Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania's Money Supply Overview (August 2023): Changes in liquidity as represented by M1 and M3 and their potential economic implications.
November 8, 2023  
Net Foreign Assets: Bank of Tanzania: Net Domestic Assets: Domestic Claims: Securities Held by Banks: Claims on the Private Sector: Extended Broad Money (M3): Foreign Currency Deposits: Broad Money Supply (M2): Narrow Money Supply (M1): Currency in Circulation: Transferable Deposits: Tanzania's money supply and its changes over time can offer insights into the country's economic […]

Net Foreign Assets:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 3.8.
  • On 23-Sep, it increased to 4.3.
  • This represents a 12% increase over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a significant increase of 828%.

Bank of Tanzania:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 6.1.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 2.9.
  • This shows a significant decrease of 110% over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a substantial increase of 993%.

Net Domestic Assets:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 22.8.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 18.
  • This represents a 27% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a decrease of 161%.

Domestic Claims:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 17.5.
  • On 23-Sep, it increased slightly to 18.1.
  • This shows a 3% increase over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a decrease of 86%.

Securities Held by Banks:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 24.8.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 21.3.
  • This represents a 16% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 19% increase.

Claims on the Private Sector:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 21.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 19.5.
  • This represents an 8% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 13% decrease.

Extended Broad Money (M3):

  • On 22-Aug, it was 17.4.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 14.5.
  • This shows a 20% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 6% increase.

Foreign Currency Deposits:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 22.5.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 16.2.
  • This represents a 39% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 32% increase.

Broad Money Supply (M2):

  • On 22-Aug, it was 15.9.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 14.
  • This shows a 14% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 3% decrease.

Narrow Money Supply (M1):

  • On 22-Aug, it was 15.2.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 12.8.
  • This shows a 19% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 21% increase.

Currency in Circulation:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 16.3.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased significantly to 10.7.
  • This represents a 52% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 66% decrease.

Transferable Deposits:

  • On 22-Aug, it was 14.7.
  • On 23-Sep, it decreased to 13.8.
  • This shows a 7% decrease over one month.
  • Over the past year, there was a 51% increase.

Tanzania's money supply and its changes over time can offer insights into the country's economic performance:

Net Foreign Assets:

The significant increase in net foreign assets over the past year (828%) shows a substantial inflow of foreign capital, which could be positive for Tanzania's economy. However, the one-month change indicates a decrease of 12%, which may be a short-term fluctuation.

Bank of Tanzania:

The Bank of Tanzania has seen a remarkable increase in assets over the past year (993%), but it has experienced a significant decrease in assets over one month (110%). This could be due to various factors, such as changes in central bank policies or external financial conditions.

Net Domestic Assets:

A decrease of 27% in net domestic assets over one month may indicate a reduction in domestic economic activity or a change in monetary policy. The significant decrease over the past year (161%) shows a longer-term trend.

Extended Broad Money (M3):

M3, which represents the broadest measure of money supply, has decreased by 20% over one month. This could suggest reduced liquidity in the economy, which might be associated with economic challenges or changes in financial markets.

Narrow Money Supply (M1):

M1 has decreased by 19% over one month, indicating a reduction in the most liquid forms of money. This could be a sign of decreased consumer and business spending.

Currency in Circulation:

The sharp decrease of 52% in currency in circulation over one month could be related to changes in consumer behavior, monetary policies, or banking activities. This decrease could be a cause for concern if it represents a loss of confidence in the local currency.

Foreign Currency Deposits:

The 39% decrease in foreign currency deposits over one month might indicate a change in preferences for foreign currencies or a reduction in foreign exchange reserves.

Other Deposits:

The 8% decrease in other deposits over one month and the 40% decrease over the past year could be due to various factors, including changes in saving habits and financial market conditions.

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