Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania Inflation Rates

In Tanzania, the inflation rate serves as a crucial indicator of the country's economic stability and purchasing power. The inflation rate measures the percentage change in the general price level of goods and services over a specific period, typically a year. It reflects the rate at which the purchasing power of the national currency is eroded. Tanzania has experienced fluctuations in inflation rates over the years, influenced by various factors such as changes in global commodity prices, domestic supply and demand dynamics, exchange rate movements, and government policies. Managing inflation is a key challenge for Tanzanian policymakers as they aim to strike a balance between supporting economic growth and ensuring price stability to safeguard the welfare of citizens. Monitoring inflation rates closely allows policymakers to implement appropriate monetary and fiscal measures to mitigate inflationary pressures and maintain macroeconomic stability. Additionally, understanding inflation trends assists businesses and consumers in making informed decisions regarding investments, savings, and consumption patterns, contributing to overall economic resilience and prosperity in Tanzania.

Tanzania Money Supply

The data on Tanzania's Money Supply for October 2023 reveals dynamic shifts in the country's monetary landscape with implications for economic stability and policy formulation. Highlighting both domestic and external factors, the notable decline in net foreign assets alongside a simultaneous increase in net domestic assets underscores the interplay between global economic conditions and domestic policy measures. While the expansion in the Extended Broad Money (M3) points towards growing liquidity, the more tempered growth in Broad Money Supply (M2) reflects nuanced trends in domestic credit dynamics. These fluctuations signify a delicate balancing act for Tanzanian policymakers as they navigate between stimulating domestic credit to spur economic activity while safeguarding against inflationary pressures and external vulnerabilities. Moreover, contrasting trends within narrow money supply (M1) and other deposits indicate evolving preferences in savings and liquidity management among individuals and businesses, suggesting potential shifts in confidence levels and investment strategies within the economy. Overall, analyzing Tanzania's Money Supply data provides essential insights into monetary policy effectiveness, economic resilience, and financial system stability, guiding stakeholders in their decision-making processes.

Tanzania Export and Import Rates

In December 2023, Tanzania experienced robust growth in its export sector, with exports of goods and services increasing by 17% compared to the previous year and by an impressive 42% over the past two years. This expansion suggests successful penetration into international markets and potential diversification of export products. Meanwhile, imports of goods and services saw a slight decline of 4%, maintaining relatively high levels, indicating sustained demand for foreign goods and inputs to support domestic consumption and production. Despite the decline, imports continue to play a vital role in supporting Tanzania's economy. The improvement in the Balance of Payment, narrowing from a deficit of $4.688 billion in 2022 to $2.083 billion in 2023, reflects a more balanced trade situation, with export growth outpacing import growth. These trends underscore the importance of maintaining a sustainable trade balance to support economic stability and growth in Tanzania, while also emphasizing the need for policies to further enhance export competitiveness and manage import dependency effectively.

Tanzania Current Account

The data on Tanzania's Current Account for December 2023 reveals a mixed picture of the country's economic interactions with the rest of the world. While Tanzania continues to face a deficit in its goods trade, marked by imports exceeding exports, there has been a significant improvement in the services trade, with a notable increase in service exports contributing positively to the trade balance. Despite ongoing challenges in balancing income flows, as indicated by deficits in both the Primary and Secondary income accounts, there has been a substantial improvement in the overall Current Account balance, with the deficit declining significantly compared to the previous year. This suggests progress towards a more balanced trade and income position for Tanzania, although structural issues in goods trade and income generation remain to be addressed for sustained economic stability and growth.

Tanzania Debts Development

The data on Tanzania's debt development underscores a nuanced picture of the country's borrowing trends and their implications for fiscal stability. While external debt has shown a slight decrease of 3%, indicating prudent management strategies to control external financial risks, domestic debt has increased by 2%, reflecting a growing reliance on local sources of financing, potentially for funding government expenditures or development projects. Despite the overall decrease in total debts by 2%, driven by the decline in external borrowing, the year-on-year increase of 7% signals ongoing borrowing activities to meet financial obligations and investment needs. Balancing between leveraging both external and domestic financing sources while ensuring debt remains manageable and sustainable is crucial for Tanzania's long-term economic health. Effective debt management practices will be essential to navigate the borrowing landscape and maintain fiscal sustainability, ensuring that debt levels support, rather than hinder, the country's economic growth and stability aspirations.

Tanzania Investment Development

Tanzania's investment development as of January 2024 portrays a promising outlook marked by a diverse portfolio of projects valued at USD 422 million, set to create over 7,220 jobs. Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a significant role, with Mauritius, China, and India emerging as key contributors, particularly in sectors like manufacturing, transportation, and agriculture. Simultaneously, domestic investment priorities focus on areas such as transportation, services, and mining, reflecting efforts to bolster infrastructure and economic diversification. The sectoral distribution underscores Tanzania's strategic approach to promote growth across multiple industries, with an emphasis on job creation and inclusive economic expansion. These developments signal a favorable investment climate and a commitment to sustainable development, positioning Tanzania for continued progress and prosperity in the global economy.

tanzania-economic-updates-march-2024Download

Navigating Challenges and Seizing Opportunities

Executive Summary:

The Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) sector in Tanzania, particularly in Dar es Salaam, plays a crucial role in driving economic growth, fostering innovation, and creating employment opportunities. However, despite its significance, the sector faces formidable challenges that hinder its sustainable development and growth.

This executive summary provides an overview of the key findings and recommendations derived from a comprehensive study conducted to understand the dynamics of the Tanzania MSME landscape, explore the challenges and opportunities facing small businesses, and assess the effectiveness of government support mechanisms and regulatory frameworks.

Key Findings:

Recommendations:

Conclusion:

Tanzania can unlock the full potential of small businesses, drive sustainable economic growth, and catalyze socio-economic transformation in the country. Collaboration between stakeholders is critical to address the multifaceted challenges facing MSMEs and create an inclusive and vibrant entrepreneurial ecosystem that empowers small businesses to thrive.

msmes-tanzaniaDownload

This research aims to investigate tax estimation methodologies employed by the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) and the Tanzanian government's evaluation of tax policies, with a focus on stakeholders' perspectives and experiences. Utilizing an online information gathering system, data was collected over a three-month period spanning from November 2023 to January 2024. The study primarily targeted businessmen and other stakeholders involved in business operations and taxation in Tanzania.

Findings from the research revealed several key insights:

Based on these findings, recommendations for policy refinement and future research include:

Hence, this research provides valuable insights into the complexities of tax estimation and policy evaluation in Tanzania, with implications for fostering a more equitable, transparent, and conducive tax environment for businesses.

Tanzania Tax Reform and Policy Planning 2024-2025Download

Enhancing the Business Environment in Tanzania

In the ever-evolving landscape of global commerce, the attractiveness of a country for investment hinges significantly on its business environment. For Tanzania, a nation with rich economic potential, understanding the intricacies of the business climate is paramount. This case study delves into the multifaceted aspects that shape the business environment in Tanzania, aiming to uncover valuable insights from the perspectives of diverse stakeholders. Our research draws on the experiences and expectations of local and foreign investors, development stakeholders, government officers, and businessmen, offering a holistic view of the challenges, opportunities, and dynamics influencing business decisions.

Research Objective:

Our primary objective is to provide a nuanced analysis of the Tanzanian business environment, employing a comprehensive methodology that combines in-depth interviews and online questionnaires. By engaging with key stakeholders, we seek to unearth the factors that either propel or impede investment, development initiatives, and the collaborative relationship between the government and businesses. The study period, spanning November to January 2023-2024, captures a current snapshot, allowing for a dynamic assessment of the prevailing conditions.

Doing Business in tanzania 2024-2025Download

Inflation Rates:

Tanzania's inflation rates, assessed across various sectors in December 2023, indicate a varied economic landscape. While the overall inflation rate stands at 113.34, showing a 3% increase over the year, certain sectors, such as clothing and footwear, witnessed significant month-to-month and year-to-year fluctuations. The data suggests that inflationary pressures are present, but the impact varies across different segments of the economy, potentially influenced by factors like supply chain disruptions or sector-specific dynamics.

Money Supply:

Tanzania's money supply in October 2023 reveals dynamic changes in both net foreign assets and net domestic assets. Notably, there was a substantial increase in extended broad money (M3), while narrow money supply (M1) experienced a decrease. This suggests fluctuations in the liquidity of the financial system, potentially influenced by changes in foreign reserves, domestic claims, and deposit dynamics. Policymakers may need to carefully monitor these trends for insights into economic stability and financial health.

Export to Import Rates:

Examining Tanzania's export-to-import rates for November 2023 reveals a positive growth trajectory in both exports and imports, with a notable increase in the balance of payments. Despite a minor decline in the export of goods and services, the import sector remained resilient, resulting in a decrease in the trade deficit. This data highlights the importance of assessing both export and import dynamics to understand the overall trade performance and economic resilience of the country.

Current Account:

The data on Tanzania's current account for November 2023 presents a mixed economic picture. While the services sector exhibits a surplus, the goods account and the overall goods and services balance reflect deficits, contributing to an overall current account deficit. The year-on-year changes underscore the dynamic nature of Tanzania's economic conditions, influenced by global trade patterns, commodity prices, and income flows. Policymakers may need to focus on strategies to address trade imbalances and ensure the sustainability of the current account position.

National Debts:

Tanzania's national debts development for November 2023 shows incremental growth in both external and domestic debts. External debt increased by 1%, while domestic debt saw a similar uptick. The total national debt reached 98,802,876.00 USD, reflecting a 7% increase over the year. Policymakers must carefully manage the country's debt levels, ensuring borrowed funds contribute to sustainable economic development and that the overall debt burden remains manageable over the long term.

Government Budget Analysis:

The government budget performance evaluation for October 2023 provides insights into Tanzania's financial management. While development expenditure increased by 50%, indicating a focus on long-term projects, revenue challenges were evident, particularly with a decrease in income tax collections. The expansion of the budget deficit by 44% raises concerns about fiscal sustainability, requiring policymakers to refine strategies for revenue mobilization, cost management, and aligning expenditures with national priorities. The data suggests a nuanced view of both successes and challenges in the government's fiscal approach during this period.

Tanzania Economic Updates February-2024Download
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