Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Understanding Inflation in Tanzania: Sectoral Analysis for October 2023
November 8, 2023  
Understanding Inflation in Tanzania: Sectoral Analysis for October 2023 The annual headline inflation rate for October 2023 has seen a marginal decline, dropping from 3.3 percent in September 2023 to 3.2 percent. This decrease in headline inflation indicates that the rate of price change for goods and services over the year ending in October 2023 […]

Understanding Inflation in Tanzania: Sectoral Analysis for October 2023

The annual headline inflation rate for October 2023 has seen a marginal decline, dropping from 3.3 percent in September 2023 to 3.2 percent. This decrease in headline inflation indicates that the rate of price change for goods and services over the year ending in October 2023 has slightly slowed down compared to the rate recorded for the year ending in September 2023. Furthermore, the overall index has increased from 108.73 in October 2022 to 112.18 in October 2023.

These numbers represent the changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for each of these main groups over time, indicating inflation or deflation in each category. A positive change indicates inflation, while a negative change indicates deflation. The 12-month change shows the inflation rate over the past year for each category.

Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 112.55
  • Inflation in September 2023: 118.17
  • Inflation in October 2023: 117.57
  • 1-Month Change: -0.5
  • 12-Month Change: 4.5

 Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 103.6
  • Inflation in September 2023: 107.3
  • Inflation in October 2023: 107.17
  • 1-Month Change: -0.1
  • 12-Month Change: 3.4

 Clothing and Footwear:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 107.47
  • Inflation in September 2023: 110.81
  • Inflation in October 2023: 110.72
  • 1-Month Change: -0.1
  • 12-Month Change: 3.0

Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas, and Other Fuels:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 108.06
  • Inflation in September 2023: 109.41
  • Inflation in October 2023: 109.41
  • 1-Month Change: 0.0
  • 12-Month Change: 1.2

 Household Maintenance:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 107.74
  • Inflation in September 2023: 111.44
  • Inflation in October 2023: 111.44
  • 1-Month Change: 0.0
  • 12-Month Change: 3.4

 Health:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 104.59
  • Inflation in September 2023: 106.37
  • Inflation in October 2023: 106.35
  • 1-Month Change: 0.0
  • 12-Month Change: 1.7

 Transport:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 110.37
  • Inflation in September 2023: 113.42
  • Inflation in October 2023: 113.77
  • 1-Month Change: 0.3
  • 12-Month Change: 3.1

 Information and Communication:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 103.26
  • Inflation in September 2023: 104.93
  • Inflation in October 2023: 104.72
  • 1-Month Change: -0.2
  • 12-Month Change: 1.4

 Recreation, Sports, and Culture:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 104.64
  • Inflation in September 2023: 107.45
  • Inflation in October 2023: 107.58
  • 1-Month Change: 0.1
  • 12-Month Change: 2.8

 Education Services:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 101.9
  • Inflation in September 2023: 105.48
  • Inflation in October 2023: 105.48
  • 1-Month Change: 0.0
  • 12-Month Change: 3.5

 Restaurants and Accommodation Services:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 107.85
  • Inflation in September 2023: 113.04
  • Inflation in October 2023: 113.14
  • 1-Month Change: 0.1
  • 12-Month Change: 4.9

 Insurance and Financial Services:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 100.1
  • Inflation in September 2023: 100.65
  • Inflation in October 2023: 100.66
  • 1-Month Change: 0.0
  • 12-Month Change: 0.6

Personal Care, Social Protection, and Miscellaneous Goods and Services:

  • Inflation in October 2022: 105.5
  • Inflation in September 2023: 109.46
  • Inflation in October 2023: 109.27
  • 1-Month Change: -0.2
  • 12-Month Change: 3.6

 

The data shows that while there is inflation in many categories, it varies across sectors. This can be a reflection of different factors impacting each sector of the economy. Rising food and transport costs may pose challenges for households, while sectors with stable or declining prices may provide some relief. The government and policymakers need to monitor these trends and implement appropriate measures to manage inflation and promote economic stability and growth in the country.

The inflation rates in Tanzania for different categories can provide some insights into the country's economic performance. Inflation is an important economic indicator, and its behavior in different sectors can offer clues about overall economic health:

Overall Inflation Trend:

The 12-month change in the various categories shows that, on average, there has been inflation in Tanzania over the past year. This indicates a general increase in prices across these categories.

Food Inflation:

Food and non-alcoholic beverages, a significant part of consumer spending, have seen a 12-month change of 4.5%, shows rising food prices. High food inflation can impact the cost of living and potentially lead to challenges for households.

Stable Housing and Household Maintenance Costs:

Housing, water, electricity, gas, household maintenance, and household equipment categories have shown relatively stable inflation rates over the 12-month period, which can indicate some stability in these essential areas of expenditure.

Rising Transport Costs:

Transport has seen a 12-month change of 3.1%, indicating increasing costs in this sector. This can affect both individuals and businesses, as it may result in higher transportation expenses.

Education and Health Costs:

Education services and health have both seen 12-month changes indicating inflation, which might be a concern for individuals and families seeking these essential services.

Variability in Other Categories:

Other categories like clothing and footwear, recreation, and personal care show mixed inflation trends, with some increasing and some decreasing. These fluctuations may reflect changes in consumer preferences and supply and demand dynamics.

Inflation in Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco:

The category of alcoholic beverages and tobacco has seen a 12-month change of 3.4%. This could be an indicator of increased consumption in these items or possible tax changes affecting their prices.

Positive Trends in Restaurants and Accommodation Services:

The 12-month change in restaurants and accommodation services indicates a 4.9% increase, which may show growth in the hospitality and dining sector.

Stability in Insurance and Financial Services:

The category of insurance and financial services has seen minimal change over the 12-month period, indicating stability in this sector.

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