Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania Records 5.4% Food Inflation in March 2025, Below 7.7% Historical Average (2010–2025)
May 6, 2025  
Tanzania’s food inflation rose to 5.4% in March 2025, a slight increase from 5.0% in February, but still remains below the country’s long-term average of 7.7% recorded between 2010 and 2025. This moderate inflation level reflects relative price stability in the country’s food sector despite global and regional challenges. Compared to its East African neighbors, […]

Tanzania’s food inflation rose to 5.4% in March 2025, a slight increase from 5.0% in February, but still remains below the country’s long-term average of 7.7% recorded between 2010 and 2025. This moderate inflation level reflects relative price stability in the country’s food sector despite global and regional challenges. Compared to its East African neighbors, Tanzania ranks 8th, performing better than Kenya (6.6%) and Ethiopia (11.9%), but trailing behind Uganda (2.0%) and Rwanda (3.5%). On a continental scale, Tanzania stands in the middle tier, significantly outperforming high-inflation countries like South Sudan (106%), Zimbabwe (105%), and Malawi (37.7%), indicating a relatively stable macroeconomic and food supply environment.

Tanzania Food Inflation: March 2025

  • Current Rate: 5.4% (year-on-year)
  • Previous Month: 5.0%
  • Historical Average (2010–2025): 7.7%
  • Historical High: 27.84% in Jan 2012
  • Historical Low: 0.10% in Mar 2019

This shows that Tanzania’s food inflation is currently below its long-term average, suggesting moderate food price pressures compared to historical trends.

Tanzania in Africa (Ranking)

Tanzania ranks 18th out of 42 African countries listed in terms of food inflation (from highest to lowest), placing it in the mid-range.

  • Countries like South Sudan (106%) and Zimbabwe (105%) have extremely high food inflation.
  • Djibouti (-2.9%) and Somalia (-1.5%) are currently experiencing food deflation.

Tanzania in East Africa

Tanzania compares with selected East African countries:

CountryFood Inflation (%)MonthRank (EA)
South Sudan106.0Oct/241
Burundi38.7Feb/252
Malawi37.7Mar/253
Ethiopia11.9Mar/254
Mozambique12.08Mar/255
Zambia18.7Apr/256
Kenya6.6Mar/257
Tanzania5.4Mar/258
Rwanda3.5Mar/259
Uganda2.0Mar/2510

Tanzania ranks 8th among East African countries based on current food inflation. It is lower than Kenya (6.6%), but higher than Uganda (2%) and Rwanda (3.5%).

Top 10 African Countries with Highest Food Inflation (Mar 2025)

RankCountryFood Inflation (%)
1South Sudan106.0
2Zimbabwe105.0
3Burundi38.7
4Malawi37.7
5Ghana26.5
6Angola25.3
7Nigeria21.8
8Zambia18.7
9Niger13.5
10Liberia12.7

These countries are facing severe food price pressures, likely due to economic instability, currency depreciation, or supply chain issues.

Summary Insights:

  • Tanzania's food inflation of 5.4% is moderate by African standards.
  • It is below regional giants like Kenya and Ethiopia, but above Uganda and Rwanda.
  • Compared to Africa’s average, Tanzania sits in the middle tier for food inflation.

Tanzania’s food inflation (5.4% in March 2025) with several important things at national, regional, and continental levels:

1. National Insights (Tanzania)

  • Moderate Pressure: Tanzania's food inflation is relatively moderate compared to its historical average of 7.7%.
  • Stability Compared to History: It’s far below its peak in 2012 (27.84%) and shows price stability in recent months.
  • Rising Trend: There is a slight increase from 5.0% in the previous month, suggesting growing food cost pressures—possibly due to seasonal factors, fuel prices, or currency trends.

2. Regional Comparison (East Africa)

  • Tanzania ranks 8th in East Africa in terms of food inflation.
  • Lower than Kenya (6.6%) and Ethiopia (11.9%), meaning Tanzania is managing food prices better than some key neighbors.
  • Higher than Uganda (2%) and Rwanda (3.5%), which may indicate areas for improvement in food supply chains or agricultural productivity.
  • Suggests Tanzania’s inflation is under control, but with room for better performance compared to top regional performers.

3. Continental Position (Africa)

  • Tanzania ranks 18th out of 42 African countries in food inflation – putting it in the middle of the pack.
  • It’s far better than countries in crisis like Zimbabwe (105%), South Sudan (106%), Malawi (37.7%), and Ghana (26.5%).
  • Indicates relative economic and price stability compared to many African nations struggling with hyperinflation or conflict.

Overall Interpretation

  • Tanzania is in a stable but cautious position.
  • Food prices are increasing, but not alarmingly.
  • Compared to peers in East Africa and Africa:
    • Tanzania is doing better than many.
    • But it can still learn from countries with lower inflation, like Uganda or Rwanda, in managing supply and price controls.

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