Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania's Fiscal Health in August 2023: Reduced Deficit and Controlled Expenditure Despite Rising Interest Costs
November 7, 2023  
The government's fiscal performance, including expenditure control and revenue generation, and the resulting budget deficit. The actual performance shows a smaller deficit than initially projected, which may have implications for fiscal stability and government finances. Government Expenditure: Wages and Salaries: Interest Costs: Development Expenditure: Other Recurrent Expenditure: Total Government Expenditure: Government Revenues: Taxes on Imports: […]

The government's fiscal performance, including expenditure control and revenue generation, and the resulting budget deficit. The actual performance shows a smaller deficit than initially projected, which may have implications for fiscal stability and government finances.

Government Expenditure:

Wages and Salaries:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 822.9
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 825.9
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: 0%

Interest Costs:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 285.1
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 236.6
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: 20%

Development Expenditure:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 1,357.3
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 1,392.9
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -3%

Other Recurrent Expenditure:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 562.4
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 768.5
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -27%

Total Government Expenditure:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 3,028
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 3,224
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -6%

Government Revenues:

Taxes on Imports:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 824.7
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 719.4
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: 15%

Income Tax:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 988.9
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 950.6
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: 4%

Tax on Local Goods and Services:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 315.4
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 349.6
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -10%

Other Tax:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 114.5
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 126.7
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -10%

Non-Tax Revenues:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 293.2
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 338.8
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -13%

Total Government Revenues:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): 2,537
  • Budgeted/Estimated: 2,485
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: 2%

Deficit:

  • Actual Operations (August 2023): -491
  • Budgeted/Estimated: -738.8
  • Percentage Change Between Actual and Estimated: -34%

Key takeaways from this data:

  • Government expenditure in August 2023 was slightly below the budgeted and estimated figures.
  • Interest costs exceeded the budgeted amount, indicating increased borrowing costs.
  • Development expenditure was slightly less than budgeted.
  • Other recurrent expenditure was significantly lower than the budgeted amount.
  • Government revenues exceeded the budgeted and estimated figures.
  • The budget deficit in August 2023 was smaller than originally estimated.

Tanzania's government was able to maintain some control over its fiscal situation in August 2023, which is a positive sign for the country's economic stability. Effective expenditure management, revenue collection, and deficit reduction are essential components of sound fiscal policy:

Expenditure Control:

The government managed to control its expenditure in August 2023, with actual spending coming in slightly below the budgeted and estimated figures. This shows prudent financial management.

Interest Costs:

The fact that interest costs exceeded the budgeted amount by 20% indicates that the government may have had to pay more in interest on its debt during the month. This could be a result of higher borrowing costs or increased debt servicing requirements. 

Development Expenditure:

Although development expenditure was slightly less than budgeted, it remains a significant part of the budget. This indicates the government's commitment to investment in infrastructure and development projects.

Other Recurrent Expenditure:

The significant decrease in other recurrent expenditure compared to the budgeted amount (-27%) might reflect cost-cutting measures or adjustments in specific spending areas. 

Government Revenues:

Government revenues exceeded the budgeted and estimated figures, which is a positive sign for the country's fiscal health. This could be due to improved tax collection or other sources of revenue.

 Deficit Reduction:

The budget deficit in August 2023 was substantially smaller (-34%) than the initial estimate, indicating that the government managed its finances more efficiently during the month. A reduced deficit is generally positive for fiscal stability.

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