Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania's Positive Government Overall Balance: Economic Implications
November 7, 2023  
Tanzania has emerged as one of the top 10 African nations with the most favorable government fiscal situation when considering the balance between government revenue and government expenditure. According to data from the IMF's Fiscal Monitor Report, Tanzania now ranks ninth among African countries with a government overall balance of -3.3 percent of GDP. The […]

Tanzania has emerged as one of the top 10 African nations with the most favorable government fiscal situation when considering the balance between government revenue and government expenditure. According to data from the IMF's Fiscal Monitor Report, Tanzania now ranks ninth among African countries with a government overall balance of -3.3 percent of GDP.

The concept of "overall government balance," as defined by the IMF, pertains to the net lending and borrowing activities of the general government. In the realm of macroeconomics, the total government balance stands as a crucial indicator of a country's fiscal health and the management of its public finances. This term typically encompasses the disparity between government revenue and government expenditure, accounting for all revenue sources and types of spending.

According to the IMF, the overall fiscal balance could signify either net lending and borrowing by the general government or the contrast between total revenue, grants, and total expenditure and net lending in certain instances.

The IMF's Fiscal Monitor Report for October comprehensively outlines the overall balance for each nation, encompassing advanced economies, emerging and developing economies, as well as low-income countries. The fiscal gross and net debt figures presented in the Fiscal Monitor are derived from official data sources and estimations made by IMF staff.

When comparing regions, Sub-Saharan African countries exhibit an average overall balance of -4.0, in contrast to Asia's -3.3 and Latin America's -1.2, particularly among low-income developing countries.

Tanzania would depend on how the government uses its fiscal surplus or reduces its fiscal deficit and how it channels the resources to support economic growth and development.

Other factors like political stability, the business environment, and global economic conditions also play a significant role in determining a country's economic advantages.

Tanzania resulting from its government's favorable overall balance. However, having a positive government overall balance or a less negative one (in Tanzania's case, -3.3 percent of GDP) can potentially lead to several economic advantages for the country:

Fiscal Stability:

Maintaining a lower budget deficit can contribute to fiscal stability. It means the government is not overspending and is managing its finances prudently, which can instill confidence in investors and lenders.

Reduced Debt Burden:

A more favorable government overall balance may help reduce the accumulation of public debt. This can free up resources for other essential public investments and services.

Lower Borrowing Costs:

Countries with better fiscal management often benefit from lower interest rates when borrowing money, reducing the cost of servicing debt.

Attracting Investment:

A stable fiscal environment can make Tanzania more attractive to both domestic and foreign investors, as it suggests a lower risk of sudden tax hikes or financial crises.

Economic Growth:

Effective public financial management can support economic growth by ensuring that government resources are allocated efficiently and effectively, promoting infrastructure development, education, and healthcare, which can have positive impacts on the overall economy.

Confidence in the Economy:

A positive government overall balance can enhance confidence in the Tanzanian economy among both citizens and international partners, leading to increased economic activity and investments.

Below are the ten African countries with the highest overall government balance in Africa.

RankCountryGovernment Overall Balance 2023 (% of GDP)
1.Chad8.3
2.Congo4.1
3.Cameroon-0.8
4.Angola-1.9
5.DRC-2.0
6.Guinea-2.3
7.Ethiopia-2.7
8.Mozambique-2.8
9.Tanzania-3.3
10.Madagascar-3.9

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