction jobs and industrial expansion.
• 18% increase in public service jobs, including education and healthcare employment.

4. Exchange Rate Stability and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

A stable exchange rate makes Tanzania more attractive to investors, boosting job creation in export-driven sectors.

• A stronger exchange rate has encouraged more FDI, supporting job creation in manufacturing, tourism, and agribusiness.

Challenges to Job Creation Despite Macroeconomic Stability

• 30% of respondents identified a skills gap, meaning economic growth is not fully translating into employment.
• 25% cited slow SME growth, showing that businesses still struggle despite macroeconomic improvements.

Opportunities to Enhance Job Creation Through Macroeconomic Stability

1. Expanding Vocational Training and Skills Development

Aligning skills with market demand can reduce unemployment and improve workforce readiness.

• 40% job growth expected if digital and ICT skills training is expanded.
• 30% increase in employment projected through technical education programs.

2. Strengthening SME Growth for Job Creation

Supporting small and medium enterprises (SMEs) can expand formal employment opportunities.

• 35% increase in SME jobs expected with better access to financing.

3. Enhancing Investment in Industrialization and PPPs

Boosting Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) and industrial growth can increase formal employment opportunities.

• 40% job growth expected in Special Economic Zones (SEZs), promoting manufacturing and trade.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

Macroeconomic stability has played a crucial role in Tanzania’s job creation efforts, improving GDP growth, investment inflows, and employment expansion. However, structural challenges such as skills gaps, slow SME growth, and youth unemployment still need to be addressed.

Key Policy Recommendations:

1. Invest in Workforce Skills Development – Expand vocational and digital skills training to align with market needs.
2. Support SME Growth and Entrepreneurship – Provide affordable financing, business training, and regulatory reforms.
3. Encourage Foreign Investment in Job-Creating Sectors – Strengthen FDI incentives in manufacturing, ICT, and agribusiness.
4. Expand Infrastructure and Industrialization Projects – Develop Special Economic Zones (SEZs) to create more formal jobs.
5. Ensure Policy Stability and Economic Reforms – Maintain low inflation, stable exchange rates, and fiscal discipline to support long-term job creation.

NOTE:

The research and case studies presented in this report were conducted by Tanzania Investment and Consulting Group Limited (TICGL) to analyze employment trends, macroeconomic stability, and job creation dynamics in Tanzania. The study covered a sample size of 2,500 respondents, representing diverse economic sectors and geographic regions. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative surveys (85%), structured interviews (10%), and focus group discussions (5%) to gather both statistical data and qualitative insights. The research was conducted across six key regions: Dar es Salaam (25% of respondents), Mwanza (18%), Arusha (15%), Dodoma (14%), Mbeya (12%), and Morogoro (16%), ensuring a balance between urban and rural employment patterns.

The findings indicate that Tanzania’s workforce is 71.8% informal (25.95 million workers) and 28.2% formal (10.17 million workers), highlighting a significant divide in job security, wages, and access to social protection. Among the 2,500 surveyed individuals, formal employment accounts for 23% (550 individuals), predominantly in government (32% of formal jobs), banking and financial services (25%), manufacturing (18%), and education and healthcare (15%). On the other hand, informal employment constitutes 49% (1,170 individuals), with key sectors including agriculture (35% of informal workers), small businesses and trade (28%), transportation (15%), and casual labor (12%). The remaining 27% (650 individuals) were unemployed, with youth unemployment (ages 18–35) reaching 33%, significantly higher than the national average of 9.2%.

Employment trends indicate that formal employment is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, driven by industrialization, digital transformation, and policy reforms. However, major barriers continue to slow the transition, including limited job availability (42%), skills mismatches (26%), and bureaucratic challenges (21%). The study also found that women make up 65% of the informal workforce, primarily due to barriers in accessing formal jobs, while 72% of youth are engaged in informal employment due to limited entry-level job opportunities.

To bridge the gap between formal and informal employment, Tanzania must focus on expanding SME growth, strengthening vocational training programs, improving access to financial services for small businesses, and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for business registration. This report emphasizes the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping Tanzania’s employment landscape and highlights the role of public-private partnerships, investment in digital workforce expansion, and targeted policy interventions in creating a more structured and inclusive workforce by 2030.

Digital technology is transforming Tanzania’s employment landscape by expanding job opportunities, increasing business efficiency, and driving innovation. The 2025 Employment Study found that 82% of respondents believe digitalization has significantly increased employment opportunities, particularly in sectors like e-commerce, financial services, and remote work.

This article explores how digital technology is shaping employment trends, the impact of digital platforms, and the challenges and opportunities for workers in Tanzania.

Impact of Digitalization on Employment

• 82% of respondents believe digital technology has expanded job opportunities.
• 16% reported job losses due to automation replacing traditional roles.
• Only 2% stated that digitalization had no impact, showing that technology is reshaping Tanzania’s job market.

Key Ways Digital Technology is Driving Employment Growth

1. E-Commerce and Online Businesses

The rise of online marketplaces, digital payments, and mobile banking has allowed small businesses and entrepreneurs to create new jobs.

• 35% of respondents engage in e-commerce, selling goods through platforms like Facebook and Instagram.
• 29% run businesses on social media, leveraging digital advertising to reach customers.
• 25% work in online service industries, including freelance writing, web development, and virtual assistance.

2. Mobile Money and Digital Financial Services

Mobile money services like M-Pesa and Tigo Pesa have created jobs in financial technology, agency banking, and mobile payments.

• 42% of respondents reported employment growth in mobile money services.
• 34% work in fintech startups, supporting innovations in digital banking and online payments.

3. Digital Platforms for Employment Matching

Technology has improved access to job opportunities through digital job portals and remote work platforms.

• 36% of respondents use job search platforms like BrighterMonday to find formal employment.
• 32% work remotely via global platforms like Upwork and Fiverr.

4. Digital Transformation in Traditional Sectors

Technology is improving employment opportunities in agriculture, manufacturing, and retail.

• 28% of digital jobs are in agriculture, using e-farming apps for market access.
• 22% are in manufacturing, where automation increases efficiency.
• 35% work in retail, using digital payments and online stores.

Challenges in Digital Employment Growth

Despite its benefits, digital technology also presents challenges that need to be addressed.

• 44% of respondents lack affordable internet, making online job access difficult.
• 36% identified a skills gap, meaning workers need training in digital literacy.

Opportunities for Expanding Digital Employment

1. Expanding Digital Skills Training

To bridge the skills gap, more investment is needed in technical education and IT training.

• 38% of respondents want training in ICT, coding, and data analytics.
• 35% prefer digital marketing skills, which are crucial for online business growth.

2. Promoting Digital Infrastructure Development

Expanding internet coverage and reducing data costs can improve employment access.

• 45% job growth expected if internet access becomes more affordable.
• 38% increase projected if 5G networks expand to rural areas.

3. Strengthening E-Government and Digital Policy

Simplifying online business registration and tax filing can increase formal employment.

• 40% job growth expected if business registration becomes fully digital.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

Digital technology is a major driver of employment in Tanzania, but internet access, digital literacy, and policy support are needed to maximize its impact.

Key Recommendations:

1. Expand ICT and Digital Skills Training – Invest in coding, e-commerce, and fintech skills.
2. Lower Internet and Smartphone Costs – Provide affordable data plans and digital devices.
3. Develop Digital-Friendly Policies – Simplify online business registration and tax compliance.
4. Encourage Remote Work and Digital Startups – Create incentives for tech-based employment.

NOTE:

The research and case studies presented in this report were conducted by Tanzania Investment and Consulting Group Limited (TICGL) to analyze employment trends, macroeconomic stability, and job creation dynamics in Tanzania. The study covered a sample size of 2,500 respondents, representing diverse economic sectors and geographic regions. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative surveys (85%), structured interviews (10%), and focus group discussions (5%) to gather both statistical data and qualitative insights. The research was conducted across six key regions: Dar es Salaam (25% of respondents), Mwanza (18%), Arusha (15%), Dodoma (14%), Mbeya (12%), and Morogoro (16%), ensuring a balance between urban and rural employment patterns.

The findings indicate that Tanzania’s workforce is 71.8% informal (25.95 million workers) and 28.2% formal (10.17 million workers), highlighting a significant divide in job security, wages, and access to social protection. Among the 2,500 surveyed individuals, formal employment accounts for 23% (550 individuals), predominantly in government (32% of formal jobs), banking and financial services (25%), manufacturing (18%), and education and healthcare (15%). On the other hand, informal employment constitutes 49% (1,170 individuals), with key sectors including agriculture (35% of informal workers), small businesses and trade (28%), transportation (15%), and casual labor (12%). The remaining 27% (650 individuals) were unemployed, with youth unemployment (ages 18–35) reaching 33%, significantly higher than the national average of 9.2%.

Employment trends indicate that formal employment is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, driven by industrialization, digital transformation, and policy reforms. However, major barriers continue to slow the transition, including limited job availability (42%), skills mismatches (26%), and bureaucratic challenges (21%). The study also found that women make up 65% of the informal workforce, primarily due to barriers in accessing formal jobs, while 72% of youth are engaged in informal employment due to limited entry-level job opportunities.

To bridge the gap between formal and informal employment, Tanzania must focus on expanding SME growth, strengthening vocational training programs, improving access to financial services for small businesses, and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for business registration. This report emphasizes the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping Tanzania’s employment landscape and highlights the role of public-private partnerships, investment in digital workforce expansion, and targeted policy interventions in creating a more structured and inclusive workforce by 2030.

Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) have become a key strategy for job creation and economic growth in Tanzania. By combining government support and private sector investment, PPPs help expand formal employment opportunities in key sectors such as infrastructure, manufacturing, agriculture, and digital services. According to the 2025 Employment Study, over 40% of new formal jobs in the last five years have been created through PPPs.

This article examines how PPPs contribute to formal employment growth, the challenges facing their implementation, and policy recommendations for maximizing their impact.

The Impact of PPPs on Formal Employment Growth

• 35% of formal jobs created through PPPs are in construction and infrastructure, due to large-scale public projects.
• 22% of new formal jobs are in manufacturing, where PPPs have boosted industrial production.
• 18% are in agribusiness, where PPP-funded processing plants and value chain projects have expanded employment.

How PPPs Are Expanding Formal Employment

1. Infrastructure Development and Construction Jobs

PPPs increase investments in roads, ports, energy, and urban development, creating thousands of formal jobs.

• 40% of infrastructure-related PPP jobs come from road and bridge construction projects.
• 30% are in energy projects, including hydropower and renewable energy initiatives.

2. Industrialization and Manufacturing Jobs

PPPs have boosted Tanzania’s industrialization agenda, helping to expand manufacturing jobs.

• 28% of PPP-supported manufacturing jobs are in textile and apparel production, driven by export-focused factories.
• 22% are in food processing, where PPP-funded factories are improving agricultural value chains.

3. Agriculture and Agribusiness Development

PPPs have helped modernize agriculture and expand agribusiness employment.

• 40% of new agriculture-related PPP jobs are in large-scale commercial farming, providing formal employment to rural workers.
• 35% are in agro-processing, creating jobs in food packaging, grain milling, and dairy processing.

4. Digital Economy and ICT Jobs

PPP collaborations in technology and digital services are creating new job opportunities in fintech, e-commerce, and software development.

• 35% of PPP-funded digital jobs are in e-commerce, where partnerships between telecom companies and fintech firms are driving job growth.
• 30% of formal ICT jobs are in mobile banking and digital financial services.

Challenges Facing PPPs in Employment Creation

Despite their success, PPPs in Tanzania face challenges that limit their full employment potential.

• 31% of respondents cited limited private sector funding, slowing down PPP project expansion.
• 26% of respondents identified bureaucracy as a key obstacle, delaying project approvals and implementation.
• 21% noted a skills gap, making it difficult to fill high-tech jobs in manufacturing and ICT.

Opportunities to Strengthen PPPs for Job Creation

1. Expanding PPP Investments in Emerging Sectors

By focusing on high-growth industries, PPPs can create long-term employment opportunities.

• Green energy PPPs can boost employment in solar and wind power projects.
• Digital economy PPPs can support tech startups and digital job creation.

2. Improving Skills Development and Workforce Readiness

Investing in training programs can close the skills gap and ensure local workers benefit from PPP projects.

• 40% more jobs could be created by expanding vocational training programs in PPP projects.
• 35% job growth is expected if universities partner with PPPs to train students in job-ready skills.

3. Reducing Bureaucracy and Improving Regulatory Efficiency

Streamlining PPP approvals can accelerate job creation.

• 50% more PPP projects could be launched if approval processes are shortened.
• 30% job growth is expected if business taxation for PPPs is simplified.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

PPPs have proven to be a key driver of formal employment growth in Tanzania, especially in infrastructure, manufacturing, agriculture, and ICT. However, regulatory challenges, financial limitations, and skills gaps remain barriers to maximizing their impact.

Key Policy Recommendations:

1. Increase Private Sector Funding for PPPs – Offer incentives and tax breaks for private investors in employment-generating projects.
2. Expand Vocational Training – Ensure PPP projects include skills development programs to create a skilled workforce.
3. Reduce Bureaucracy in PPP Approvals – Establish faster approval systems and streamlined regulations.
4. Strengthen Digital Economy PPPs – Encourage public-private collaborations in fintech, e-commerce, and tech startups.
5. Promote Sustainable and Green PPP Investments – Focus on renewable energy and climate-friendly infrastructure projects.

NOTE:

The research and case studies presented in this report were conducted by Tanzania Investment and Consulting Group Limited (TICGL) to analyze employment trends, macroeconomic stability, and job creation dynamics in Tanzania. The study covered a sample size of 2,500 respondents, representing diverse economic sectors and geographic regions. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative surveys (85%), structured interviews (10%), and focus group discussions (5%) to gather both statistical data and qualitative insights. The research was conducted across six key regions: Dar es Salaam (25% of respondents), Mwanza (18%), Arusha (15%), Dodoma (14%), Mbeya (12%), and Morogoro (16%), ensuring a balance between urban and rural employment patterns.

The findings indicate that Tanzania’s workforce is 71.8% informal (25.95 million workers) and 28.2% formal (10.17 million workers), highlighting a significant divide in job security, wages, and access to social protection. Among the 2,500 surveyed individuals, formal employment accounts for 23% (550 individuals), predominantly in government (32% of formal jobs), banking and financial services (25%), manufacturing (18%), and education and healthcare (15%). On the other hand, informal employment constitutes 49% (1,170 individuals), with key sectors including agriculture (35% of informal workers), small businesses and trade (28%), transportation (15%), and casual labor (12%). The remaining 27% (650 individuals) were unemployed, with youth unemployment (ages 18–35) reaching 33%, significantly higher than the national average of 9.2%.

Employment trends indicate that formal employment is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, driven by industrialization, digital transformation, and policy reforms. However, major barriers continue to slow the transition, including limited job availability (42%), skills mismatches (26%), and bureaucratic challenges (21%). The study also found that women make up 65% of the informal workforce, primarily due to barriers in accessing formal jobs, while 72% of youth are engaged in informal employment due to limited entry-level job opportunities.

To bridge the gap between formal and informal employment, Tanzania must focus on expanding SME growth, strengthening vocational training programs, improving access to financial services for small businesses, and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for business registration. This report emphasizes the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping Tanzania’s employment landscape and highlights the role of public-private partnerships, investment in digital workforce expansion, and targeted policy interventions in creating a more structured and inclusive workforce by 2030.

Barriers and Opportunities

Tanzania's workforce is predominantly informal, with 71.8% of workers engaged in unregulated jobs such as small businesses, street vending, and casual labor. Despite government efforts to formalize employment, only 28.2% of workers are formally employed. Transitioning from informal to formal employment remains a major challenge due to financial, regulatory, and skills-related barriers. This article explores the barriers preventing formalization and the opportunities that can facilitate the transition, using figures from the 2025 Employment Study.

Employment Structure in Tanzania

• 49% of the workforce is informally employed, with most working in agriculture, retail, and transportation.
• Only 23% of respondents have formal jobs, highlighting the difficulty in transitioning from informal work.
• 27% remain unemployed, signaling a gap in job creation.

Transitioning from informal to formal employment requires addressing key challenges such as business registration costs, financial access, and skill mismatches.

Barriers to Transitioning to Formal Employment

1. High Cost of Business Registration

Many informal businesses struggle with registration fees, taxation, and compliance costs.

• 21% of respondents cited business registration costs as a major obstacle.
• 16% identified high taxation, making it expensive for small businesses to formalize.
• 10% noted complex legal procedures, delaying the transition process.

2. Limited Financial Access

Small businesses and informal workers lack access to credit and financial support.

• 28% of respondents said lack of credit prevents them from formalizing.
• 20% lack collateral, making it difficult to secure business loans.

Without affordable financial services, many small businesses stay informal to avoid financial risks.

3. Skills and Education Gaps

Workers with low education levels struggle to find formal employment.

• 83% of formal workers have at least a bachelor’s degree, compared to 10% in informal jobs.
• 50% of informal workers only have a secondary education, limiting their transition options.
• Without vocational training and skills development, informal workers remain excluded from formal jobs.

4. Lack of Awareness of Formalization Benefits

Many informal workers do not understand the advantages of transitioning to formal employment.

• 54% of respondents are unaware of social security and tax incentives for formal workers.
• 35% prefer informal jobs due to their flexibility and independence.

Opportunities for Transitioning to Formal Employment

1. Government Incentives for SMEs

The government is introducing programs to support small businesses and ease registration.

• 38% of respondents support tax reductions for small businesses to encourage formalization.
• 31% want simplified business registration to reduce bureaucracy.
• 25% believe SME-friendly loan programs can help businesses transition.

2. Expansion of Vocational and Technical Training

Providing skills training can help workers qualify for higher-paying, formal jobs.

• 35% of respondents want digital skills training, which aligns with new job trends.
• 29% support entrepreneurship programs, helping small business owners formalize.

3. Digital Platforms for Business Formalization

E-commerce and digital banking allow small businesses to register and operate legally online.

• 38% of respondents believe that online registration makes formalization easier.
• 35% say mobile banking allows informal businesses to accept digital payments.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

Tanzania's informal sector remains dominant, but financial constraints, skill gaps, and regulatory burdens make formalization difficult. Addressing these barriers can unlock new job opportunities and improve economic stability.

Policy Recommendations:

1. Reduce Business Registration Costs – Introduce low-cost registration for SMEs.
2. Expand Access to Microfinance – Offer low-interest loans for informal businesses.
3. Strengthen Vocational Training Programs – Equip workers with formal job skills.
4. Promote Digital Tax and Registration Systems – Simplify online business formalization.
5. Raise Awareness on Formalization Benefits – Educate workers on social security and tax incentives.

NOTE:

The research and case studies presented in this report were conducted by Tanzania Investment and Consulting Group Limited (TICGL) to analyze employment trends, macroeconomic stability, and job creation dynamics in Tanzania. The study covered a sample size of 2,500 respondents, representing diverse economic sectors and geographic regions. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative surveys (85%), structured interviews (10%), and focus group discussions (5%) to gather both statistical data and qualitative insights. The research was conducted across six key regions: Dar es Salaam (25% of respondents), Mwanza (18%), Arusha (15%), Dodoma (14%), Mbeya (12%), and Morogoro (16%), ensuring a balance between urban and rural employment patterns.

The findings indicate that Tanzania’s workforce is 71.8% informal (25.95 million workers) and 28.2% formal (10.17 million workers), highlighting a significant divide in job security, wages, and access to social protection. Among the 2,500 surveyed individuals, formal employment accounts for 23% (550 individuals), predominantly in government (32% of formal jobs), banking and financial services (25%), manufacturing (18%), and education and healthcare (15%). On the other hand, informal employment constitutes 49% (1,170 individuals), with key sectors including agriculture (35% of informal workers), small businesses and trade (28%), transportation (15%), and casual labor (12%). The remaining 27% (650 individuals) were unemployed, with youth unemployment (ages 18–35) reaching 33%, significantly higher than the national average of 9.2%.

Employment trends indicate that formal employment is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, driven by industrialization, digital transformation, and policy reforms. However, major barriers continue to slow the transition, including limited job availability (42%), skills mismatches (26%), and bureaucratic challenges (21%). The study also found that women make up 65% of the informal workforce, primarily due to barriers in accessing formal jobs, while 72% of youth are engaged in informal employment due to limited entry-level job opportunities.

To bridge the gap between formal and informal employment, Tanzania must focus on expanding SME growth, strengthening vocational training programs, improving access to financial services for small businesses, and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for business registration. This report emphasizes the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping Tanzania’s employment landscape and highlights the role of public-private partnerships, investment in digital workforce expansion, and targeted policy interventions in creating a more structured and inclusive workforce by 2030.

A Formal vs. Informal Perspective

Tanzania’s labor market is split between formal and informal employment, with the informal sector accounting for 71.8% of the workforce. The 2025 Employment Study found that employment choices are influenced by factors such as education, work experience, financial barriers, and job security. This article presents key statistical insights into why workers choose either formal or informal employment.

Current Employment Distribution in Tanzania

A survey of 2,500 respondents revealed the following employment status:

The informal sector dominates because it offers low entry barriers and greater flexibility, while the formal sector is more structured and provides benefits like job security and social protection.

Key Factors Influencing Employment Choices

1. Education and Employment Type

Education is a major factor in determining employment choices. The study found that:

• 83% of formal employees have at least a bachelor’s degree, making higher education a strong requirement for formal jobs.
• 50% of informal workers only have secondary education, which limits their ability to access formal jobs.
• 35% of informal workers have primary-level education, often working in agriculture or small businesses.

2. Work Experience and Employment Type

Experience plays a crucial role in employment stability:

• 60% of informal workers have between 2–5 years of experience, suggesting they take temporary jobs before seeking formal employment.
• 45% of formal employees have 6–10 years of experience, showing that experience improves access to structured jobs.
• 35% of informal workers have less than one year of experience, reflecting high participation of young workers in casual labor.

3. Barriers to Formal Employment

Workers and small businesses face challenges transitioning into the formal sector:

• 42% of respondents cited limited job availability as the biggest challenge in finding formal employment.
• 26% identified skills mismatches, meaning available jobs don’t match their qualifications.
• 21% mentioned bureaucracy as a major hurdle, especially for small businesses trying to formalize.

4. Financial and Economic Factors

Many Tanzanians choose informal employment due to low capital requirements and business flexibility:

• 44% of informal workers are self-employed in small businesses, as formal employment requires more capital and regulatory compliance.
• 26% work in retail and street vending, which provides daily income without business registration costs.
• 8% are in transportation, such as bodaboda (motorcycle taxis), which requires minimal startup investment.

5. Job Security and Social Protection

Formal jobs offer social security benefits and stable wages, attracting workers seeking long-term financial security.

• 50% of respondents stated that access to social security, pensions, and health insurance was the primary motivation to seek formal jobs.
• 20% preferred formal jobs due to higher wages and stable income, compared to unpredictable informal earnings.
• 16% would transition to formal employment if business registration processes were simplified.

Conclusion and Policy Recommendations

The study reveals that education, work experience, financial barriers, and job security concerns are key factors influencing employment choices in Tanzania. While formal jobs offer stability, many workers prefer informal employment due to financial independence, ease of entry, and fewer regulatory burdens.

Policy Recommendations:

1. Expand Vocational Training – Equip workers with skills that match industry needs.
2. Simplify Business Registration – Reduce bureaucracy to encourage small businesses to formalize.
3. Improve SME Financing – Provide low-interest loans to informal entrepreneurs.
4. Raise Awareness on Social Protection – Promote pension and health insurance benefits for informal workers.

NOTE:

The research and case studies presented in this report were conducted by Tanzania Investment and Consulting Group Limited (TICGL) to analyze employment trends, macroeconomic stability, and job creation dynamics in Tanzania. The study covered a sample size of 2,500 respondents, representing diverse economic sectors and geographic regions. A mixed-methods approach was employed, integrating quantitative surveys (85%), structured interviews (10%), and focus group discussions (5%) to gather both statistical data and qualitative insights. The research was conducted across six key regions: Dar es Salaam (25% of respondents), Mwanza (18%), Arusha (15%), Dodoma (14%), Mbeya (12%), and Morogoro (16%), ensuring a balance between urban and rural employment patterns.

The findings indicate that Tanzania’s workforce is 71.8% informal (25.95 million workers) and 28.2% formal (10.17 million workers), highlighting a significant divide in job security, wages, and access to social protection. Among the 2,500 surveyed individuals, formal employment accounts for 23% (550 individuals), predominantly in government (32% of formal jobs), banking and financial services (25%), manufacturing (18%), and education and healthcare (15%). On the other hand, informal employment constitutes 49% (1,170 individuals), with key sectors including agriculture (35% of informal workers), small businesses and trade (28%), transportation (15%), and casual labor (12%). The remaining 27% (650 individuals) were unemployed, with youth unemployment (ages 18–35) reaching 33%, significantly higher than the national average of 9.2%.

Employment trends indicate that formal employment is projected to rise to 38% by 2030, driven by industrialization, digital transformation, and policy reforms. However, major barriers continue to slow the transition, including limited job availability (42%), skills mismatches (26%), and bureaucratic challenges (21%). The study also found that women make up 65% of the informal workforce, primarily due to barriers in accessing formal jobs, while 72% of youth are engaged in informal employment due to limited entry-level job opportunities.

To bridge the gap between formal and informal employment, Tanzania must focus on expanding SME growth, strengthening vocational training programs, improving access to financial services for small businesses, and reducing bureaucratic hurdles for business registration. This report emphasizes the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping Tanzania’s employment landscape and highlights the role of public-private partnerships, investment in digital workforce expansion, and targeted policy interventions in creating a more structured and inclusive workforce by 2030.

Tanzania’s Economic Growth Strengthens with Rising Credit and Financial Stability

Tanzania's economy has shown strong growth from 2021 to 2024, driven by rising domestic credit, expanding private sector lending, and increasing money supply. Domestic credit grew from 27.37 trillion TZS in 2021 to 46.82 trillion TZS in 2024 (+71%), while private sector lending increased by 72% over the same period, boosting investments and job creation. Additionally, broad money (M3) rose by 47%, and foreign currency deposits surged by 57%, reflecting greater financial confidence and economic resilience. These trends highlight Tanzania’s robust economic expansion and a strengthening financial sector.

Tanzania’s economic performance from 2021 to 2024/2025 has shown positive growth trends, primarily driven by increased credit availability, expanding money supply, and strong private sector growth. The following key indicators explain why Tanzania’s economy is performing well:

1. Strong Growth in Domestic Credit – Economic Expansion

• Domestic credit rose from 27.37 trillion TZS in 2021 to 46.82 trillion TZS in 2024, a 71% increase over four years.
• This growth suggests higher business investments, household consumption, and overall economic expansion.

2. Increased Private Sector Lending – Business Growth

• Claims on the private sector increased from 19.64 trillion TZS in 2021 to 33.76 trillion TZS in 2024, a 72% rise.
• This reflects higher business confidence, increased production, and job creation, all contributing to economic growth.

3. Rising Money Supply – Expanding Financial Sector

• Reserve Money (M0) increased from 7.91 trillion TZS in 2021 to 11.04 trillion TZS in 2024 (40% increase), ensuring liquidity in the banking sector.
• Broad Money (M2) expanded from 24.77 trillion TZS to 35.50 trillion TZS, showing more cash circulation and financial inclusion.
• Extended Broad Money (M3) grew from 32.12 trillion TZS to 47.09 trillion TZS, supporting increased lending and economic transactions.

4. Foreign Currency Deposits (FCD) Growth – Investor Confidence

• Foreign currency deposits rose from 7.35 trillion TZS in 2021 to 11.58 trillion TZS in 2024, indicating a growing trust in the banking sector.
• In 2024, foreign deposits reached 4.35 billion USD, reflecting an increase in foreign investment and trade activity.

5. Recovery of Foreign Financial Assets – Improved External Stability

• While foreign financial assets declined from 12.24 trillion TZS in 2021 to 9.66 trillion TZS in 2023, they recovered to 12.09 trillion TZS in 2024.
• This recovery suggests improved foreign exchange reserves, better trade balance management, and reduced external vulnerabilities.

6. Increased Government Borrowing for Development

• Government net claims increased from 6.50 trillion TZS in 2021 to 11.57 trillion TZS in 2024, indicating more public investment in infrastructure, education, and healthcare.
• While borrowing increased, if well-managed, it supports economic growth through capital projects that drive long-term productivity.

Conclusion – Tanzania’s Economic Strength

From 2021 to 2024, Tanzania has demonstrated consistent economic growth, supported by:
✅ 71% growth in domestic credit, fueling business expansion.
✅ 72% rise in private sector lending, boosting investments and job creation.
✅ Strong money supply growth, ensuring liquidity and financial inclusion.
✅ Increasing foreign currency deposits, reflecting confidence in the banking system.
✅ Recovery of foreign financial assets, improving economic resilience.

Table summary of Tanzania’s economic performance indicators from 2021 to 2024, showing why the economy is performing well:

Key Takeaways from the Table

✅ 71% growth in domestic credit – More loans for businesses and households, leading to higher economic activity.
✅ 72% increase in private sector lending – Boosts business expansion, investment, and job creation.
✅ Broad money (M2 & M3) increased by 43%-47% – Showing higher liquidity and financial inclusion.
✅ Foreign deposits (FCD) rose by 57%, indicating growing investor confidence in Tanzania’s economy.
✅ Foreign financial assets recovered in 2024, improving external stability.
✅ Government credit rose by 78%, signaling investment in infrastructure and development projects.

Tanzania’s financial sector has experienced steady expansion from 2021 to 2024, with domestic credit growing from 27.37 trillion TZS in 2021 to 46.82 trillion TZS in 2024, reflecting increased economic activity. Private sector lending also rose significantly, from 19.64 trillion TZS to 33.76 trillion TZS, showing business growth. Meanwhile, foreign financial assets fluctuated, declining from 12.24 trillion TZS in 2021 to 9.66 trillion TZS in 2023, before recovering to 12.09 trillion TZS in 2024. The money supply (M3) expanded from 32.12 trillion TZS in 2021 to 47.09 trillion TZS in 2024, indicating increased liquidity and banking activity. These trends highlight Tanzania’s growing financial sector, with expanding credit and liquidity supporting economic growth.

Analyzing Tanzania's monetary and financial data from January 2021 to February 2025 reveals key trends across various financial indicators:

1. Foreign Financial Assets (Net)

• 2021 average: 12,240,636 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 10,571,449 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 9,663,721 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 12,099,428 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: There was a decline in net foreign financial assets from 2021 to 2023, followed by a recovery in 2024. This fluctuation may reflect changes in foreign exchange reserves and international investment positions.​

2. Domestic Credit

• 2021 average: 27,371,154 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 34,595,463 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 41,047,502 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 46,824,755 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: Domestic credit exhibited consistent growth over the period, indicating an expansion in lending activities within the economy.​

3. Government Claims (Net)

• 2021 average: 6,501,863 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 9,562,896 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 11,603,732 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 11,576,752 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: Net claims on the government increased from 2021 to 2023, stabilizing in 2024. This suggests increased government borrowing during the initial years, possibly for developmental projects or budgetary support, followed by stabilization.​

4. Claims on Private Sector

• 2021 average: 19,643,860 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 23,815,125 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 28,528,613 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 33,759,428 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: There was a steady increase in claims on the private sector, reflecting robust credit growth. Notably, private sector credit expanded by approximately 22% in both July and August 2023, before moderating to 19.5% in September 2023, surpassing the initial projection of 16.4% for December 2023. This growth is attributed to an improved business environment and supportive monetary policies. ​

5. Reserve Money (M0)

• 2021 average: 7,913,564 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 9,103,874 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 9,922,327 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 11,049,539 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: Reserve money showed consistent growth, indicating an increase in the central bank's monetary base.​

6. Extended Broad Money (M3)

• 2021 average: 32,127,715 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 36,201,424 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 41,107,812 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 47,090,824 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: M3, which includes M2 plus foreign currency deposits, grew steadily, reflecting an overall increase in the money supply.​

7. Broad Money (M2)

• 2021 average: 24,773,941 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 28,296,534 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 32,083,035 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 35,505,154 million TZS​

Trend Analysis: M2, comprising currency in circulation and local currency deposits, also exhibited consistent growth, indicating increased liquidity in the economy.​

8. Foreign Currency Deposits (FCD)

• 2021 average: 7,353,728 million TZS​
• 2022 average: 7,904,890 million TZS​
• 2023 average: 9,024,777 million TZS​
• 2024 average: 11,585,670 million TZS​
• FCD in USD (2024 average): 4,355 million USD​

Trend Analysis: Foreign currency deposits increased annually, both in TZS and USD terms, suggesting growing confidence in foreign currency holdings.​

Key Observations:

• Consistent Growth in Domestic Credit: The steady rise in domestic credit indicates an expanding lending environment, supporting economic activities.​
• Fluctuations in Foreign Financial Assets: The decline followed by a recovery in net foreign financial assets may reflect changes in foreign exchange reserves and international investment positions.​
• Robust Private Sector Credit Expansion: The private sector experienced significant credit growth, with rates reaching approximately 22% in mid-2023, surpassing initial projections. This surge is linked to supportive monetary policies and an improved business environment. ​
• Expansion of Monetary Aggregates: The consistent growth in monetary aggregates (M0, M2, M3) indicates an increasing money supply, aligning with economic expansion.

The monetary and financial data for Tanzania from 2021 to 2024 in millions of TZS:

Tanzania's monetary and financial trends from 2021 to 2024, showing overall economic expansion with a few notable trends:

1. Domestic Credit Growth (↑)

• Domestic credit has increased consistently from 27.37 trillion TZS in 2021 to 46.82 trillion TZS in 2024.
• This suggests expanding economic activity, higher lending to businesses and households, and greater access to financial resources.

2. Foreign Financial Assets (Fluctuations)

• Declined from 12.24 trillion TZS in 2021 to 9.66 trillion TZS in 2023, before recovering to 12.09 trillion TZS in 2024.
• This suggests a temporary reduction in foreign reserves, possibly due to trade imbalances or forex interventions, followed by recovery.

3. Increased Government Borrowing (↑)

• Government net claims grew from 6.50 trillion TZS in 2021 to 11.57 trillion TZS in 2024.
• Indicates rising government debt and reliance on credit, which could be used for infrastructure projects or fiscal deficit financing.

4. Private Sector Credit Expansion (↑)

• Increased from 19.64 trillion TZS in 2021 to 33.76 trillion TZS in 2024.
• This suggests improved business confidence and investment, with private sector borrowing more to expand operations.

5. Money Supply Growth (M0, M2, M3) (↑)

• Reserve Money (M0) increased from 7.91 trillion TZS in 2021 to 11.04 trillion TZS in 2024.
• Broad Money (M2) grew from 24.77 trillion TZS in 2021 to 35.50 trillion TZS in 2024.
• Extended Broad Money (M3) increased from 32.12 trillion TZS in 2021 to 47.09 trillion TZS in 2024.
• A growing money supply indicates strong economic expansion, rising liquidity, and higher banking activities.

6. Rising Foreign Currency Deposits (FCD)

• Increased from 7.35 trillion TZS in 2021 to 11.58 trillion TZS in 2024.
• Foreign deposits in USD reached 4.35 billion in 2024, showing growing confidence in Tanzania’s financial sector from international investors.

Key Takeaways:

✅ Tanzania's economy is expanding, with increased money supply, credit, and financial activity.
✅ Private sector growth is strong, showing businesses are investing and borrowing more.
✅ Government borrowing has increased, which could either boost development or create fiscal risks.
✅ Foreign reserves saw fluctuations, indicating external financial pressures but a recovery in 2024.
✅ Liquidity is improving, supporting higher economic participation.

As of February 28, 2025, the Bank of Tanzania’s total assets grew by 3.18%, reaching TZS 26.05 trillion, up from TZS 25.24 trillion in January. This growth was driven by a 15% increase in cash reserves (TZS 6.05 trillion) and a 10.2% rise in foreign currency marketable securities (TZS 8.53 trillion). Meanwhile, equity surged by 15.3%, supported by a 16% rise in reserves (TZS 2.41 trillion). However, advances to the government declined by 17.1%, reflecting tighter monetary policy, while currency in circulation fell by 1.4%, signaling a possible shift towards digital transactions or inflation control measures.

1. Total Assets:

• Total: TZS 26.05 trillion (increased from TZS 25.24 trillion in January 2025, a 3.18% increase).
• Main Asset Components:
  • Cash & Cash Equivalent: TZS 6.05 trillion (+15% from January's TZS 5.26 trillion).
  • Foreign Currency Marketable Securities: TZS 8.53 trillion (up from TZS 7.74 trillion, +10.2%).
  • Advances to Governments: TZS 4.70 trillion (declined from TZS 5.68 trillion, -17.1%).
  • Gold Holdings: TZS 87.12 billion (up from TZS 82.18 billion, +6%).
  • Quota in IMF: TZS 1.35 trillion (increased from TZS 1.29 trillion, +4.7%).
  • Government Securities: TZS 2.00 trillion (slight decrease from TZS 2.04 trillion, -1.7%).
  • Loans & Receivables: TZS 1.01 trillion (+6.8% from TZS 946.97 billion).

2. Total Liabilities:

• Total: TZS 23.53 trillion (up from TZS 23.06 trillion, +2%).
• Major Liabilities:
  • Currency in Circulation: TZS 8.04 trillion (slight decrease from TZS 8.15 trillion, -1.4%).
  • Deposits (Banks & Non-Bank Financial Institutions): TZS 4.04 trillion (up from TZS 3.51 trillion, +14.8%).
  • Deposits (Others): TZS 2.95 trillion (down from TZS 3.10 trillion, -4.8%).
  • Foreign Currency Financial Liabilities: TZS 4.61 trillion (+1.1% from TZS 4.56 trillion).
  • IMF-related Liabilities: TZS 1.17 trillion (no change).
  • Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) Allocation: TZS 1.94 trillion (up from TZS 1.86 trillion, +4.7%).

3. Equity:

• Total: TZS 2.51 trillion (up from TZS 2.18 trillion, +15.3%).
• Breakdown:
  • Paid-up Capital: TZS 100 billion (unchanged).
  • Reserves: TZS 2.41 trillion (up from TZS 2.08 trillion, +16%).

Key Takeaways:

✅ Increase in Assets (+3.18%), driven by growth in foreign marketable securities, loans, and cash reserves.
✅ Increase in Liabilities (+2%), with a rise in bank deposits and foreign currency liabilities.
✅ Growth in Equity (+15.3%), mainly due to an increase in reserves.
⚠️ Decline in Advances to Government (-17.1%), indicating reduced central bank lending to the government.
⚠️ Slight decrease in Currency Circulation (-1.4%), potentially reflecting economic factors like lower cash demand.

Analysis of the Bank of Tanzania's Financial Position (As of 28 February 2025)

The financial statement shows key trends in Tanzania’s monetary system and economic conditions.

1. Financial Stability and Growth

✅ Total Assets Increased (+3.18%)

• The growth in total assets to TZS 26.05 trillion suggests a stronger financial position for the central bank.
• The rise in foreign currency marketable securities (+10.2%) indicates increased foreign reserves, which enhances Tanzania’s ability to manage external shocks.
• Higher cash reserves (+15%) signal stronger liquidity and better financial sector stability.

✅ Increase in Equity (+15.3%)

• A rise in reserves (+16%) suggests that the central bank has improved its capital buffer, making it more resilient against financial risks.

2. Monetary Policy Implications

⚠️ Decline in Advances to Government (-17.1%)

• A reduction in lending to the government means the Bank of Tanzania is possibly tightening its monetary policy, aiming to control inflation or reduce fiscal dependency on central bank funding.

⚠️ Decrease in Currency Circulation (-1.4%)

• A drop in money circulation could suggest:
  • Lower cash demand, possibly due to increased digital transactions.
  • Slower economic activity, as businesses and individuals hold less cash.
  • Efforts to control inflation by reducing excess liquidity in the economy.

✅ Increase in Bank Deposits (+14.8%)

• This indicates stronger banking sector liquidity, suggesting that banks have more funds available for lending to businesses and individuals, which can drive economic growth.

3. External Sector and IMF Involvement

✅ Increase in IMF Quota & Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) (+4.7%)

• Tanzania’s higher quota and SDRs mean increased access to IMF financial support if needed, enhancing the country’s external financial stability.

✅ Increase in Foreign Currency Liabilities (+1.1%)

• This could indicate external borrowing or obligations, possibly linked to foreign exchange market interventions or debt management.

4. Potential Risks & Considerations

⚠️ Reduction in Government Securities (-1.7%)

• This could signal lower investment in domestic government debt, potentially affecting fiscal financing.

⚠️ Deposits from Other Sources Dropped (-4.8%)

• A decrease in non-bank deposits might indicate lower private sector liquidity or withdrawals from certain institutional accounts.

Conclusion

✅ The Bank of Tanzania’s financial position is strong, with rising reserves, improved liquidity, and controlled government lending.
⚠️ However, the decline in cash circulation and advances to the government may indicate monetary tightening and a possible slowdown in cash-based economic activities.
💡 Recommendation: Monitor government borrowing and liquidity trends to ensure balanced growth without excessive tightening.

Tanzania’s National Development Plan for 2025/26 outlines strategic priorities to sustain economic growth, enhance infrastructure, and improve social services. With a projected GDP growth of 6.0%, the plan emphasizes industrialization, investment, agriculture, and public-private partnerships (PPP) to drive development. Key focus areas include energy expansion, transport modernization, job creation, and food security, ensuring a resilient and self-sufficient economy while preparing for Vision 2050.

Key Highlights and Figures:

1. Economic Performance (2024/2025)

• Global Economy: Growth was 3.2% in 2024 and is projected to be 3.3% in 2025. Growth is slowing due to aging populations, reduced productivity in developed countries, and geopolitical tensions.
• Regional Economy:
  • SADC: Growth declined from 5.2% in 2023 to 5.1% in 2024, expected to reach 4.1% in 2025.
  • EAC: Growth slowed from 3.9% in 2023 to 3.4% in 2024, projected to recover to 5.7% in 2025.
• Tanzania’s GDP Growth:
  • Grew by 5.6% in 2024 (Jan-Sept) vs. 5.1% in 2023.
  • Expected to grow 6.0% in 2025 and 6.1% in 2026.
• Inflation:
  • Fell to 3.1% in 2024 (vs. 3.8% in 2023).
  • Tanzania’s inflation target is 3.0%-5.0%, within EAC limits (below 8%).

2. Development Achievements (2019/20 – 2024/25)

3. Budget for 2025/26

• Total Budget: TZS 57.04 trillion
• Development Budget: TZS 19.47 trillion (34.1% of total budget)
• Sources:
  • Domestic funds: TZS 13.32 trillion
  • External funding: TZS 6.15 trillion
• Private Sector Role: Emphasizing Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) to fund development projects.

4. Key Priority Areas for 2025/26

1. Competitive and Inclusive Economy – Infrastructure (transport, ICT, energy), improving business environment.
2. Manufacturing and Services – Boosting industrial productivity.
3. Investment and Trade – Improving regulatory frameworks, tax policies.
4. Human Development – Education, health, water, land planning, youth skill development.
5. Human Capital Development – Strengthening technical and vocational training.

5. Major Government Plans

• Malaria Eradication Campaign: Government to intensify control using locally produced chemicals.
• Reduced Foreign Aid Dependence: Strengthening AIDS Trust Fund, leveraging PPP models for funding.

The plan aligns with Tanzania’s Vision 2025 and is part of the Third Five-Year National Development Plan (2021/22 – 2025/26). The government aims to complete ongoing projects while preparing for Vision 2050. The focus remains on sustaining economic growth, improving social services, and enhancing private sector involvement.

Tanzania’s National Development Plan for 2025/26, outlining the country’s economic performance, achievements, budget allocations, and strategic priorities.

1. Economic Growth & Stability

• Tanzania’s economy is growing steadily, with GDP increasing from 5.1% in 2023 to 5.6% in 2024, and projected at 6.0% in 2025.
• Inflation has remained low and stable at 3.1%, which is within the government’s target range of 3.0% - 5.0%.
• The East African Community (EAC) and SADC economies are slowing due to inflation, global debt, and geopolitical instability, but Tanzania is expected to maintain growth.

2. Development Achievements (2019 – 2024/25)

The government has made significant progress in infrastructure, energy, agriculture, health, and education:

• Electricity production increased from 1,602 MW to 3,077 MW.
• Villages connected to electricity: 8,587 → 12,318 (100% target met).
• Food security remains strong (114% in 2019 → 128% in 2024).
• Tourism has recovered, with tourist numbers growing from 1.03 million (2019) to 4.24 million (2024), boosting foreign exchange earnings.
• Irrigated agriculture expanded to 983,466 hectares, supporting food production.

3. Budget Priorities for 2025/26

• The total budget is TZS 57.04 trillion, with 34.1% (TZS 19.47 trillion) dedicated to development projects.
• Funding sources:
  • TZS 13.32 trillion from domestic revenue.
  • TZS 6.15 trillion from external financing.
• Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) will be expanded to reduce dependence on foreign aid.

4. Key Priorities for 2025/26

• Infrastructure Development: Completion of SGR railway, road networks, ports, and energy projects.
• Agriculture & Food Security: Expanding irrigation, mechanization, and agribusiness investment.
• Industrialization & Investment: Encouraging local and foreign investment in manufacturing and services.
• Health & Education:
  • Expanding public health services and strengthening malaria eradication programs.
  • Enhancing vocational and technical training to improve youth employment.

5. Future Outlook

• Tanzania is on track to maintain strong economic growth and complete Vision 2025 goals before transitioning to Vision 2050.
• Self-sufficiency in key sectors like food, energy, and healthcare will be prioritized.
• Private sector involvement will be key to funding national projects through PPPs.

Overall Message

• Tanzania is making solid progress toward economic transformation and social development.
• The government is reducing dependency on foreign aid while boosting domestic investment.
• Key focus areas in 2025/26: Economic growth, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, education, and healthcare.