Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Is TRA Ready to Finance Tanzania’s Future Economy Without Dependence on External Foreign Aid and Loans?
April 5, 2025  
In just nine months of the 2024/25 fiscal year, the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) has collected TZS 24.05 trillion, marking a 17% increase compared to TZS 20.55 trillion collected during the same period in 2023/24. With projections showing total annual collections could exceed TZS 32 trillion, TRA’s performance now rivals the country’s reliance on external […]

In just nine months of the 2024/25 fiscal year, the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) has collected TZS 24.05 trillion, marking a 17% increase compared to TZS 20.55 trillion collected during the same period in 2023/24. With projections showing total annual collections could exceed TZS 32 trillion, TRA’s performance now rivals the country’s reliance on external development financing — which typically stands at TZS 7–8 trillion annually from loans and grants. This growth signals that domestic revenue can progressively become a sustainable source for financing development projects, reducing dependence on foreign aid.

Revenue Collection Performance – January to March 2025 (Q3, FY 2024/25)

  • Collected: TZS 7.53 trillion
  • Target: TZS 7.43 trillion
  • Performance: 101.32% of the target
  • Growth: 13.47% compared to the same period in FY 2023/24 (which had TZS 6.63 trillion collected)

TRA exceeded the target by TZS 0.10 trillion (100 billion).

Cumulative Revenue – July 2024 to March 2025 (First 9 months)

  • Collected: TZS 24.05 trillion
  • Target: TZS 23.21 trillion
  • Performance: 103.62%
  • Growth: 17.01% compared to the same period in FY 2023/24 (TZS 20.55 trillion)

This is the highest ever 9-month collection in TRA’s history.

Historical Growth Comparison

  • FY 2020/21 (Same period): TZS 13.59 trillion
  • FY 2024/25 (Current period): TZS 24.05 trillion
  • Growth in 4 years: 77% increase

This highlights the impact of reforms since President Samia Suluhu Hassan assumed office.

Key Drivers of Improved Revenue Collection

1. Leadership Directives

  • Implementation of President Samia’s instructions to improve voluntary tax compliance.

2. Internal Improvements at TRA

  • Improved staff discipline and innovation.
  • Engagement with business communities and tax education.
  • Deployment of the enhanced Customs Management System (TANCIS) in January 2025.
  • Better enforcement of Electronic Fiscal Devices (EFDs).
  • Weekend services at TRA offices (Saturday & Sunday).
  • Weekly “Taxpayer Listening Day” (every Thursday).

3. Government Reforms and Environment

  • Port services improvement led to increased imports/exports.
  • Enhanced relations with investors.
  • Rise in the number of Authorized Economic Operators (AEOs).

Focus for April – June 2025 (Q4)

  • Finalization of IDRAS (Domestic Revenue System) by June 2025.
  • Intensified tax education campaigns.
  • Enforcement of electronic receipt issuance.
  • Fair and equitable taxation (no favoritism).
  • Collaboration with the Presidential Tax Review Taskforce.
  • Strengthening audit and investigation units to fight tax evasion.

Tanzania’s revenue performance and how the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) has improved in collecting taxes.

1. Strong Revenue Growth

  • TRA collected TZS 24.05 trillion from July 2024 to March 2025.
  • This is TZS 3.5 trillion more than the same period last year.
  • It shows a 17% increase, which is a sign of strong economic activity and better tax compliance.

TRA is not only meeting but exceeding its targets.

2. Better Efficiency and Reforms Are Working

  • TRA’s systems like TANCIS and EFD enforcement are helping track and collect taxes better.
  • Opening offices on weekends and listening to taxpayers every Thursday builds trust and accessibility.

It shows that management reforms are paying off.

3. Business and Government Relationship is Improving

  • The number of registered businesses and investors is going up.
  • TRA is working more closely with them instead of just punishing—a shift from fear to collaboration.

4. Taxpayer Engagement is Crucial

  • TRA is thanking taxpayers and encouraging patriotism.
  • This signals that voluntary compliance is improving—people are paying taxes because they trust the system more.

5. Tanzania is Building a Stronger Economy

  • A 77% growth in 4 years (from TZS 13.6T in 2020/21 to TZS 24.05T now) tells us:
    • There’s real momentum.
    • The government's focus on transparency, digital systems, and service delivery is helping.

🔑 In Simple Terms:

This report shows that Tanzania is collecting more tax than ever before, because:

  • People are paying more willingly.
  • TRA is doing a better job.
  • The government is creating a good business environment.

Key Revenue Collection Figures – TRA Report (March 2025)

DescriptionAmount (TZS Trillion)Performance / %Remarks
Q3 Revenue (Jan–Mar 2025)7.53101.32%Target was TZS 7.43T
Q3 Revenue (Jan–Mar 2024)6.63Growth of 13.47% YoY
Revenue (Jul 2024–Mar 2025) (9 months)24.05103.62%Target was TZS 23.21T
Revenue (Jul 2023–Mar 2024) (9 months)20.55Growth of 17.01% YoY
Revenue (Jul 2020–Mar 2021) (4 years ago)13.5977% increase over 4 years
Exceeded Q3 Target By0.10Equivalent to TZS 100 billion
System ImprovementsTANCIS (Customs), IDRAS (Domestic), EFD enforcement
Extra Service HoursWeekends + Thursday “Taxpayer Listening Day”

Could Tax Collections Alone Power Tanzania’s Development Projects?

Current Performance Shows Great Potential

From this report:

  • TRA collected TZS 24.05 trillion in 9 months (July 2024 – March 2025).
  • If this trend continues, TRA could collect over TZS 32 trillion by June 2025.

🧮 Estimation: If Q4 (Apr–Jun) brings another ~TZS 8 trillion → Annual Total = 24.05T + ~8T = ~TZS 32T

📉 Tanzania’s 2023/24 Budget Financing Gap (Aid + Loans)

According to past budgets:

  • In 2023/24, Tanzania expected about TZS 7.26 trillion from concessional loans and grants.
  • Out of a total budget of TZS 44.4 trillion, external financing accounted for ~16.4%.

🧾 So the financing gap Tanzania usually covers with aid/loans = ~TZS 7.2–8 trillion per year

🧠 What This Means

TRA already:

  • Collected TZS 24.05T in just 9 months.
  • Could reach TZS 32T annually soon.

If TRA can sustain and increase revenue growth:

  • It can cover the same amount (or more) than what Tanzania receives from foreign aid and concessional loans.
  • Example: TRA exceeding annual revenue by even just 10% = ~TZS 3T extra — halfway to the aid/loan gap.

📌 Key Considerations

FactorImpact
📈 Continued Revenue GrowthWith 17% YoY growth, TRA could reach TZS 40T+ annually in the next 2–3 years
💸 Domestic Funding StabilityReduces reliance on external conditions tied to aid or loan agreements
🛠️ Improved Project OwnershipLocal funding = more control and sustainability of development projects
💬 Taxpayer Trust & Voluntary ComplianceMust increase to keep revenue growing sustainably
⚠️ Risk: Economic SlowdownsTax collections may dip if business activity slows

Conclusion

Yes, TRA has the potential to replace or reduce Tanzania’s dependence on aid and loans, especially if:

  • The current growth trend continues (13%–17% yearly),
  • Reforms in tax systems and transparency are sustained,
  • The government continues creating a good business and investment climate.

If Tanzania can fully fund development through its own taxes, it becomes more independent and self-reliant.

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