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Tanzania's Central Government Budgetary Operations: Revenue, Expenditure & the Fiscal Balance — TICGL
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Source: TICGL/TERI Analysis of BOT Monthly Economic Review — September 2026
TICGL Analysis Government Budget Series Fiscal Policy

Tanzania's Central Government Budgetary Operations: Revenue, Expenditure and the Fiscal Balance

This analysis sits alongside TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series and drills into the operational detail behind it: how much the central government actually collected and spent in June 2026, how the full FY2025/26 fiscal year closed against its original budget, how the resulting balance was financed, and how revenue, expenditure and the deficit have moved as shares of GDP since FY2017/18. The picture that emerges is of a government collecting more tax than planned while quietly reallocating spending toward wages and recurrent transfers — even as development spending's share of the economy keeps shrinking.

📅 Published: September 2026 · Reference period: FY2017/18 – FY2025/26 📊 Basis: Bank of Tanzania Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 📖 Reading time: ~14 minutes ✍️ Analysis: Tanzania Economic Research Institute (TERI), for TICGL
Revenue Collected, June 2026
TZS 4,658.2bn 105.4% of target
Tax Revenue, June 2026
TZS 3,733.2bn 112.5% of target
FY2025/26 Overall Deficit
TZS 6,147.7bn 15% narrower than budget
Overall Balance / GDP, FY2024/25
-3.0% vs -1.9% in FY2017/18

Figures are drawn from the Bank of Tanzania's Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Table A2: Central Government Operations — Cheques Issued — Tanzania Mainland; Table A1: Selected Economic Indicators; Charts 2.5.1 and 2.5.2), and from TICGL/TERI computations on that data. See sources and methodology.

01 — OverviewExecutive Summary

Central government budgetary operations — the month-by-month, shilling-by-shilling record of what government collects and what it spends — are where fiscal policy meets fiscal reality. This report reads that record from the Bank of Tanzania's August 2026 Monthly Economic Review, at three levels of resolution: the single month of June 2026, the full fiscal year July 2025 to June 2026 measured against its original budget, and the eight-year structural trend in revenue, expenditure and the balance as shares of GDP.

Three things stand out. First, revenue collection is genuinely outperforming — both in June 2026 and across the full fiscal year — driven mainly by stronger income tax and import tax collection. Second, that revenue strength is not simply flowing to the bottom line: the wage bill and other recurrent transfers ran well above their original budget allocations for the year, even as interest costs and grants came in below plan. Third, and most structurally significant, development expenditure's share of GDP has fallen for three straight years after peaking in FY2021/22, while current expenditure's share has climbed to a series high — a rebalancing toward recurrent spending that revenue overperformance has so far cushioned rather than reversed.

  • June 2026 revenue beat target by 5.4%, reaching TZS 4,658.2 billion, with tax revenue 12.5% above target at TZS 3,733.2 billion — reflecting continued gains in tax administration and compliance.
  • June 2026 expenditure came in under plan. Total spending of TZS 4,720.0 billion was 94.8% of the monthly estimate, with both recurrent (94.4%) and development (95.4%) expenditure below plan, narrowing the deficit to TZS 362.6 billion from a planned TZS 371.3 billion.
  • The full FY2025/26 fiscal year closed with revenue 3.6% above the original budget (TZS 41,930.4 billion against TZS 40,466.1 billion) and expenditure essentially on budget at 99.3% (TZS 48,451.0 billion against TZS 48,775.0 billion), leaving an overall deficit of TZS 6,147.7 billion — about 15% narrower than the TZS 7,239.0 billion originally budgeted.
  • Underneath that headline discipline, spending was reallocated. The wage bill ran 21.6% above its original budget and other goods, services and transfers ran 76.5% above budget, while interest payments came in 13.7% below budget and grants fell 14.2% short of budget.
  • The long-run trend shows a structural shift toward recurrent spending. Current expenditure to GDP climbed from 10.2% in FY2017/18 to a series-high 11.9% in FY2024/25, while development expenditure to GDP fell from a FY2021/22 peak of 9.2% to 6.9% in FY2024/25 — even as the overall deficit narrowed from its FY2021/22 peak of 4.1% of GDP to 3.0% in FY2024/25, still wider than the 1.9% recorded in FY2017/18.
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Part of TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series

This piece drills into the operational side of the same 26-year Ministry of Finance and Bank of Tanzania fiscal dataset used across TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series: Revenue & Expenditure, 2000-2026, Revenue & Tax Structure, 2000-2025, and Tanzania's Reliance on VAT. Read together, they move from the 26-year structural view down to this report's month-by-month operational lens.

Read: Tanzania Government Revenue & Expenditure, 2000-2026 →
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About TERI — TICGL's Research Institute

This report was produced under the Tanzania Economic Research Institute (TERI), TICGL's dedicated research arm covering public finance, fiscal policy and Tanzania's broader economic development. It draws on the Bank of Tanzania's monthly publication cycle to keep TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series current between the deeper structural updates, and forms part of TERI's wider Tanzania Works: The Political Economy of Shared Prosperity series, produced to be adapted directly into government, parliamentary and development-partner policy briefs.

Visit TERI — teri.ticgl.com →

02 — At a GlanceKey Numbers From the Budgetary Operations

Total Revenue, FY2025/26 (Actual)
TZS 41,930.4bn
103.6% of the original budget
Total Expenditure, FY2025/26 (Actual)
TZS 48,451.0bn
99.3% of the original budget
Wage Bill, FY2025/26 (Actual)
TZS 13,279.3bn
21.6% above the original budget
Development Expenditure, FY2025/26
TZS 17,057.2bn
97.5% of the original budget
Non-Tax Revenue, June 2026
TZS 778.9bn
81.7% of the monthly target
Foreign Financing (net), FY2025/26
TZS 2,705.9bn
Loans, less amortisation, plus basket support
Current Expenditure / GDP, FY2024/25
11.9%
Series-high, up from 10.2% in FY2017/18
Development Expenditure / GDP, FY2024/25
6.9%
Down from a 9.2% peak in FY2021/22

Central Government Revenue, June 2026

TZS billions, by revenue category — 2025 actual, 2026 monthly estimate, 2026 actual

Source: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Chart 2.5.1); TICGL/TERI presentation.

03 — MethodologyReading the Budgetary Operations Data

Central government budgetary operations are reported by the Bank of Tanzania on a "cheques issued" basis — the point at which government cheques (or equivalent electronic payment instructions) are released, rather than when funds are appropriated in the budget. This report uses three complementary cuts of that data from the Ministry of Finance and Bank of Tanzania: the June 2026 monthly outturn against its in-year estimate; the cumulative outturn for the full fiscal year July 2025 to June 2026 against the original 2025/26 budget; and the eight-year series of fiscal ratios to GDP for FY2017/18 through FY2024/25, which captures the structural trend beneath any single year's numbers.

How the figures were organised

Revenue is grouped into taxes on imports, sales/VAT and excise on local goods, income taxes, other taxes, non-tax revenue, and LGA own sources, following the Ministry of Finance's own categorisation. Expenditure is grouped into recurrent expenditure (wages and salaries, interest payments, and other goods, services and transfers) and development expenditure and net lending (local and foreign components). Where a "% of budget" or "% of target" figure is cited, it compares the actual figure against either the original annual budget or the relevant in-year monthly or annual estimate, as stated in each case.

Why this analysis, why now

TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series has so far examined 26-year structural trends in revenue, tax composition and VAT. This report complements that work by tracking the government's actual month-to-month and year-to-year budget execution — the gap (or lack of one) between what is planned and what is delivered — which is where near-term fiscal risk and opportunity typically first show up.

1. June 2026 Snapshot: Revenue Beats Target, Spending Stays Below Plan

Revenue up, spending disciplined
Theme I of IV

In June 2026, government resources — domestic revenue plus grants — reached TZS 4,658.2 billion, 5.4% above the monthly target. Central government revenue made up TZS 4,512.1 billion of that, or 96.9% of the total, with local government authorities' own sources contributing the balance.

Table 1: Central government revenue and expenditure, June 2026 (TZS billions)
Item2025 Actual2026 Estimate2026 Actual% of Estimate
Taxes on imports1,012.1995.61,213.3121.9%
Income tax1,441.81,436.41,702.9118.6%
Taxes on local goods and services490.9684.6587.585.8%
Other taxes164.0203.2229.5112.9%
Non-tax revenue470.4953.8778.981.7%
Grants53.0188.8118.762.9%
Wages and salaries970.71,119.81,163.1103.9%
Interest costs571.3644.0597.492.8%
Other recurrent expenditure898.61,201.61,037.586.3%
Development expenditure909.42,014.41,922.195.4%

Source: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Charts 2.5.1 and 2.5.2). % of Estimate computed by TICGL/TERI.

Central Government Expenditure, June 2026

TZS billions, by expenditure category — 2025 actual, 2026 monthly estimate, 2026 actual

Two things about June are worth separating. On the revenue side, taxes on imports and income tax both beat their estimates comfortably — by 21.9% and 18.6% respectively — while taxes on local goods and services (largely domestic VAT) and non-tax revenue fell short. On the expenditure side, every recurrent and development category landed at or below its monthly estimate except wages, which came in 3.9% above plan even in a month of overall spending restraint. Total expenditure of TZS 4,720.0 billion against an estimate of TZS 4,979.8 billion meant the Bank of Tanzania could describe June as the government "successfully aligning its expenditure with available resources."

TICGL reading
  • Import and income tax strength is the story of the month — both categories beat target by close to a fifth, doing most of the work in the overall 5.4% revenue overperformance.
  • Non-tax revenue and grants are the two categories to watch — both under-delivered relative to estimate, and both are typically the least predictable parts of the revenue base month to month.

2. The Full FY2025/26 Outturn: Revenue Overperformance Meets Spending Reallocation

On budget overall, reshuffled underneath
Theme II of IV

Zooming out from June to the full fiscal year — July 2025 through June 2026 — tells a related but distinct story. Total revenue for the year reached TZS 41,930.4 billion, 3.6% above the original TZS 40,466.1 billion budget, with tax revenue alone running 7.5% ahead of its TZS 32,176.0 billion budget. Total expenditure of TZS 48,451.0 billion landed almost exactly on the TZS 48,775.0 billion original budget, at 99.3%.

Table 2: FY2025/26 revenue, TZS billions — original budget vs in-year estimate vs actual (July 2025 – June 2026)
Revenue itemBudgetFY EstimateFY ActualActual / Budget
Taxes on imports11,563.011,563.012,559.2108.6%
Sales/VAT and excise on local goods7,016.57,016.56,492.392.5%
Income tax11,367.911,268.613,220.6116.3%
Other taxes4,887.72,328.02,307.247.2%
Non-tax revenue4,681.76,609.65,744.5122.7%
Grants1,069.91,052.7917.685.8%
LGA own sources1,680.51,680.51,606.795.6%
Total revenue (incl. LGAs)40,466.140,466.141,930.4103.6%

Source: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Table A2). Figures are in billions of TZS, rounded from Table A2's underlying millions.

FY2025/26 Revenue: Budget vs Full-Year Actual

TZS billions, July 2025 – June 2026
Table 3: FY2025/26 expenditure, TZS billions — original budget vs in-year estimate vs actual (July 2025 – June 2026)
Expenditure itemBudgetFY EstimateFY ActualActual / Budget
Wages and salaries10,917.513,121.513,279.3121.6%
Interest payments6,493.76,938.95,605.386.3%
Other goods, services and transfers7,088.611,109.212,509.2176.5%
Recurrent expenditure31,281.331,169.631,393.7100.4%
Development expenditure and net lending17,493.717,605.417,057.297.5%
Total expenditure48,775.048,775.048,451.099.3%
Grants received1,069.91,052.7917.685.8%
Overall balance-7,239.0-7,256.2-6,147.784.9%

Source: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Table A2). "Actual/Budget" for the overall balance is expressed as the actual deficit's share of the budgeted deficit — a lower percentage means a smaller-than-planned deficit.

FY2025/26 Expenditure: Budget vs Full-Year Actual

TZS billions, July 2025 – June 2026

The headline is reassuring — total expenditure landing at 99.3% of budget looks like textbook fiscal discipline. But the composition tells a more complicated story. The wage bill overshot its original budget by 21.6%, and other goods, services and transfers overshot theirs by a striking 76.5%. Both were financed, in effect, by interest payments coming in 13.7% below budget (helped by lower foreign interest costs) and by development expenditure landing close to, but slightly below, its original allocation at 97.5%. Non-tax revenue also beat its original budget by 22.7% even though it undershot the higher in-year estimate the government had set for itself mid-year.

TICGL reading
  • The wage bill and other recurrent transfers are the categories driving budget deviation — both were re-estimated upward during the year and then still ran ahead of even those higher in-year estimates for wages, or close to them for other transfers.
  • Development expenditure absorbed some of the adjustment — landing 2.5% below its original budget even after revenue overperformed, which is the opposite of what a straightforward "windfall funds more investment" story would predict.

3. Financing the Gap: Foreign Loans Do the Heavy Lifting

External financing dominant, domestic role shrinking
Theme III of IV

An overall deficit has to be financed from somewhere, and how it is financed matters as much as its size. For the full FY2025/26 year, the TZS 6,147.7 billion overall deficit was financed by TZS 2,705.9 billion in net foreign financing and TZS 3,441.7 billion in net domestic financing — split roughly 44% foreign and 56% domestic across the year as a whole.

Table 4: Financing of the overall balance, TZS billions
ItemFY2025/26 ActualJune 2026 Actual
Overall balance (deficit)-6,147.7-362.6
Foreign financing (net)2,705.9477.4
  o/w Loans (net of amortisation)2,637.0477.4
Domestic financing (net)3,441.7-114.8
  o/w Bank borrowing1,544.0-242.6
  o/w Non-bank (net of amortisation)1,897.8127.8

Source: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Table A2). Figures rounded from underlying millions of TZS; "o/w" denotes "of which".

June 2026 illustrates how differently a single month can look from the annual average. That month's smaller-than-planned deficit of TZS 362.6 billion was covered entirely by TZS 477.4 billion in net foreign financing, while the government actually made a net repayment of TZS 114.8 billion on domestic obligations — driven mainly by a TZS 242.6 billion net repayment to banks that was only partly offset by continued net non-bank borrowing. In a month when tax revenue overperformed, the government used the room created to pay down domestic debt rather than borrow further at home.

TICGL reading

Financing mix matters for debt sustainability as much as the deficit's headline size does. A financing pattern that leans on foreign loans in strong revenue months, while still drawing meaningfully on domestic bank and non-bank borrowing across the full year, is worth tracking alongside Tanzania's separately reported external and domestic debt stock data (Bank of Tanzania Monthly Economic Review, Sections 2.6 and 3.3), which sits outside the scope of this revenue-and-expenditure-focused report but is a natural next step for TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series.

4. The Eight-Year Trend: Recurrent Spending Is Crowding Out Development Spending

A structural shift, not a one-year blip
Theme IV of IV

Single-year budget execution is one lens; the eight-year run of fiscal ratios to GDP from FY2017/18 to FY2024/25 is another, and it points to a more durable structural shift. Government revenue to GDP has been broadly stable to slightly rising, from 14.8% in FY2017/18 to 15.6% in FY2024/25 (with a dip to 13.7% in the COVID-affected FY2020/21). Current expenditure to GDP, by contrast, climbed steadily to a series-high 11.9% of GDP in FY2024/25 — its highest point in the eight years shown — while development expenditure to GDP fell to 6.9% of GDP, down from a peak of 9.2% in FY2021/22.

Table 5: Fiscal ratios to GDP, FY2017/18 – FY2024/25 (%)
Fiscal yearRevenue / GDPCurrent Exp. / GDPDevelopment Exp. / GDPOverall Balance / GDP
2017/1814.810.26.6-1.9
2018/1914.310.76.5-3.3
2019/2015.010.17.1-1.9
2020/2113.79.97.8-4.0
2021/2214.99.89.2-3.6
2022/2315.011.07.4-3.1
2023/2414.710.87.2-3.1
2024/2515.611.96.9-3.0

Source: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 (Table A1: Selected Economic Indicators, fiscal operations, items 4.1–4.6). Ratios computed on GDP at current market prices.

Revenue, Expenditure and the Overall Balance as Shares of GDP

Percent of GDP, FY2017/18 – FY2024/25

Read together, the ratio to GDP of current expenditure minus development expenditure — a rough gauge of how "recurrent-heavy" the budget has become — widened from 3.6 percentage points in FY2017/18 to 5.0 percentage points in FY2024/25, its widest point in the series. This lines up closely with what Theme 2 found in the FY2025/26 execution data: a wage bill and recurrent transfer overshoot financed partly at development expenditure's expense. The overall deficit has narrowed since its FY2021/22 peak of 4.1% of GDP, but at 3.0% of GDP in FY2024/25 it remains meaningfully wider than the 1.9% recorded in FY2017/18, even with revenue to GDP now higher than it was then.

Reconciling the two views

Stronger tax administration has genuinely lifted revenue collection, both in the FY2025/26 in-year data and in the modest upward drift of revenue to GDP over eight years. But that additional revenue has been largely absorbed by a growing wage bill and recurrent transfers rather than translating into either a materially smaller deficit or a larger development expenditure envelope. The practical policy question this raises is not whether Tanzania collects enough tax — collection is improving — but whether the current expenditure structure directs enough of that improvement toward the development spending that FYDP IV and Dira 2050 depend on.

05 — SynthesisCross-Cutting Synthesis: Budgetary Operations in One Picture

Revenue collection is genuinely improving

Both the June 2026 monthly outturn and the full FY2025/26 year show tax revenue running comfortably ahead of target, led by income tax and import taxes.

Recurrent spending is absorbing the gains

The wage bill and other recurrent transfers overshot their original FY2025/26 budgets by 21.6% and 76.5% respectively, offsetting much of the revenue overperformance.

Development spending's share is shrinking

Development expenditure to GDP has fallen for three straight years from its FY2021/22 peak of 9.2% to 6.9% in FY2024/25, even as current expenditure to GDP hit a series high.

The deficit is narrower, but the mix has shifted

The overall balance to GDP has improved from its FY2021/22 low point, but at 3.0% of GDP it remains wider than FY2017/18's 1.9%, financed increasingly through a mix of foreign loans and domestic bank and non-bank borrowing.

06 — RecommendationsPolicy Directions on Budgetary Operations

Priority 1 — Tighten In-Year Wage and Transfer Control

  • Investigate the drivers behind the 21.6% wage bill overshoot and 76.5% overshoot in other goods, services and transfers relative to the original FY2025/26 budget, distinguishing one-off adjustments from recurring pressures.
  • Strengthen in-year expenditure ceilings for recurrent categories so that revenue overperformance does not translate automatically into recurrent spending overshoot.

Priority 2 — Protect Development Expenditure's Share

  • Set an explicit floor for development expenditure as a share of GDP or of total expenditure, to arrest its decline from the FY2021/22 peak of 9.2% of GDP toward FY2024/25's 6.9%.
  • Where revenue outperforms target in-year, prioritise topping up development allocations before topping up recurrent transfer lines.

Priority 3 — Sustain the Revenue Administration Gains

  • Continue the tax administration and compliance improvements behind income tax and import tax overperformance, since they are currently the main source of fiscal headroom.

Priority 4 — Monitor the Financing Mix

  • Track the foreign-versus-domestic financing split of the deficit alongside external and domestic debt stock data, given the shift toward foreign loans in strong-revenue months and continued reliance on domestic bank and non-bank borrowing across the year.

"Tanzania's revenue administration is delivering more than the budget assumed it would. The open question is not whether the money is being collected — it is being collected — but whether the expenditure side lets that extra revenue reach development spending, or whether it is absorbed before it gets there."

— TICGL / Tanzania Economic Research Institute (TERI)

07 — Sources & Data NotesReferences, Data Sources and Limitations

Primary source

Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026 — Table A2 (Central Government Operations, Cheques Issued, Tanzania Mainland), Table A1 (Selected Economic Indicators, fiscal operations items 4.1–4.6), and Charts 2.5.1 and 2.5.2 (Central Government Revenue and Expenditure in June). This report was produced as a companion to TICGL/TERI's Government Budget series, which draws separately on a 26-year Ministry of Finance monthly dataset.

  • Primary data: Bank of Tanzania, Monthly Economic Review, August 2026; Ministry of Finance, central government operations (cheques issued basis), Tanzania Mainland.
  • Method: Figures for June 2026 and the full FY2025/26 fiscal year are presented as published, in TZS billions rounded from the underlying millions in Table A2. Percentage comparisons ("% of budget", "% of estimate", "Actual/Budget") were computed by TICGL/TERI by dividing the stated actual figure by the stated budget or estimate figure. Fiscal ratios to GDP for FY2017/18–FY2024/25 are as published in Table A1 and are computed on GDP at current market prices.
  • Known limitations: "Cheques issued" figures can differ from cash-basis or accrual-basis fiscal accounts reported elsewhere, and the June 2026 and FY2025/26 figures are described as provisional in the source publication and may be revised in subsequent Bank of Tanzania releases. This report does not cover Tanzania's external or domestic debt stock, which the Bank of Tanzania reports separately and which TICGL/TERI may address in future analysis.
  • Related TICGL analysis: TICGL/TERI, "Tanzania Government Revenue & Expenditure, 2000-2026" — read here; "Tanzania Government Revenue & Tax Structure, 2000-2025" — read here; "Is Tanzania's Reliance on VAT Fueling Growth or Holding It Back?" — read here.

08 — Quick AnswersFrequently Asked Questions

How much revenue did Tanzania's central government collect in June 2026?

Government resources reached TZS 4,658.2 billion in June 2026, 5.4% above the monthly target. Central government revenue alone was TZS 4,512.1 billion (96.9% of the total), and tax revenue reached TZS 3,733.2 billion — 12.5% above target — reflecting improvements in tax administration and compliance.

Did Tanzania's central government overspend or underspend in June 2026?

Central government expenditure came in below the monthly estimate, at TZS 4,720.0 billion against an estimate of TZS 4,979.8 billion (94.8%). Both recurrent expenditure (94.4% of estimate) and development expenditure (95.4% of estimate) were below plan, which the Bank of Tanzania attributed to aligning spending with available resources.

How did Tanzania's full FY2025/26 revenue and expenditure compare with the original budget?

Total revenue for the fiscal year July 2025 to June 2026 reached TZS 41,930.4 billion against an original budget of TZS 40,466.1 billion — 3.6% above budget, driven by tax revenue running 7.5% ahead of budget. Total expenditure was TZS 48,451.0 billion, close to the TZS 48,775.0 billion budget (99.3%), so the overall deficit closed at TZS 6,147.7 billion, about 15% narrower than the TZS 7,239.0 billion originally budgeted.

Which spending items grew fastest relative to Tanzania's original budget in FY2025/26?

The wage bill came in 21.6% above its original budget (TZS 13,279.3 billion actual versus TZS 10,917.5 billion budgeted), and other goods, services and transfers came in 76.5% above budget. These overshoots were partly offset by interest payments running 13.7% below budget and development expenditure landing close to plan at 97.5% of budget.

Is Tanzania's fiscal deficit narrowing or widening over the long run?

The overall budget balance to GDP ratio narrowed from a peak deficit of 4.1% of GDP in FY2021/22 to 3.0% of GDP in FY2024/25, but it remains wider than the 1.9% of GDP recorded in FY2017/18. Over the same period, current expenditure to GDP rose to a series-high 11.9% in FY2024/25 while development expenditure to GDP fell to 6.9%, well below its 9.2% peak in FY2021/22 — a structural shift toward recurrent spending.

Muhtasari

Muhtasari kwa Kiswahili

Uendeshaji wa Bajeti ya Serikali Kuu Tanzania: Mapato, Matumizi na Uwiano wa Kibajeti. Ripoti hii ya TICGL/TERI inachambua takwimu za Benki Kuu ya Tanzania (Mapitio ya Kiuchumi ya Kila Mwezi, Agosti 2026) kuhusu uendeshaji wa bajeti ya Serikali Kuu — mwenendo wa mwezi Juni 2026, matokeo ya mwaka mzima wa fedha 2025/26 dhidi ya bajeti asilia, jinsi nakisi ilivyofadhiliwa, na mwenendo wa miaka minane (2017/18–2024/25) wa mapato, matumizi na uwiano wa kibajeti kama asilimia ya Pato la Taifa.

Matokeo makuu: Mnamo Juni 2026, Serikali ilikusanya mapato ya TZS bilioni 4,658.2, asilimia 5.4 zaidi ya lengo, huku mapato ya kodi yakizidi lengo kwa asilimia 12.5. Matumizi ya Juni yalikuwa chini kidogo ya makadirio (asilimia 94.8). Kwa mwaka mzima wa fedha 2025/26, mapato yalifikia TZS bilioni 41,930.4 (asilimia 103.6 ya bajeti asilia) na matumizi TZS bilioni 48,451.0 (asilimia 99.3 ya bajeti), hivyo nakisi ya jumla ilikuwa TZS bilioni 6,147.7 — ndogo kwa takribani asilimia 15 kuliko iliyopangwa awali. Hata hivyo, mshahara wa watumishi ulizidi bajeti asilia kwa asilimia 21.6, na matumizi mengine ya kawaida yalizidi kwa asilimia 76.5, huku gharama za riba na ruzuku zikiwa chini ya bajeti. Kwa mtazamo wa miaka minane, uwiano wa matumizi ya kawaida kwa Pato la Taifa umepanda hadi asilimia 11.9 (2024/25), kiwango cha juu zaidi katika kipindi hicho, wakati uwiano wa matumizi ya maendeleo umeshuka hadi asilimia 6.9, chini ya kilele cha asilimia 9.2 cha mwaka 2021/22.

Hitimisho kuu ni kwamba ukusanyaji wa mapato ya kodi Tanzania unaendelea kuimarika kwa kasi nzuri, lakini sehemu kubwa ya ongezeko hilo inaelekea kwenye matumizi ya kawaida — hasa mishahara na uhamisho — badala ya kuongeza wigo wa matumizi ya maendeleo au kupunguza nakisi kwa kiasi kikubwa zaidi. Hili ni jambo muhimu kwa mipango ya FYDP IV na Dira 2050, ambayo inategemea uwekezaji wa maendeleo unaoendana na ukuaji wa uchumi unaogusa jamii pana.

  • Mapato Juni 2026: TZS bilioni 4,658.2 — asilimia 105.4 ya lengo
  • Mapato ya Kodi Juni 2026: TZS bilioni 3,733.2 — asilimia 112.5 ya lengo
  • Nakisi ya Mwaka wa Fedha 2025/26: TZS bilioni 6,147.7 — ndogo kwa asilimia 15 kuliko bajeti
  • Mshahara wa Watumishi 2025/26: asilimia 121.6 ya bajeti asilia
  • Uwiano wa Matumizi ya Maendeleo kwa Pato la Taifa, 2024/25: asilimia 6.9 (chini ya kilele cha asilimia 9.2, 2021/22)

Chanzo: Benki Kuu ya Tanzania, Mapitio ya Kiuchumi ya Kila Mwezi, Agosti 2026; uchambuzi wa Tanzania Economic Research Institute (TERI), kwa ajili ya TICGL, Septemba 2026.

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