Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Sustainable Debt Path In Charting a Course for Tanzania's Financial Resilience and Economic Growth
January 10, 2024  
This research provided data on National Debts Development for November 2023 presents an overview of Tanzania's external and domestic debts, highlighting changes over the past month (October 2023) and the past year (November 2022): Tanzania's national debts have experienced incremental growth, both in terms of external and domestic components. While borrowing can be a tool […]

This research provided data on National Debts Development for November 2023 presents an overview of Tanzania's external and domestic debts, highlighting changes over the past month (October 2023) and the past year (November 2022):

Tanzania's national debts have experienced incremental growth, both in terms of external and domestic components. While borrowing can be a tool for financing development, policymakers need to ensure that the debt remains manageable and aligns with the country's economic objectives. A detailed analysis of the composition of debt, its purpose, and the terms of borrowing is crucial for informed decision-making regarding fiscal policies and economic development strategies.

External Debt:

As of November 2023, Tanzania's external debt stands at 68,611,976.00 USD. This reflects a 1% increase from the previous month (October 2023) and a 5% increase compared to the same period last year (November 2022). The rise in external debt may be attributed to borrowing from international sources for various development projects, infrastructure initiatives, or budgetary support.

Domestic Debt:

The domestic debt for November 2023 is recorded at 30,190,900.00 USD, indicating a 1% increase from the previous month and a more substantial 13% increase compared to the same period last year. Domestic debt often includes funds borrowed from domestic sources such as banks, financial institutions, and the central bank. The increase in domestic debt may be influenced by government borrowing to finance public expenditures.

Total Debts:

The total national debt, combining both external and domestic debts, is 98,802,876.00 USD for November 2023. This represents a 1% increase from the previous month and a 7% increase from the same period last year. The total debt figure provides a comprehensive view of the country's indebtedness, encompassing both international and domestic financial obligations.

Monthly Changes:

The 1% increase in both external and domestic debts, as well as the total debts, suggests ongoing borrowing activities or debt management strategies implemented by the government. These changes may be influenced by factors such as economic development projects, budgetary requirements, or the need to address fiscal challenges.

Year-on-Year Changes:

The 5% increase in external debt, 13% increase in domestic debt, and 7% increase in total debts over the past year indicate a growth in Tanzania's overall indebtedness. Policymakers may need to carefully assess the reasons behind these changes, considering the impact on the country's fiscal sustainability and economic development.

Tanzania's National Debts Development for November 2023 provides important insights into the country's financial landscape and borrowing trends.

Tanzania is actively managing its financial needs through a combination of external and domestic borrowing. Policymakers should continue to monitor and manage the country's debt levels carefully, ensuring that borrowed funds contribute to sustainable economic development and that the overall debt burden remains manageable over the long term.

Steady Increase in External Debt:

Tanzania's external debt has experienced a 1% increase from October 2023 to November 2023 and a 5% increase compared to November 2022. This suggests that the country is actively engaging in external borrowing, possibly to finance infrastructure projects, development initiatives, or address fiscal gaps. It's essential for policymakers to monitor the purposes and terms of external borrowing to ensure sustainable debt levels.

Growth in Domestic Debt:

The domestic debt has also shown a 1% increase from October 2023 to November 2023 and a more substantial 13% increase compared to November 2022. This points to a rise in borrowing from domestic sources, which may include financial institutions and the central bank. Policymakers should assess the reasons behind this growth, considering implications for interest payments and the overall fiscal health of the country.

Total Debt Burden:

The total national debt, combining external and domestic debts, has increased by 1% from October 2023 to November 2023 and by 7% compared to November 2022. The growth in total debts highlights the cumulative effect of both international and domestic borrowing. Policymakers need to carefully manage the total debt burden to avoid potential risks to fiscal sustainability.

Monthly and Yearly Changes:

The monthly changes indicate ongoing borrowing activities or debt management strategies. The 1% increase in one month may be a reflection of short-term financial needs or planned borrowings. The yearly changes reveal a consistent upward trend, emphasizing the importance of monitoring the trajectory of debt accumulation over a more extended period.

Strategic Debt Management:

While borrowing is a common practice for financing development, policymakers should ensure that the debt is used strategically and that the borrowed funds contribute to sustainable economic growth. A clear understanding of the purpose, terms, and impact of the debt is crucial for effective debt management.

Potential Fiscal and Economic Implications:

The data prompts policymakers to consider the potential fiscal and economic implications of increased indebtedness. It's important to strike a balance between leveraging debt for development and maintaining a sustainable fiscal position to avoid potential challenges in debt servicing and overall economic stability.

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