Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania Among Africa’s Top 10 Countries with High External Debt
March 26, 2025  
Tanzania's external debt reached USD 33.91 billion in January 2025, placing it among the top 10 most indebted African countries. This marks a significant rise from USD 2.47 billion in 2011, reflecting increased borrowing for infrastructure and economic development. The central government holds 77.4% of the debt, with USD 185.4 million paid for debt servicing […]

Tanzania's external debt reached USD 33.91 billion in January 2025, placing it among the top 10 most indebted African countries. This marks a significant rise from USD 2.47 billion in 2011, reflecting increased borrowing for infrastructure and economic development. The central government holds 77.4% of the debt, with USD 185.4 million paid for debt servicing in December 2024. Despite this, Tanzania’s debt-to-GDP ratio remains at 47.2%, below the IMF’s 55% risk threshold. However, careful debt management is crucial to ensure economic stability and sustainable growth.

​As of January 2025, Tanzania's external debt stood at approximately USD 33,905.10 million, a slight decrease from USD 34,075.50 million in December 2024. This positions Tanzania among the top ten African countries with substantial external debt.​

Historical Context: Over the years, Tanzania's external debt has exhibited significant growth:​

  • December 2011: USD 2,469.70 million​
  • December 2023: USD 29,541.7 million ​
  • November 2024: USD 33,137.7 million ​
  • December 2024: USD 34,075.50 million​
  • January 2025: USD 33,905.10 million​

Composition of External Debt: The central government holds the majority of this debt, accounting for approximately 77.4% as of December 2024. The remaining portion is attributed to the private sector. ​

Debt Service and Disbursements: In December 2024, Tanzania received external loan disbursements totaling USD 376.8 million, primarily allocated to the central government. During the same period, the country serviced its external debt with payments amounting to USD 185.4 million, which included USD 111.2 million in principal repayments and USD 74.2 million in interest payments. ​

Public Debt Relative to GDP: As of November 2024, Tanzania's total public debt, encompassing both external and domestic obligations, was USD 38,243.5 million. This figure represents approximately 47.2% of the nation's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). ​

International Financial Support: In December 2024, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed a review under the Extended Credit Facility arrangement with Tanzania, resulting in an immediate disbursement of about USD 148.6 million. Additionally, the IMF approved a disbursement of approximately USD 55.9 million under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility, totaling USD 204.5 million in financial support. ​

These figures underscore Tanzania's significant external debt position within Africa, highlighting the importance of ongoing fiscal management and international financial collaborations.

Top ten African countries with high external debt based on 2025 data:

  1. South Africa – USD 176,314 million (Sep 2024)
  2. Egypt – USD 155,204 million (Sep 2024)
  3. Tunisia – TND 128,856 million (Sep 2024)
  4. Mauritius – MUR 96,713 million (Dec 2024)
  5. Angola – USD 50,260 million (Dec 2023)
  6. Nigeria – USD 42,900 million (Sep 2024)
  7. Namibia – NAD 36,036 million (Jun 2024)
  8. Tanzania – USD 33,905 million (Jan 2025)
  9. Malawi – MWK 5,887,049 million (Dec 2023)
  10. Burundi – BIF 1,873,263 million (Dec 2024)

Tanzania’s external debt and its position among African countries with significant debt levels:

1. Tanzania’s Debt Growth is Significant

  • Tanzania's external debt has increased dramatically from USD 2.47 billion in 2011 to USD 33.91 billion in January 2025.
  • This consistent rise reflects increased borrowing for infrastructure, public services, and economic projects but also raises concerns about debt sustainability.

2. Tanzania is Among Africa’s Top 10 Most Indebted Countries

  • At USD 33.91 billion, Tanzania ranks 8th in Africa for external debt.
  • While this debt level is high, it is still lower than economies like South Africa (USD 176.3B), Egypt (USD 155.2B), and Nigeria (USD 42.9B).

3. Most of Tanzania’s Debt is Public

  • 77.4% of Tanzania’s external debt is held by the central government, meaning the government is the primary borrower.
  • This suggests reliance on international loans for development, infrastructure, and fiscal needs.

4. Debt Servicing is a Major Challenge

  • In December 2024, Tanzania borrowed USD 376.8M but also had to repay USD 185.4M (including interest payments).
  • This means that a significant portion of revenues is spent on debt servicing, which could limit spending on public services.

5. IMF and International Financial Support Play a Key Role

  • The IMF provided USD 204.5M in December 2024 to support Tanzania’s financial stability.
  • This suggests Tanzania relies on international financial institutions to manage its debt obligations and sustain economic programs.

6. Tanzania’s Debt-to-GDP Ratio is Still Manageable

  • Tanzania’s total public debt (domestic + external) was USD 38.24 billion, accounting for 47.2% of GDP in November 2024.
  • While below the IMF’s 55% risk threshold, continued borrowing without sufficient economic growth could lead to debt distress.

7. Comparison with Other African Countries

  • South Africa and Egypt have the highest external debts, but their economies are larger and more diversified.
  • Nigeria has slightly higher debt than Tanzania, but its economy benefits from oil revenues.
  • Tanzania’s debt is higher than Malawi, Burundi, and Namibia, suggesting it is borrowing at a faster rate.

Final Conclusion

Tanzania's rising external debt reflects ambitious economic growth plans but also poses risks of debt distress if borrowing continues at this rate without sufficient revenue growth. Proper debt management, economic diversification, and increased exports are crucial to ensuring sustainability.

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