Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania's Trade Performance
October 13, 2023  
Export and Import Trends (2021-2023) This research provided pertains to Tanzania's export and import statistics for the year 2021, 2022, and an estimate for 2023, along with the percentage change in these values over the past two years: Export of Goods and Services: Import of Goods and Services: Balance of Payment: While there is strong […]

Export and Import Trends (2021-2023)

This research provided pertains to Tanzania's export and import statistics for the year 2021, 2022, and an estimate for 2023, along with the percentage change in these values over the past two years:

Export of Goods and Services:

  • In 2021, Tanzania's exports of goods and services amounted to $9,197.4 million.
  • In 2022, this export value increased to $11,398 million, reflecting a 15% growth over the year.
  • The projection for 2023 shows a further increase, reaching $13,140.8 million, which is a 15% increase compared to 2022.
  • Over the two-year period from 2021 to 2023, exports have shown substantial growth of 43%.

Import of Goods and Services:

  • In 2021, Tanzania's imports of goods and services amounted to $10,260.4 million.
  • In 2022, the import value increased significantly to $14,995.6 million, representing a substantial 46% growth in imports.
  • The projection for 2023 indicates imports of $16,502.5 million, which is a 10% increase compared to 2022.
  • Over the two-year period from 2021 to 2023, imports have shown significant growth of 61%.

Balance of Payment:

  • The balance of payment represents the difference between exports and imports. In 2021, Tanzania had a negative balance of payment of -$1,063 million, indicating that imports exceeded exports.
  • In 2022, this negative balance further increased to -$3,597.6 million.
  • However, the projection for 2023 shows an improvement in the balance of payment, with a negative balance of -$3,361.7 million.
  • Despite the ongoing trade deficit, there has been a 7% reduction in the negative balance from 2022 to 2023.
  • Over the two-year period from 2021 to 2023, the balance of payment has increased substantially, primarily due to the higher import growth compared to exports, resulting in a 216% increase in the deficit.

While there is strong growth in both exports and imports, the faster growth in imports has led to a widening trade deficit. The improvement in the balance of payment from 2022 to 2023 shows efforts to address this imbalance.

Overall, the economic performance of Tanzania, as indicated by this research, highlights the importance of managing trade imbalances to ensure long-term economic stability and sustainability:

Export Growth:

Tanzania has experienced consistent growth in its exports of goods and services over the period from 2021 to the projected 2023. The 43% increase over this two-year span shows that the country has been successful in expanding its export activities. This growth can be an indicator of economic vitality, as it reflects the country's ability to produce and sell more goods and services to international markets.

Import Growth:

Imports have also grown significantly, with a 61% increase from 2021 to the estimated 2023 figures. While import growth can indicate economic activity and development, a substantially higher import growth rate compared to exports can lead to trade imbalances and potentially strain the balance of payments.

Trade Deficit:

The balance of payment data indicates that Tanzania has been running a trade deficit. This means that the value of goods and services imported exceeds the value of those exported. A trade deficit can have implications for a country's economic performance, as it implies that it is spending more on imports than it is earning from exports. While a trade deficit is not necessarily negative, it can become a concern if it is consistently widening.

Change in Balance of Payment:

The data shows that the balance of payment has improved slightly in 2023, with a 7% reduction in the negative balance compared to 2022. This could be seen as a positive sign, showing that Tanzania is working towards reducing the trade deficit, which is often a goal for policymakers.

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