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Expert Insights: Your Compass for Tanzania's Economic Landscape

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Bei ya Ushindani ya Umeme Nchini Tanzania

Bei ya umeme nchini Tanzania, kwa TZS 356.32 kwa kila kWh, inaifanya kuwa chaguo nafuu katika Afrika Mashariki, ikilinganisha gharama na maendeleo ya miundombinu. Ni nafuu zaidi kuliko Uganda, Rwanda, na Kenya, lakini juu kuliko Ethiopia na Sudan ambazo zinapata ruzuku kubwa kutoka serikalini. Bei hii inasaidia ukuaji wa viwanda na uwekezaji huku ikihakikisha upanuzi endelevu wa sekta ya nishati. Ushindani huu, ukichangiwa na maboresho endelevu, unaiimarisha Tanzania kama kitovu cha viwanda vinavyotumia nishati nyingi katika kanda.

1. Bei ya Umeme Nchini Tanzania ni ya Wastani

  • Kwa TZS 356.32 kwa kila kWh, bei ya umeme wa Tanzania iko katika kiwango cha kati:
    • Nafuu kuliko Uganda, Rwanda, na Kenya, hivyo inawavutia kaya na viwanda katika eneo hilo.
    • Juu kuliko Ethiopia na Sudan, ambazo zinanufaika na ruzuku au gharama za chini za uzalishaji.

2. Ushindani wa Kikanda

  • Tanzania imejipanga vyema kwa shughuli za viwanda na uchumi ikilinganishwa na majirani kama Kenya (TZS 4,843.30 kwa kila kWh) kutokana na bei nafuu ya umeme.
  • Hata hivyo, inaweza kushindana na nchi kama Ethiopia (TZS 651.02) na Sudan (TZS 1,020.43), ambazo bei zao za chini sana zinaweza kuvutia viwanda vinavyotumia nishati nyingi.

3. Uwiano Kati ya Gharama na Miundombinu

  • Bei inaonyesha miundombinu inayoendelea ya Tanzania na utegemezi kwenye vyanzo mbalimbali vya nishati kama umeme wa maji, gesi asilia, na nishati jadidifu.
  • Ingawa bei sio ya chini kabisa, inatoa usawa unaowezesha uwekezaji endelevu katika miundombinu ya nishati.

4. Fursa za Uwekezaji

  • Bei ya ushindani inafanya Tanzania kuwa kivutio kwa:
    • Viwanda vinavyotumia nishati nyingi kama viwanda vya uzalishaji na uchimbaji madini.
    • Usafirishaji wa umeme kwenda nchi jirani zenye bei ya juu kama Kenya na Rwanda, ikiwa uwezo wa uzalishaji utaongezeka.

5. Changamoto za Upatikanaji wa Umeme kwa Wote

  • Ingawa bei ni ya wastani, Tanzania lazima ihakikishe:
    • Ugavi wa uhakika, kwani kukatika kwa umeme na tofauti za upatikanaji bado ni changamoto vijijini.
    • Juhudi za kuendelea kupanua mtandao wa usambazaji na kuboresha ufanisi bila kuwabebesha watumiaji mzigo mkubwa.

6. Tanzania Katika Muktadha wa Afrika

  • Ikilinganishwa na DR Congo (TZS 1,273.58) au Afrika Kusini (TZS 4,124.81):
    • Tanzania inatoa huduma ya kuaminika zaidi kuliko DR Congo, licha ya kuwa na bei ya juu kidogo.
    • Bado ni nafuu kuliko Afrika Kusini, ikitoa faida ya ushindani katika kuvutia biashara.

Hitimisho Muhimu

  1. Bei ya wastani ya umeme nchini Tanzania inatoa uwiano kati ya gharama nafuu na mahitaji ya maendeleo.
  2. Nchi ina ushindani wa kikanda, hasa ikilinganishwa na majirani wa Afrika Mashariki.
  3. Kuna nafasi ya kuboresha uhakika wa ugavi, upatikanaji, na ufanisi wa gharama ili kukuza uchumi zaidi.

Bei ya Umeme Nchini Tanzania (Machi 2024)

Bei ya umeme nchini Tanzania ni TZS 356.32 kwa kila kWh

  • Iko katika kiwango cha kati duniani.
  • Juu kidogo kuliko baadhi ya nchi jirani za Afrika Mashariki, lakini chini ya wastani wa kimataifa na wengi wa nchi za Afrika.

Ulinganisho na Nchi za Afrika Mashariki

NchiBei ya kWh (TZS)Maelezo
EthiopiaTZS 6.51Bei mojawapo ya chini duniani, inadhihirisha ruzuku kubwa ya serikali.
SudanTZS 13.02Bei ya chini kutokana na ruzuku na utegemezi wa mafuta.
ZambiaTZS 43.57Bei ya chini kidogo, inategemea nishati ya maji.
UgandaTZS 10,261.47Bei kubwa ikilinganishwa na Tanzania, licha ya utegemezi wa nishati ya maji.
RwandaTZS 10,467.81Bei kubwa inatokana na mtandao mdogo wa nishati na utegemezi wa mizinga.
KenyaTZS 15,560.93Bei ya juu zaidi Afrika Mashariki, inahusiana na gharama za nishati ya joto la ardhi na nishati jadidifu.

Maelezo Muhimu:

  • Bei ya umeme nchini Tanzania ni nafuu zaidi kuliko Uganda, Rwanda, na Kenya.
  • Ethiopia na Sudan zinazo bei za chini kabisa kutokana na ruzuku za serikali na uzalishaji wa ndani.

Ulinganisho na Nchi Nyingine za Afrika

NchiBei ya kWh (TZS)Maelezo
DR CongoTZS 1,273.58Bei ya chini kutokana na rasilimali za maji lakini miundombinu duni.
Afrika KusiniTZS 4,124.81Bei ya juu kuliko Tanzania, licha ya mifumo yake ya nishati ya makaa ya mawe.
GhanaTZS 2,276.64Bei kidogo ya juu, inategemea vyanzo vya nishati ya joto la ardhi na maji.
NigeriaTZS 443.34Bei ya chini kutokana na ruzuku na rasilimali za gesi, lakini upatikanaji wa umeme ni duni.
CameroonTZS 1,456.64Bei kidogo, inategemea nguvu za maji.
MoroccoTZS 2,532.92Bei ya juu kuliko Tanzania, inategemea nishati inayooagizwa na nishati jadidifu.

Maelezo Muhimu:

  • Bei ya Tanzania ni ya ushindani ikilinganishwa na nchi nyingi za Afrika.
  • Nigeria na DR Congo zina bei za chini lakini zinakutana na changamoto za uhakika na upatikanaji wa umeme.
  • Afrika Kusini na Ghana, ingawa zimetengenezwa zaidi, zinatoza bei za juu.

Mambo Yanayoathiri Bei ya Umeme Nchini Tanzania

  1. Vyanzo vya Nishati: Tanzania inategemea mchanganyiko wa nishati ya maji, gesi asilia, na vyanzo jadidifu.
  2. Ruzuku: Ruzuku ndogo ikilinganishwa na nchi kama Ethiopia na Nigeria.
  3. Miundombinu: Maboresho endelevu katika mifumo ya uzalishaji na usambazaji.
  4. Muktadha wa Kiuchumi: Bei za kati zinaendana na mahitaji yanayokua na upanuzi wa uchumi.

Muktadha wa Kikanda na Kimataifa

  • Bei za Chini Zaidi Duniani: Iran (TZS 4.83), Ethiopia (TZS 6.51).
  • Bei ya Juu Afrika Mashariki: Kenya (TZS 15,560.93).
  • Mojawapo ya Nchi za Kipekee Kimataifa: Denmark (TZS 85,392.44), inayosababishwa na uwekezaji mkubwa katika nishati jadidifu.

Athari kwa Tanzania

  • Umeme Nafuu: Husaidia kuvutia uwekezaji na kukuza ukuaji wa viwanda.
  • Fursa ya Marekebisho: Kuna nafasi ya kuboresha uhakika na upatikanaji bila kuongezea bei kwa kiasi kikubwa.
  • Ushindani wa Kikanda: Bei ya ushindani ikilinganishwa na Afrika Mashariki inaiweka Tanzania katika nafasi nzuri kwa viwanda vinavyotumia nishati nyingi.
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Tanzania’s Competitive Electricity Pricing

Tanzania’s electricity price, at $0.087 per kWh, positions it as a cost-effective choice within East Africa, balancing affordability and infrastructure development. Cheaper than Uganda, Rwanda, and Kenya, but higher than heavily subsidized Ethiopia and Sudan, Tanzania’s pricing supports industrial growth and investment while ensuring continued energy sector expansion. This competitive edge, coupled with ongoing improvements, strengthens Tanzania’s role as a regional hub for energy-intensive industries.

1. Tanzania's Electricity is Moderately Priced

  • At $0.087 per kWh, Tanzania's electricity prices are in the middle range:
    • Lower than Uganda, Rwanda, and Kenya, making it more affordable for households and industries in the region.
    • Higher than Ethiopia and Sudan, which benefit from government subsidies or lower production costs.

2. Regional Competitiveness

  • Tanzania is better positioned for industrial and economic activities compared to neighbors like Kenya ($0.255 per kWh) due to cheaper electricity.
  • However, it may face competition from countries like Ethiopia ($0.003) and Sudan ($0.006), where extremely low prices could attract energy-intensive industries.

3. Balance Between Cost and Infrastructure

  • The price reflects Tanzania's developing infrastructure and reliance on diverse energy sources like hydropower, natural gas, and renewables.
  • While prices are not the lowest, they ensure a balance that supports ongoing investments in energy infrastructure.

4. Opportunities for Investment

  • Competitive pricing makes Tanzania attractive for:
    • Energy-intensive industries like manufacturing and mining.
    • Regional exports of electricity to higher-cost neighbors like Kenya and Rwanda, if production capacity increases.

5. Challenges for Universal Access

  • Though prices are moderate, Tanzania must ensure:
    • Reliable supply, as outages and access disparities persist in rural areas.
    • Continued efforts to expand the grid and improve efficiency without overburdening consumers.

6. Tanzania in the African Context

  • Compared to DR Congo ($0.058) or South Africa ($0.182):
    • Tanzania offers better reliability than DR Congo, despite its higher price.
    • It remains cheaper than South Africa, giving it a competitive edge in attracting business.

Key Takeaways

  1. Tanzania's moderate electricity prices strike a balance between affordability and development needs.
  2. The country is regionally competitive, particularly compared to East African neighbors.
  3. There is room for improvement in reliability, access, and cost-efficiency to boost economic growth further.

Electricity prices vary significantly across countries due to differences in energy sources, infrastructure, subsidies, and economic conditions.

Tanzania's Electricity Price (March 2024)

  • $0.087 per kWh
    • Positioned in the mid-range globally.
    • Higher than some neighboring East African countries but lower than the global and many African averages.

Comparison with East African Countries

CountryPrice per kWh (USD)Remarks
Ethiopia0.003Among the lowest globally, reflecting heavy government subsidies.
Sudan0.006Low due to subsidies and reliance on oil resources.
Zambia0.020Relatively low, supported by hydropower resources.
Uganda0.172Significantly higher than Tanzania, despite hydropower reliance.
Rwanda0.187Higher prices attributed to a smaller energy grid and reliance on imports.
Kenya0.255Highest in East Africa; reflects costs of geothermal and renewable energy.
  • Key Insights:
    • Tanzania's electricity is cheaper than Uganda, Rwanda, and Kenya.
    • Ethiopia and Sudan have the lowest prices, benefiting from subsidies and domestic production.

Comparison with Other African Countries

CountryPrice per kWh (USD)Remarks
DR Congo0.058Cheaper due to abundant hydropower resources but limited infrastructure.
South Africa0.182Higher than Tanzania, despite its extensive coal-based energy systems.
Ghana0.108Slightly higher; relies on thermal and hydropower sources.
Nigeria0.013Low due to subsidies and gas resources, but electricity reliability is poor.
Cameroon0.080Slightly cheaper, reflecting strong hydropower reliance.
Morocco0.117Higher than Tanzania, relying on imported energy and renewable sources.
  • Key Insights:
    • Tanzania's price is competitive compared to many African countries.
    • Nigeria and DR Congo have lower prices but face reliability and access challenges.
    • South Africa and Ghana, though more developed, charge higher prices.

Factors Affecting Tanzania's Prices

  1. Energy Sources: Tanzania relies on a mix of hydropower, natural gas, and renewables.
  2. Subsidies: Limited subsidies compared to countries like Ethiopia and Nigeria.
  3. Infrastructure: Ongoing improvements in generation and distribution systems.
  4. Economic Context: Mid-level prices align with the growing demand and economic expansion.

Regional and Global Context

  • Cheapest Globally: Iran ($0.002), Ethiopia ($0.003).
  • Highest in East Africa: Kenya ($0.255).
  • Global Outlier: Denmark ($0.362), driven by renewable energy investments.

Implications for Tanzania

  • Affordable Electricity: Helps in attracting investment and promoting industrial growth.
  • Room for Adjustment: Potential to improve reliability and access without significant price hikes.
  • Regional Competitiveness: Competitive pricing relative to East Africa positions Tanzania favorably for energy-intensive industries.

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Kiwango cha Mfumuko wa Bei Tanzania na Ulinganisho na Nchi Nyingine za Afrika Oktoba 2024

Kiwango cha mfumuko wa bei cha Tanzania cha asilimia 3.0 mnamo Oktoba 2024 kinaonyesha uthabiti mkubwa wa kiuchumi, kikizidi utendaji wa nchi nyingi za Afrika. Kwa makadirio ya kushuka zaidi hadi asilimia 2.5 ifikapo 2026, sera za fedha na bajeti za Tanzania zenye busara zinaiweka nchi hii kama sehemu shindani na ya kuvutia kwa uwekezaji na biashara katika Afrika Mashariki na kwingineko.

Muhtasari wa Mfumuko wa Bei wa Tanzania

  1. Kiwango cha Sasa: Asilimia 3.0 (Oktoba 2024), ikishuka kutoka asilimia 3.1 mnamo Septemba 2024.
  2. Muktadha wa Kihistoria:
    • Wastani (1999-2024): Asilimia 6.28.
    • Kiwango cha Juu: Asilimia 19.8 mnamo Desemba 2011.
    • Kiwango cha Chini: Asilimia 3.0 mnamo Novemba 2018.
  3. Makadirio:
    • Mwisho wa 2024: Inatarajiwa kubaki asilimia 3.0.
    • 2025: Inakadiriwa kuwa asilimia 2.7.
    • 2026: Inakadiriwa kushuka hadi asilimia 2.5.

Ulinganisho na Nchi za Afrika Mashariki

  • Kenya: Asilimia 2.7 (Oktoba 2024) – chini kidogo ya Tanzania.
  • Uganda: Asilimia 2.9 (Oktoba 2024) – chini kwa kiasi kidogo.
  • Rwanda: Asilimia 0.5 (Oktoba 2024) – chini kwa kiasi kikubwa.

Ulinganisho na Nchi za Afrika

  • Nchi zenye Mfumuko wa Bei Mdogo:
    • Senegal: -0.2%.
    • Djibouti: -0.1%.
    • Rwanda: 0.5%.
  • Nchi Zenye Kiwango Kinachofanana na Tanzania:
    • Msumbiji: 2.68%.
    • Libya: 2.7%.
    • Afrika Kusini: 2.8%.
  • Nchi Zenye Mfumuko wa Bei wa Juu:
    • Zambia: 15.7%.
    • Ethiopia: 16.1%.
    • Ghana: 22.1%.
    • Nigeria: 33.88%.
    • Zimbabwe: 57.5%.
    • Sudan Kusini: 107%.

Maoni Muhimu

  1. Afrika Mashariki: Tanzania inabaki na kiwango thabiti cha mfumuko wa bei katika eneo hili, ikiwa bora zaidi ya nchi kama Ethiopia na Sudan ambazo zinakabiliwa na mfumuko wa bei wa tarakimu mbili.
  2. Afrika: Mfumuko wa bei wa Tanzania ni miongoni mwa ya chini zaidi barani Afrika, unaonyesha uthabiti wa sera za fedha na bajeti, ikilinganishwa na nchi kama Zimbabwe na Nigeria zinazokabiliana na mfumuko wa bei wa juu.
  3. Mwelekeo wa Dunia: Kiwango cha sasa cha mfumuko wa bei Tanzania kinahusiana na mwelekeo wa kimataifa wa kupungua kwa mfumuko wa bei, hasa katika Masoko Yanayochipukia na Uchumi wa Nchi Zinazoendelea (EMDEs).

Mtazamo wa Kistratejia kwa Tanzania

  1. Kudumisha mfumuko wa bei wa chini kunaboresha mvuto wa kiuchumi wa Tanzania kwa wawekezaji.
  2. Kuendelea kuzingatia nidhamu ya kifedha na sera za fedha za busara kutasaidia Tanzania kudumisha uthabiti wa mfumuko wa bei, hivyo kuimarisha ukuaji wa uchumi licha ya changamoto za kimataifa.

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Tanzania's Inflation Rate and Comparison with Other African Countries October 2024

Tanzania’s inflation rate of 3.0% in October 2024 highlights its remarkable economic stability, outperforming many African countries. With projections of further decline to 2.5% by 2026, Tanzania’s prudent fiscal and monetary policies position it as a competitive and attractive destination for investment and trade in East Africa and beyond.

Tanzania's Inflation Overview:

  1. Current Rate: 3.0% (October 2024), a decrease from 3.1% in September 2024.
  2. Historical Context:
    • Average (1999-2024): 6.28%.
    • Peak: 19.8% in December 2011.
    • Lowest: 3.0% in November 2018.
  3. Projections:
    • End of 2024: Expected to remain at 3.0%.
    • 2025: Projected at 2.7%.
    • 2026: Projected at 2.5%.

Comparison with East African Countries:

  • Kenya: 2.7% (October 2024) – slightly lower than Tanzania.
  • Uganda: 2.9% (October 2024) – marginally lower than Tanzania.
  • Rwanda: 0.5% (October 2024) – significantly lower.

Comparison with African Countries:

  • Low Inflation Countries:
    • Senegal: -0.2%.
    • Djibouti: -0.1%.
    • Rwanda: 0.5%.
  • Countries Similar to Tanzania:
    • Mozambique: 2.68%.
    • Libya: 2.7%.
    • South Africa: 2.8%.
  • High Inflation Countries:
    • Zambia: 15.7%.
    • Ethiopia: 16.1%.
    • Ghana: 22.1%.
    • Nigeria: 33.88%.
    • Zimbabwe: 57.5%.
    • South Sudan: 107%.

Insights:

  1. East Africa: Tanzania maintains a stable inflation rate within the region, performing better than countries like Ethiopia and Sudan, which face double-digit inflation.
  2. Africa: Tanzania's inflation rate is among the lowest in the continent, reflecting stable monetary and fiscal policies compared to nations like Zimbabwe and Nigeria that struggle with high inflation.
  3. Global Trends: The current inflation rate in Tanzania aligns with global trends of decreasing inflation, especially in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (EMDEs).

Strategic Outlook for Tanzania:

  1. Maintaining low inflation enhances Tanzania’s economic attractiveness for investment.
  2. Continued focus on fiscal discipline and prudent monetary policy will help Tanzania sustain inflation stability, bolstering economic growth amidst global uncertainties.

Implications of Tanzania's Inflation Trends and Comparisons

  1. Economic Stability:
    • Tanzania’s inflation rate of 3.0% reflects macroeconomic stability. It signals controlled price levels and effective management of monetary policy by the Bank of Tanzania.
  2. Regional Competitiveness:
    • In East Africa, Tanzania’s inflation is comparable to Kenya (2.7%) and Uganda (2.9%), showing it is performing well within the region.
    • This makes Tanzania attractive for investments and trade compared to neighboring countries facing higher price volatility.
  3. Low Inflation Advantages:
    • Consumers: Stable inflation preserves purchasing power, ensuring that basic goods and services remain affordable.
    • Businesses: Predictable price levels reduce uncertainty, encouraging investment and expansion.
    • Government: Low inflation helps manage public finances better as borrowing costs remain under control.
  4. Comparison to Africa:
    • Tanzania is among the low-inflation countries in Africa, significantly better than nations like Nigeria (33.88%) or Zimbabwe (57.5%).
    • This highlights Tanzania as a model for price stability in Sub-Saharan Africa, enhancing its reputation among global investors.
  5. Policy Success:
    • Sustained low inflation reflects effective fiscal policies, stable exchange rates, and good food supply management, vital for keeping inflation in check.
  6. Projection Implications:
    • Future Outlook: Inflation is projected to decrease further to 2.7% in 2025 and 2.5% in 2026, indicating continued economic resilience.
    • Lower inflation will strengthen Tanzania’s position in the global market, offering confidence to foreign investors.
  7. Risks to Watch:
    • External shocks like global oil price hikes or disruptions in food supply could increase inflation.
    • Regional instability or currency fluctuations could also affect inflation dynamics.

Conclusion

Tanzania’s controlled inflation tells a story of economic discipline, regional competitiveness, and future potential. It positions the country as a stable and attractive hub for business and investment in Africa.

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Tanzania's Debt Landscape November 2024

As of September 2024, Tanzania's total external debt reached USD 32.89 billion, accounting for 73% of the country’s total national debt. The central government held the largest share of external debt at USD 25.43 billion (78.1%), with funds directed toward critical sectors like transport (21.5%) and social welfare (20.8%). Domestically, the government owed TZS 32.62 trillion, with Treasury bonds dominating at 78.9%. Despite strategic investments, reliance on the USD (67.4% of external debt) and limited funding for agriculture (5.1%) and tourism (1.6%) pose challenges to debt sustainability and inclusive economic growth.

1. External Debt

Key Figures

  • Total External Debt Stock (Sept 2024): USD 32,890.0 million.
  • Proportion of National Debt: 73%.
  • Main Components:
    • Disbursed Outstanding Debt: USD 31,425.6 million.
    • Undisbursed Debt: USD 5,042.7 million.

Debt Stock by Borrowers

  • Central Government: USD 25,428.6 million (78.1% of external debt).
  • Private Sector: USD 5,993.2 million (21.9% of external debt).
  • Public Corporations: USD 3.8 million (negligible share).

Use of Funds (Disbursed Outstanding Debt)

  • Transport and Telecommunications: 21.5% – Largest allocation, highlighting the government's priority on improving connectivity and mobility.
  • Social Welfare and Education: 20.8% – Significant focus on human capital development.
  • Balance of Payments Support: 17.9% – Indicates reliance on external financing for stabilizing the country's foreign exchange reserves.
  • Energy and Mining: 14.8% – Focus on infrastructure for energy and resource exploitation.
  • Agriculture: 5.1% – Low share considering Tanzania's agriculture-driven economy.
  • Industries: 3.7%.
  • Finance and Insurance: 4.0%.
  • Tourism: 1.6% – Surprisingly low given its economic importance.
  • Real Estate and Construction: 4.8%.
  • Other Uses: 5.8%.

Currency Composition

  • US Dollar: 67.4% – Reflects high exposure to exchange rate fluctuations against the USD.
  • Euro: 16.6%.
  • Chinese Yuan: 6.3%.
  • Other Currencies: 9.7%.

2. Internal (Domestic) Debt

Key Figures

  • Total Domestic Debt Stock (Sept 2024): TZS 32,615.7 billion.
  • Month-on-Month Change: Decreased by TZS 144.5 billion.
  • Main Instruments:
    • Treasury Bonds: 78.9% – Dominates domestic debt instruments, preferred for their longer maturity periods.

Domestic Debt by Creditor

  • Commercial Banks: 29.7% (TZS 9,678.8 billion) – Largest creditors, showing banking sector's key role in funding government activities.
  • Bank of Tanzania: 20.5% (TZS 6,696.3 billion) – Central bank’s significant share indicates monetary policy alignment.
  • Pension Funds: 27.6% (TZS 8,991.4 billion) – Reflects government reliance on long-term funds.
  • Insurance Companies: 5.8% (TZS 1,904.2 billion).
  • BOT’s Special Funds: 1.2% (TZS 389.0 billion).
  • Others: 15.2% (TZS 4,956.0 billion) – Includes various smaller creditors.

Insights

  1. Debt Composition: External debt forms a significant majority (73%), exposing the economy to foreign exchange risks, especially given the dominance of USD (67.4%).
  2. Focus Areas of Debt Use: Prioritization of transport, telecommunications, social services, and energy aligns with Tanzania's development goals, though agriculture and tourism receive relatively smaller allocations.
  3. Domestic Financing: Treasury bonds dominate, with commercial banks and pension funds as major participants, reflecting a stable domestic borrowing market.

The key insights into Tanzania's fiscal and economic dynamics:

1. Heavy Reliance on External Debt

  • External Borrowing: Makes up 73% of total debt, indicating significant dependency on international sources for financing development projects and budgetary needs.
  • Risks: High exposure to currency exchange rate fluctuations, especially with 67.4% of external debt denominated in USD. Any depreciation of the Tanzanian shilling could increase the cost of servicing the debt.

2. Focused Use of Funds

  • Priority Sectors:
    • Transport, telecommunications, and social welfare (education and health) receive a combined 42.3% of external debt funding. This reflects strategic efforts to improve infrastructure and human capital.
    • Energy and mining account for 14.8%, essential for supporting industrialization and reducing power shortages.
  • Underfunded Areas:
    • Agriculture (5.1%) and tourism (1.6%) receive smaller shares, despite their significance in Tanzania's GDP and employment. This could suggest underprioritization of these critical sectors or reliance on other forms of financing for them.

3. Dominance of Treasury Bonds in Domestic Debt

  • Treasury bonds constitute 78.9% of domestic debt, reflecting:
    • A preference for long-term instruments that reduce refinancing risks.
    • A relatively well-developed domestic bond market to absorb government debt.
  • Impact: Stable borrowing through domestic sources reduces reliance on volatile external sources but concentrates risk within the local financial system.

4. Key Domestic Creditors

  • Commercial Banks and Pension Funds: Together hold over 57% of domestic debt, showing reliance on institutional investors for funding.
  • Central Bank Role: The Bank of Tanzania (20.5%) plays a critical role in supporting government borrowing, reflecting alignment with monetary policy goals.

5. Debt Sustainability and Macro Risks

  • Short-Term Indicators: While the focus on productive sectors like transport and energy could boost long-term growth, the high proportion of debt (external and domestic) demands careful management to avoid repayment challenges.
  • Diversification Needs: The small allocation to tourism and agriculture may limit potential contributions from these sectors, which are key to inclusive growth and export earnings.
  • Debt Service Pressures: Heavy USD dependency can amplify costs if global financial conditions tighten (e.g., rising interest rates or strengthening dollar).

Key Messages

  • Opportunities: Investment in infrastructure, energy, and education positions Tanzania for future economic growth.
  • Challenges: Managing debt sustainability, diversifying financing sources, and balancing sectoral priorities remain crucial to minimize risks and maximize development impact.

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Financial Stability and Evolving Focus in October 2024

As of 31 October 2024, the Bank of Tanzania reported a 0.70% growth in total assets, reaching TZS 26.04 trillion, up from TZS 25.86 trillion in September. Key drivers included a 2.56% increase in cash reserves to TZS 6.03 trillion and a significant 11.00% rise in advances to the government to TZS 4.92 trillion, highlighting active government financing. However, total liabilities grew by 1.02% to TZS 23.19 trillion, driven by a 19% increase in bank and non-bank deposits, while equity declined by 1.86% due to lower reserves. This financial position underscores the BoT's role in stabilizing the economy while adapting to fiscal demands.

1. Assets
  • Cash and Cash Equivalents: Increased from TZS 5,878,336,892 to TZS 6,028,657,113 (+2.56%).
  • Special Drawing Rights (SDRs): Decreased slightly from TZS 5,836,763 to TZS 5,659,158 (-3.05%).
  • Gold: Increased from TZS 84,475,916 to TZS 87,517,489 (+3.60%).
  • Quota in IMF: Declined from TZS 1,462,735,502 to TZS 1,418,226,416 (-3.04%).
  • Foreign Currency Marketable Securities: Decreased from TZS 8,536,478,436 to TZS 8,280,498,770 (-3.00%).
  • Government Securities: Rose from TZS 1,949,033,712 to TZS 2,009,684,508 (+3.11%).
  • Advances to Government: Increased significantly from TZS 4,436,239,821 to TZS 4,924,120,304 (+11.00%).
  • Loans and Receivables: Dropped from TZS 1,165,276,684 to TZS 632,865,021 (-45.66%).
  • Other Assets: Increased from TZS 1,056,699,639 to TZS 1,345,154,889 (+27.29%).

Total Assets: Grew marginally from TZS 25,861,049,022 to TZS 26,040,992,974 (+0.70%).

2. Liabilities
  • Currency in Circulation: Increased from TZS 8,466,684,070 to TZS 8,589,148,419 (+1.44%).
  • Deposits (Banks and Non-Bank Financial Institutions): Rose significantly from TZS 2,666,954,338 to TZS 3,174,614,584 (+19.01%).
  • Deposits (Others): Increased from TZS 1,758,144,907 to TZS 2,105,619,381 (+19.74%).
  • Foreign Currency Financial Liabilities: Dropped from TZS 6,114,091,872 to TZS 5,409,925,598 (-11.53%).
  • BoT Liquidity Papers: Marginal increase from TZS 529,725,459 to TZS 530,743,366 (+0.19%).

Total Liabilities: Increased from TZS 22,951,123,876 to TZS 23,185,162,980 (+1.02%).

3. Equity
  • Reserves: Decreased from TZS 2,809,925,146 to TZS 2,755,829,994 (-1.92%).
  • Total Equity: Declined from TZS 2,909,925,146 to TZS 2,855,829,994 (-1.86%).

Summary

  • Assets: Total value grew by TZS 179.94 billion (+0.70%), driven by increases in cash, government securities, and advances to the government. However, loans and receivables declined significantly.
  • Liabilities: Total liabilities increased by TZS 234.04 billion (+1.02%), with significant contributions from bank and other deposits.
  • Equity: Experienced a decline of TZS 54.10 billion (-1.86%) due to reduced reserves.

The Statement of Financial Position for the Bank of Tanzania (BoT) with key insights into the institution's financial health and operational activities as of October 2024.

1. Growth in Total Assets

  • The increase in total assets (+0.70%) suggests the BoT has grown its resource base, albeit modestly.
  • Key contributors include:
    • Cash and Cash Equivalents: Increased liquidity may reflect robust monetary policy or efficient operations.
    • Government Securities and Advances to the Government: Indicate a rising role in financing government operations, signaling increased public sector borrowing.

The BoT is actively involved in supporting government financial needs while maintaining a stable and growing asset base. However, declines in foreign marketable securities and IMF quotas suggest reduced exposure or participation in international holdings.

2. Liabilities Growth Outpaces Equity

  • Liabilities grew (+1.02%) while equity declined (-1.86%). Significant increases in deposits from financial institutions and others highlight:
    • Increased trust and participation of banks and other entities in the BoT's activities.
    • A shift toward reliance on deposits to support financial operations.
  • Reduction in foreign currency financial liabilities may point to lower external debt exposure.

The BoT is leveraging more local deposits and reducing international liabilities, which could enhance financial stability but might reduce reserves, reflected in the equity decline.

3. Decline in Loans and Receivables

  • A sharp decrease (-45.66%) could mean:
    • Lower lending to local institutions.
    • Recovery or consolidation of prior loans.
  • This impacts revenue streams from lending operations.

The BoT might be adopting a cautious approach to lending or focusing on other asset classes.

4. Currency in Circulation

  • The modest increase in currency in circulation (+1.44%) suggests stable economic activity. This is a key indicator of public demand for cash and overall economic liquidity.

Economic transactions are steady, aligning with controlled monetary policy.

5. Drop in Reserves and Equity

  • The decline in reserves (-1.92%) and total equity (-1.86%) could indicate:
    • Operational expenses or funding requirements that utilized part of the reserves.
    • An ongoing balancing act to support liabilities.

While the BoT remains solvent, reserve management might require attention to maintain long-term stability.

General Observations

  • The BoT is playing a significant role in government financing and domestic monetary stability, likely in response to Tanzania's broader fiscal and economic needs.
  • A focus on domestic liabilities, reduced foreign exposure, and increased cash holdings indicate prioritization of internal economic stability over external engagements.
  • Declining equity and reserves suggest the need for careful balance between asset growth and financial sustainability.

Key Implication

The Bank of Tanzania's financial position reflects stability in monetary policy and active government support, but pressure on equity and reserves calls for prudent fiscal management to ensure long-term resilience.

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Top 10 Africa Investment Destinations in Q3 2024

In Q3 2024, Africa’s private market saw 73 deals with a total disclosed value of $2.27 billion. The top 10 countries accounted for a significant portion of these transactions, led by Kenya and South Africa, each with 33% of the deal volume. Nigeria followed at 23%, while Egypt dominated North Africa with 18% of deals. Notably, Tanzania secured its place among the top 10, contributing 10% of deals in East Africa, driven by advancements in fintech and agriculture. These figures highlight the continent's growing appeal to investors focusing on localized opportunities and high-growth sectors.

Tanzania's Position in Africa's Private Investment Landscape

Regional Insights

  1. East African Market Activity:
    • East Africa contributed 41% of Africa’s private market transactions in Q3 2024, ranking second to Southern Africa.
    • Within the region, Kenya dominated, contributing 80% of transactions, followed by Rwanda (15%) and Tanzania (10%).
  2. Tanzania's Growing Investment Profile:
    • Fintech Leadership: NALA, a Tanzanian fintech company, raised $40 million in equity funding, emphasizing Tanzania’s emergence in tech innovation.
    • Sectoral Opportunities: Financial services accounted for 37% of deals in East Africa, while technology investments represented 60% of tech transactions across Africa.

Private Capital Trends

  1. Sectoral Contributions:
    • Agriculture (15% of deals) remains vital, especially for countries like Tanzania, where it is a backbone of employment and food security.
    • Energy investments focused on renewables, aligning with Tanzania's commitment to sustainable energy solutions.
  2. Debt Financing:
    • Debt financing was prevalent in agriculture and energy, comprising 79% of such deals, highlighting sectors where Tanzania could attract more capital.

Competitiveness and Economic Role

  1. Strategic Positioning in East Africa:
    • Though Kenya leads, Tanzania’s growth in agriculture, fintech, and clean energy positions it as a rising economic player.
    • The country shares strong regional synergies with Kenya and Rwanda, providing opportunities for cross-border initiatives.
  2. Potential for Broader Integration:
    • Tanzania’s focus on agriculture modernization and energy access supports regional goals of sustainability and economic inclusion.
    • Collaboration with dominant East African economies could amplify its investment appeal.

Strategic Implications for Tanzania

  • Fintech Growth: Strengthening regulatory frameworks and promoting innovation in financial technology could drive more investments like NALA's success.
  • Energy and Agriculture: Expanding clean energy projects and agriculture-focused initiatives can attract private capital in alignment with regional trends.
  • Cross-Border Partnerships: Leveraging East Africa’s economic integration can enable Tanzania to secure multi-country deals and enhance its role in Africa’s investment landscape.

Key Takeaways

While Tanzania is not among the “Big 5” economies, its advancements in technology, agriculture, and energy sectors, coupled with a strategic location in East Africa, position it for growth. By fostering investor-friendly policies and focusing on high-growth sectors, Tanzania can increasingly attract private capital and cement its role as a vital player in Africa’s investment ecosystem.

Tanzania’s growing significance in sectors like agriculture and fintech, its regional role within East Africa, and the need to capitalize on strategic investments to increase competitiveness in Africa’s private investment landscape.

  1. Emerging Investment Hub
    • Tanzania is gradually becoming a destination for private investments, particularly in fintech (e.g., NALA’s $40 million funding) and agriculture.
  2. Sectoral Opportunities
    • Agriculture: With its importance to employment and food security, Tanzania remains an attractive destination for investments in this sector, especially in projects backed by debt financing.
    • Technology and Energy: The focus on renewable energy and tech innovation shows a shift toward modernizing the economy and improving energy access.
  3. Regional Influence
    • Although Kenya dominates East Africa's transactions, Tanzania holds 10% of regional deals, reflecting growing investor interest. Collaborating with Kenya and Rwanda could further boost its visibility.
  4. Competitive Challenges
    • Tanzania lags behind stronger economies like Kenya and Rwanda in East Africa. This underscores the need to enhance its investment climate, attract diverse funding, and encourage sectoral innovation.
  5. Localized Investment Focus
    • The trend toward single-country investments signals an opportunity for Tanzania to attract investors who prioritize localized opportunities in high-potential sectors.
  6. Strategic Next Steps
    • By improving infrastructure, regulatory frameworks, and regional partnerships, Tanzania can position itself as a key player in private capital flows within East Africa and beyond.

Top 10 African Countries by Deal Volume in Q3 2024

RankCountry% of Deal VolumeRegional Highlights
1Kenya33%Dominated East Africa, contributing 80% of regional transactions.
2South Africa33%Led Southern Africa, participating in 73% of regional deals.
3Nigeria23%Accounted for 71% of West Africa's deals, focused on energy and tech.
4Egypt18%Dominated North Africa with 93% of regional transactions.
5Rwanda15%Second-most active in East Africa, representing 37% of its deals.
6Ghana12%Significant player in West Africa, sharing in diverse sectors.
7Côte d'Ivoire11%Emerging hub for agriculture and financial services.
8Senegal10%Showed steady growth in energy and infrastructure.
9Tanzania10%Gained traction in fintech and agriculture investments.
10Cameroon5%Focused on energy and agro-processing investments.

Key Insights

  • Kenya and South Africa: Shared the top spot due to strong regional dominance.
  • Tanzania: Emerging as a significant investment destination in East Africa.
  • North Africa: Highly concentrated in Egypt, with limited contributions from other countries like Morocco.

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Tanzania's IMF Credit Position

Tanzania’s outstanding IMF credit of $853.3 million positions it as the third-largest borrower among East African Community (EAC) members, following Kenya ($3.02 billion) and Uganda ($992.8 million). This figure underscores Tanzania’s moderate reliance on IMF resources compared to Kenya’s significantly higher borrowing, which reflects its fiscal challenges. Rwanda and Burundi, with outstanding credits of $476.1 million and $100.6 million respectively, trail behind. Tanzania’s borrowing highlights a balanced approach, addressing financing needs while maintaining debt sustainability in the region.

  • Outstanding Credit: $853,270,000 (approximately $853.3 million)
  • Rank in East Africa: 3rd largest among East African Community (EAC) members.
  • Context: This amount reflects Tanzania's reliance on IMF financing relative to regional peers.

East African Countries Comparison

  1. Kenya: $3,022,009,900
    • Holds the highest outstanding IMF credit in East Africa.
    • Recently received an additional disbursement of $455.7 million, further elevating its position.
  2. Uganda: $992,750,000
    • Second-highest in the region, with a credit position close to $1 billion.
  3. Tanzania: $853,270,000
    • Third-largest, indicating moderate borrowing compared to Kenya and Uganda.
  4. Rwanda: $476,141,140
    • Significantly lower than Tanzania but shows active use of IMF facilities.
  5. Burundi: $100,600,000
    • The smallest credit position in the EAC, reflecting limited IMF engagement.

Insights

  • Kenya's High Credit: Kenya’s large IMF borrowing aligns with its economic challenges, such as fiscal deficits and external imbalances. The additional disbursement highlights its need for ongoing support.
  • Tanzania's Moderate Position: Tanzania's IMF credit is substantial but reflects a more conservative borrowing approach compared to Kenya. This aligns with its relatively stable macroeconomic environment in recent years.
  • Rwanda and Burundi: Their smaller credit levels could indicate less reliance on IMF resources or limited access due to policy or capacity considerations.

Comparison with Other African Countries

  • Key Context: Across Africa, countries like Egypt, Nigeria, and South Africa often have significant IMF credit levels due to their larger economies or ongoing economic reforms.
  • Regional Variation: East African countries like Tanzania and Uganda show moderate use of IMF facilities, balancing economic reforms with external support.

The comparison of Tanzania's IMF credit position with other East African countries and its context within Africa highlights the following insights:

1. Economic Management and Policy Approach

  • Tanzania's Moderate Position:
    • Tanzania's $853.3 million IMF credit suggests that the country has been relatively prudent in seeking external financing compared to Kenya and Uganda.
    • This aligns with Tanzania's historically cautious borrowing and stable macroeconomic management, focusing on long-term growth and sustainability.
    • The reliance on IMF funds indicates Tanzania is addressing external shocks or developmental financing gaps but is not over-leveraging.

2. Regional Dynamics

  • Kenya's Dominance:
    • Kenya’s significantly higher credit position ($3 billion) shows its more immediate financial challenges, possibly driven by larger fiscal deficits, debt servicing pressures, or external imbalances.
    • This reliance might reflect Kenya’s prioritization of aggressive infrastructure development, which requires external support.
  • Uganda vs. Tanzania:
    • Uganda's slightly higher credit ($992.8 million) points to slightly higher funding needs, perhaps due to different economic or social priorities.
  • Rwanda and Burundi:
    • These countries' lower IMF credits reflect either limited access, smaller economies, or differing economic strategies, particularly Burundi's smaller borrowing capacity.

3. Tanzania's Position as a Balanced Borrower

  • Being third in East Africa shows Tanzania strikes a balance between:
    • Using IMF funds to address short-term needs and maintaining sustainable debt levels.
    • Managing economic risks, avoiding excessive dependency, and maintaining room for further borrowing if needed.

4. Implications for Development and Reform

  • Tanzania’s borrowing strategy indicates:
    • A focus on maintaining investor confidence and creditworthiness.
    • A potential readiness to address fiscal or external gaps while preserving economic stability.
    • Moderate IMF reliance reflects policy consistency in achieving economic targets, supporting reforms, and mitigating global economic risks like inflation or commodity price volatility.

5. Global and African Position

  • In Africa, Tanzania's IMF credit indicates moderate external dependency compared to major borrowers like Kenya, South Africa, or Egypt, suggesting steady progress in economic resilience and diversified funding.

Key Takeaway

Tanzania’s IMF credit position signals cautious borrowing and economic stability compared to its peers, balancing development needs with sustainable debt management. This approach positions Tanzania favorably for long-term growth while maintaining flexibility to handle future challenges.

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Transformative Investments in TANROADS' Top 10 Projects 2015–2021

TANROADS’ top 10 infrastructure projects, valued at 1,846.422 Billion TZS, highlight a strategic focus on transformative investments between 2015 and 2021. The J.P. Magufuli Bridge, the most expensive project at 592.609 Billion TZS, underscores the prioritization of specialized, high-impact infrastructure. While projects like BRT Phase 2 Lot 1 focus on urban mobility with a cost of 189.4 Billion TZS, rural connectivity is efficiently addressed through cost-effective roadworks such as Komanga-Kasinde LOT2 and Kasinde-Mpanda LOT3, averaging just 1.24 Billion TZS/km. These investments reflect TANROADS’ commitment to improving transport, trade, and regional integration across Tanzania.

1. J.P. Magufuli Bridge

  • Contract Value: 592.609 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 29/07/2019
  • Length: 3.20 km
  • Cost per km: ~185.19 Billion TZS/km
  • Key Features:
    • By far the most expensive project.
    • Nearly three times the cost of the second-highest project, due to its specialized infrastructure.
    • Likely serves as a critical link in Tanzania's national transportation network.

2. BRT Phase 2 Lot 1

  • Contract Value: 189.400 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 10/12/2018
  • Length: 20.30 km
  • Cost per km: ~9.33 Billion TZS/km
  • Purpose: Developing Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) infrastructure for Dar es Salaam, enhancing urban mobility.

3. Lusitu-Mawengi LOT2

  • Contract Value: 159.217 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 22/08/2016
  • Length: 50.00 km
  • Cost per km: ~3.18 Billion TZS/km
  • Key Features: Significant for regional connectivity.

4. Usesule-Komanga LOT1

  • Contract Value: 158.800 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 12/11/2017
  • Length: 117.67 km
  • Cost per km: ~1.35 Billion TZS/km
  • Key Features: Covers a substantial length, making it cost-efficient on a per-km basis.

5. Widening of Morogoro Road (Kimara–Kibaha)

  • Contract Value: 140.450 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 13/07/2018
  • Length: 19.20 km
  • Cost per km: ~7.32 Billion TZS/km
  • Type: Road widening project to reduce traffic congestion and enhance trade flow.

6. Komanga-Kasinde LOT2

  • Contract Value: 140.000 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 12/11/2017
  • Length: 112.80 km
  • Cost per km: ~1.24 Billion TZS/km
  • Key Features: Among the lowest per-kilometer costs, reflecting efficient use of resources.

7. Kasinde-Mpanda LOT3

  • Contract Value: 133.800 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 12/11/2017
  • Length: 108.00 km
  • Cost per km: ~1.24 Billion TZS/km
  • Key Features: Continues the connectivity corridor established by Komanga-Kasinde LOT2.

8. LOT 2: Ihumwa Dry Port – Matumbulu – Nala Section

  • Contract Value: 120.860 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 14/02/2020
  • Length: 60.00 km
  • Cost per km: ~2.01 Billion TZS/km
  • Purpose: Facilitating logistics and trade efficiency through improved connectivity.

9. Moronga-Makete LOT2

  • Contract Value: 110.446 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 06/02/2017
  • Length: 53.50 km
  • Cost per km: ~2.06 Billion TZS/km

10. LOT 1: Nala – Veyula – Mtumba – Ihumwa Dry Port Section

  • Contract Value: 100.840 Billion TZS
  • Signing Date: 10/07/2020
  • Length: 52.30 km
  • Cost per km: ~1.93 Billion TZS/km

Key Observations and Trends

1. Cost Distribution

  • Total Value: 1,846.422 Billion TZS
  • Share of Total Budget: Represents 56.6% of all TANROADS projects analyzed.

2. Timeline Pattern

  • 2017–2020 Dominance:
    • 2017: 3 projects
    • 2018: 2 projects
    • 2019: 1 project
    • 2020: 2 projects
    • 2016: 1 project

3. Project Types

  • Specialized Infrastructure: High costs for unique projects like J.P. Magufuli Bridge and BRT Phase 2.
  • Road Networks: Focus on connectivity and regional development.
  • Urban Development: Projects like road widening (Kimara–Kibaha) address traffic and urban transit.

4. Cost Efficiency

  • Highest Cost per km: J.P. Magufuli Bridge (~185.19 Billion TZS/km) reflects the complexity and engineering required.
  • Lowest Cost per km: Komanga-Kasinde LOT2 and Kasinde-Mpanda LOT3 (~1.24 Billion TZS/km) due to simpler terrains or resource efficiency.

5. Geographic Distribution

  • Projects cover diverse regions, from urban centers like Dar es Salaam to rural areas, ensuring equitable development.

The analysis of the top 10 TANROADS projects provides several insights into Tanzania's infrastructure priorities and investment strategy:

1. Strategic Investment Priorities

  • Focus on High-Impact Projects: Projects like J.P. Magufuli Bridge and BRT Phase 2 Lot 1 emphasize TANROADS’ focus on large-scale, transformative infrastructure to support national and regional connectivity.
  • Urban vs. Regional Development: Investments are balanced between improving urban transit systems (e.g., BRT, Morogoro Road) and expanding rural road networks (e.g., Komanga-Kasinde LOT2).

2. Cost Efficiency and Project Complexity

  • High Costs for Specialized Projects:
    • J.P. Magufuli Bridge (~185.19 Billion TZS/km) showcases the cost-intensive nature of engineering projects requiring advanced technology and materials.
    • Urban projects like BRT also exhibit higher costs due to land acquisition and urban constraints.
  • Economies of Scale in Road Projects: Projects like Komanga-Kasinde LOT2 and Kasinde-Mpanda LOT3 (~1.24 Billion TZS/km) demonstrate efficiency in rural road construction.

3. Timeline and Budget Focus

  • Peak Signing Period (2017–2020): Most projects were signed during this period, signaling:
    • A deliberate push for infrastructure growth.
    • Alignment with Tanzania’s economic development plans, such as industrialization and regional trade facilitation.
  • Budget Allocation Concentration: The top 10 projects account for 56.6% of the total budget, reflecting a focus on a few, impactful developments rather than dispersing resources.

4. Geographic Distribution

  • Equitable Development: Projects are geographically distributed to ensure all regions benefit:
    • Urban improvements (e.g., BRT, Morogoro Road).
    • Rural connectivity (e.g., Komanga-Kasinde, Lusitu-Mawengi).

5. Infrastructure and Economic Growth Link

  • Trade and Logistics: Projects like Ihumwa Dry Port – Matumbulu and Nala – Veyula – Mtumba enhance logistics, supporting Tanzania as a trade hub for East Africa.
  • Urban Transit: BRT projects reduce urban congestion, enabling more efficient movement of people and goods.
  • Regional Integration: Roads connecting rural areas (e.g., Kasinde-Mpanda) improve market access for farmers and small businesses.

TANROADS is executing a deliberate strategy to prioritize impactful, high-value projects that address both urban and rural needs. By focusing on cost efficiency, geographic inclusivity, and economic relevance, these projects significantly enhance Tanzania’s infrastructure, trade capacity, and economic growth potential.

Top 10 TANROADS Projects by Contract Value (2015–2021):

RankProject NameContract Value (Billion TZS)Signing DateLength (km)Cost per km (Billion TZS)Key Highlights
1J.P. Magufuli Bridge592.60929/07/20193.20185.19Most expensive project, critical national transport link.
2BRT Phase 2 Lot 1189.40010/12/201820.309.33Urban transit infrastructure for Dar es Salaam.
3Lusitu-Mawengi LOT2159.21722/08/201650.003.18Enhances regional connectivity.
4Usesule-Komanga LOT1158.80012/11/2017117.671.35Large-scale, cost-efficient rural connectivity project.
5Widening of Morogoro Road (Kimara–Kibaha)140.45013/07/201819.207.32Urban road widening to reduce congestion and enhance trade flow.
6Komanga-Kasinde LOT2140.00012/11/2017112.801.24Efficient road project supporting rural regions.
7Kasinde-Mpanda LOT3133.80012/11/2017108.001.24Complements Komanga-Kasinde project to strengthen connectivity.
8LOT 2: Ihumwa Dry Port – Matumbulu – Nala120.86014/02/202060.002.01Improves logistics for trade efficiency.
9Moronga-Makete LOT2110.44606/02/201753.502.06Supports regional transport connectivity.
10LOT 1: Nala – Veyula – Mtumba – Ihumwa100.84010/07/202052.301.93Facilitates transport and logistics efficiency.

Key Observations:

  • Highest Value: J.P. Magufuli Bridge dominates at 592.609 Billion TZS with the highest cost per km.
  • Most Cost-Efficient: Komanga-Kasinde LOT2 and Kasinde-Mpanda LOT3, each at 1.24 Billion TZS/km.
  • Balanced Focus: Mix of urban projects (e.g., BRT, Morogoro Road) and rural road networks to boost connectivity and trade.

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Strategic Growth in TANROADS Investments 2015–2021

Between 2015 and 2021, TANROADS has strategically increased infrastructure investments, focusing on high-value projects to drive Tanzania's economic growth. Over this period, the total investment reached 3,264.173 Billion TZS, with a peak average project value of 119.40 Billion TZS per project in 2019. In 2021, despite only 4 projects, the average remained high at 81.41 Billion TZS per project, emphasizing a shift toward impactful, large-scale infrastructure that strengthens national and regional connectivity.

Yearly Breakdown

2021

  • Projects: 4 (Kasulu-Manyovu, Kanyani-Mvugwe, Mvugwe-Nduta, Nduta-Kabingo)
  • Total: 325.64 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 81.41 Billion TZS

2020

  • Projects: 9 (Nala-Ihumwa Dry Port, Nachingwea-Ruangwa, Sanzate-Natta)
  • Total: 431.64 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 47.96 Billion TZS

2019

  • Projects: 6 (J.P. Magufuli Bridge, Kazilambwa-Chagu, Kibondo Town Link)
  • Total: 716.412 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 119.40 Billion TZS

2018

  • Projects: 4 (BRT Phase 2, Songea Airport, Wami Bridge)
  • Total: 434.72 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 108.68 Billion TZS

2017

  • Projects: 10 (Key examples: Chunya-Makongolosi, Mtwara Airport, Shinyanga Airport)
  • Total: 688.561 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 68.86 Billion TZS

2016

  • Projects: 4 (Lusitu-Mawengi, Kidatu-Ifakara)
  • Total: 378.878 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 94.72 Billion TZS

2015 and Earlier

  • Projects: 12 (Kikusya-Ipinda-Matema, Nyakanazi-Kibondo)
  • Total: 288.322 Billion TZS
  • Average per project: 24.03 Billion TZS

Insights

  1. Peak Year: The highest average project value was in 2019, highlighting significant investments in high-value infrastructure.
  2. Earlier Projects: Projects before 2015 had much lower average values, reflecting either smaller scopes or older pricing trends.
  3. Consistent Growth: Recent projects (2020–2021) show a steady increase in total project values with relatively fewer but higher-value contracts.

The figures reveals key insights about TANROADS' project trends and priorities over the years:

1. Investment Growth Over Time

  • Increasing Project Value: The significant jump in total and average project values from earlier years (2015 and before) to recent years highlights growing investment in infrastructure. This may indicate:
    • Prioritization of large-scale projects.
    • Increased funding availability or enhanced budget allocation for road infrastructure.
  • Strategic Focus on High-Value Projects: 2019 was a peak year with the highest average project value, showing TANROADS' focus on impactful projects.

2. Recent Trends (2020–2021)

  • Fewer Projects, Higher Value: Despite fewer projects in 2021, the average value per project (81.41 Billion TZS) is high, reflecting a shift toward:
    • Strategic planning for major regional or national connectivity.
    • Enhanced quality and scope of individual projects.
  • Funding Efficiency: A reduced number of projects but higher value per project suggests a deliberate focus on impactful and sustainable infrastructure.

3. Earlier Years (2015 and Before)

  • Smaller Scopes and Budgets: Lower average project values likely indicate:
    • Smaller-scale or regionally focused road projects.
    • A phase of laying foundational infrastructure rather than ambitious nationwide connectivity goals.

4. Long-Term Trends

  • Focus on Key Transport Corridors: Many projects link significant trade hubs or regions, such as:
    • Kasulu-Manyovu for international trade with Burundi.
    • Nala-Dry Port, enhancing transport and logistics efficiency in central Tanzania.
  • Economic Growth Impact: Infrastructure development aligns with Tanzania’s broader economic goals, such as improving trade, reducing transport costs, and enabling regional integration.

What This Means

  • Economic Development: Increased spending on high-value projects reflects efforts to bolster Tanzania’s economic growth by improving transport and logistics.
  • Global Investment Attraction: The upward trend in project scope and value may help attract international investors, particularly for Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs).
  • Strategic Planning: Recent years demonstrate a focus on fewer, well-targeted projects to maximize infrastructure impact.

The top 10 projects by contract value.

RankProject NameYearContract Sum (Bil TZS)
1J.P. Magufuli Bridge2019592.609
2BRT Phase 2 Lot 12018189.400
3LUSITU-MAWENGI LOT22016159.217
4USESULE-KOMANGA LOT12017158.800
5WIDENING OF MOROGORO ROAD (KIMARA –KIBAHA)2018140.450
6KOMANGA KASINDE LOT22017140.000
7KASINDE-MPANDA LOT32017133.800
8LOT 2: IHUMWA DRY PORT – MATUMBULU – NALA SECTION2020120.860
9LOT 1: NALA – VEYULA – MTUMBA – IHUMWA DRY PORT SECTION2020100.840
10MORONGA-MAKETE LOT22017110.446

Key observations:

  • The J.P. Magufuli Bridge is significantly more expensive than any other project
  • BRT Phase 2 Lot 1 is the second most expensive project
  • Most of these top 10 projects were signed between 2017-2020
  • Infrastructure projects (bridges, roads, and transit) dominate the highest-cost projects

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