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Tanzania National Debt Analysis 2026: TZS 132.9 Trillion Debt Stock | TICGL
🇹🇿 TICGL Debt Monitor · April 2026

Tanzania National Debt: TZS 132.9 Trillion — Structure, Risks & Sustainability

A data-driven breakdown of Tanzania's total debt position as of April 2026, covering external and domestic debt in Tanzanian Shillings, creditor composition, currency exposure, debt service flows, and long-term fiscal sustainability trends.

📅 Reference Date: April 2026 💱 FX Rate Used: TZS 2,602 / USD (Apr-26 end-period) 📊 Source: Bank of Tanzania · Ministry of Finance ✍️ TICGL Research Desk
TZS 132.9T
Total National Debt
April 2026
▲ +0.5% from Mar-26
TZS 93.5T
External Debt Stock
(TZS equivalent)
70.4% of total debt
TZS 39.3T
Domestic Debt Stock
April 2026
▲ +2.3% from Mar-26
TZS 54.5T
Multilateral External Debt
(largest creditor block)
58.3% of external debt
TZS 82.6T
Gov't Bonds in Domestic Debt
(Treasury Bonds)
80.8% of domestic debt
TZS 630.0B
Debt Service Paid — Apr-26
(Principal + Interest)
USD 242.0M equivalent
Section 1 — Overview

Total National Debt: TZS 132.9 Trillion as of April 2026

Tanzania's national debt encompasses all public and private external obligations plus central government domestic borrowing. Total debt reached TZS 132.9 trillion at end-April 2026, up from TZS 121.6 trillion in April 2025 — a year-on-year increase of TZS 11.3 trillion (9.3%). External debt continues to dominate, representing 70.4% of the total stock. The exchange rate used for USD-to-TZS conversions throughout this page is TZS 2,602 per USD (Bank of Tanzania end-April 2026 rate).

TZS 132.9T
Total Debt Apr-26
TZS 93.5T
External Debt (TZS equiv.)
TZS 39.3T
Domestic Debt
TZS 121.6T
Total Debt Apr-25 (prior year)
+TZS 11.3T
Year-on-Year Increase
National Debt Composition — April 2026
TZS Trillions | External vs Domestic | Source: Bank of Tanzania & Ministry of Finance
National Debt Stock Trend (April 2018 – April 2026)
TZS Trillions (converted at prevailing annual exchange rates) | Source: Bank of Tanzania
Monthly Total Debt Movement: April 2025 – April 2026 (TZS Trillions)
External debt converted using prevailing end-of-period exchange rates from BOT | Source: Bank of Tanzania
Debt ComponentApr-25 (TZS T)Jun-25 (TZS T)Sep-25 (TZS T)Dec-25 (TZS T)Feb-26 (TZS T)Mar-26 (TZS T)Apr-26 (TZS T)YoY Change
External Debt (USD converted to TZS)90.588.787.186.990.793.493.5+3.3%
— USD Millions33,764.534,053.034,953.635,023.935,343.035,886.235,949.6+6.5%
— TZS/USD Rate Used2,679.22,604.62,442.82,447.52,542.52,577.42,602.0
Domestic Debt (TZS Trillions)34.835.640.140.339.738.439.3+13.2%
Total National Debt (TZS Trillions)121.6*125.2*132.8*132.7*130.0*132.2*132.9*+9.3%

* Approximated using end-of-period exchange rates. Original BOT data in USD and TZS billions. Note: domestic debt stock in table excludes liquidity papers per BOT methodology.

Section 2 — External Debt

External Debt: TZS 93.5 Trillion (USD 35.9 Billion)

External debt (public and private) stood at TZS 93.5 trillion (USD 35.9 billion) at end-April 2026. Public external debt accounted for 82.7% (TZS 77.3 trillion / USD 29.7 billion) of the total. Multilateral institutions remain the dominant creditor block, followed by commercial lenders. Transport & Telecommunication and Budget Support are the leading uses of disbursed external funds.

TZS 93.5T
Total External Debt (DOD)
TZS 77.3T
Public External Debt (82.7%)
TZS 15.1T
Private Sector External Debt
TZS 630.0B
Debt Service Paid — Apr-26
TZS 5.7T
Total External Debt Arrears
External Debt by Creditor Category (April 2026)
TZS Trillions (USD × TZS 2,602) | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
External Debt by Borrower Category (April 2026)
TZS Trillions | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
External Debt by Creditor — Monthly Trend (Apr 2025 – Apr 2026, TZS Trillions)
Converted using end-of-period exchange rates | Source: Bank of Tanzania
Creditor CategoryApr-25 (USD Mn)Apr-25 (TZS T)Mar-26 (USD Mn)Mar-26 (TZS T)Apr-26 (USD Mn)Apr-26 (TZS T)Share Apr-26 (%)
Multilateral (DOD)18,931.850.720,803.353.620,926.154.458.2%
— Interest Arrears33.80.0923.20.0624.20.06
Commercial Lenders (DOD)11,869.431.812,429.132.012,345.032.134.3%
— Interest Arrears383.81.03349.40.90365.10.95
Bilateral (DOD)1,463.23.921,553.54.001,558.44.054.3%
Export Credits (DOD)906.42.43672.41.73673.81.751.9%
— Interest Arrears176.10.4755.30.1456.90.15
TOTAL External Debt Stock (DOD)33,764.590.535,886.292.535,949.693.5100%
External Debt Use of Funds

How External Borrowing Has Been Deployed (April 2026)

Disbursed Outstanding Debt by Use of Funds — April 2026
Percentage share | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
Use of Funds — Progress Share vs Previous Year
% share of disbursed outstanding debt | Apr-25 vs Apr-26
Transport & Telecom22.4% (Apr-26) vs 21.5% (Apr-25)
BoP & Budget Support22.3% (Apr-26) vs 20.7% (Apr-25)
Social Welfare & Education19.3% (Apr-26) vs 20.2% (Apr-25)
Energy & Mining12.0% (Apr-26) vs 12.9% (Apr-25)
Agriculture5.3% (Apr-26) vs 5.0% (Apr-25)
Real Estate & Construction5.1% (Apr-26) vs 4.8% (Apr-25)
Finance & Insurance3.6% (Apr-26) vs 4.2% (Apr-25)
Industries3.7% (Apr-26) vs 3.5% (Apr-25)
Tourism1.8% (Apr-26) vs 1.8% (Apr-25)
Use of FundsApr-25 (%)Apr-25 (TZS T est.)Mar-26 (%)Apr-26 (%)Apr-26 (USD Mn)Apr-26 (TZS T)
Transport & Telecommunication21.519.422.322.48,053.420.9
BoP & Budget Support20.718.722.322.38,017.720.9
Social Welfare & Education20.218.219.219.36,938.318.1
Energy & Mining12.911.612.012.04,313.911.2
Agriculture5.04.55.35.31,905.34.96
Real Estate & Construction4.84.35.15.11,833.44.77
Finance & Insurance4.23.83.63.61,294.23.37
Industries3.53.23.73.71,330.13.46
Tourism1.81.61.81.8647.11.68
Other5.55.04.84.51,617.74.21
Total100.090.5100.0100.035,949.693.5

📊 TICGL Analysis: External Debt Sectoral Allocation

The combined share of Transport & Telecommunications (22.4%) and Budget/BoP Support (22.3%) constitutes nearly 45% of Tanzania's entire external disbursed debt — totalling TZS 41.8 trillion. This reflects the government's sustained investment in infrastructure (particularly TAZARA, port development, and road networks) alongside reliance on balance of payments support from multilateral partners. The declining share of Energy & Mining (from 12.9% to 12.0%) warrants monitoring given Tanzania's ongoing energy infrastructure needs under FYDP IV. Social sector allocations at 19.3% remain the third-largest use of external funds, consistent with Tanzania's development priorities.

Section 3 — Currency Risk

Currency Composition of External Debt: USD Dominance at 66.0%

Tanzania's external debt is heavily concentrated in US Dollars, which constituted 66.0% of disbursed outstanding debt in April 2026. This creates significant exchange rate exposure — every 1% depreciation of the TZS against the USD increases the TZS value of external debt by approximately TZS 617 billion.

Currency Composition of External Debt — April 2026
% share of disbursed outstanding debt | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
Currency Composition Trend: Apr-25, Feb-26, Apr-26
% share across periods | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
CurrencyApr-25 Share (%)Apr-25 (USD Mn equiv.)Apr-25 (TZS T)Feb-26 Share (%)Apr-26 Share (%)Apr-26 (USD Mn equiv.)Apr-26 (TZS T)FX Risk Level
US Dollar (USD)66.622,487.260.266.366.023,727.061.7HIGH
Euro (EUR)17.45,874.915.717.617.76,363.116.6MEDIUM
Chinese Yuan (CNY)6.42,160.95.796.56.62,372.66.17MEDIUM
Other Currencies9.73,275.28.779.79.73,487.19.07LOW-MED
Total External Debt100.033,764.590.5100.0100.035,949.693.5

⚠️ TICGL Currency Risk Assessment

With 66.0% of external debt denominated in USD (TZS 61.7 trillion), Tanzania faces concentrated currency risk. However, the Tanzanian Shilling has actually appreciated 2.7% against the USD year-on-year as of April 2026 (TZS 2,612 vs TZS 2,684), which reduces the TZS burden of debt service in the near term. The 6.6% Chinese Yuan share (TZS 6.2 trillion) largely reflects infrastructure financing from Chinese institutions. Euro-denominated debt at 17.7% (TZS 16.6 trillion) primarily corresponds to multilateral and bilateral European creditors. Sustained foreign exchange reserve adequacy (4.4 months import cover) provides an important buffer against currency shock transmission.

Section 4 — Domestic Debt

Domestic Debt: TZS 39.3 Trillion — Bonds Dominate at 80.8%

Government domestic debt reached TZS 39.3 trillion at end-April 2026, a 2.3% increase from March 2026 and a 13.2% rise from April 2025. The increase was driven primarily by expansion of the overdraft facility (+15.0% in April alone). Government bonds constitute the largest instrument at TZS 31.8 trillion (80.8%), reflecting Tanzania's shift toward longer-term domestic financing.

TZS 39.3T
Total Domestic Debt Apr-26
TZS 31.8T
Government Bonds (80.8%)
TZS 5.9T
Overdraft / Non-Securitized
TZS 1.52T
Treasury Bills (3.9%)
+TZS 4.6T
YoY Increase from Apr-25
Domestic Debt by Instrument — April 2026
TZS Trillions | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
Domestic Debt by Creditor Category — April 2026
TZS Trillions | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
Domestic Debt Stock Trend — April 2018 to April 2026 (TZS Trillions)
Absolute stock and year-on-year growth | Source: Ministry of Finance & Bank of Tanzania
InstrumentApr-25 (TZS T)Apr-25 Share (%)Mar-26 (TZS T)Apr-26 (TZS T)Apr-26 Share (%)MoM ChangeYoY Change
Government Securities (total)29.685.1%33.333.485.0%+0.3%+13.2%
Treasury Bills1.945.6%1.581.523.9%−3.6%−21.6%
Government Bonds27.579.0%31.631.880.8%+0.5%+15.7%
Government Stocks0.190.5%0.140.140.4%0.0%−27.1%
Tax Certificates0.00.0%0.00.00.0%
Non-Securitized Debt (Overdraft)5.1614.9%5.135.9015.0%+15.0%+14.3%
TOTAL DOMESTIC DEBT34.8100%38.439.3100%+2.3%+13.2%
Creditor CategoryApr-25 (TZS T)Apr-25 Share (%)Mar-26 (TZS T)Apr-26 (TZS T)Apr-26 Share (%)YoY Change
Commercial Banks10.028.9%10.911.128.1%+10.0%
Pension Funds9.226.4%10.510.426.5%+13.3%
Bank of Tanzania7.120.5%6.97.719.6%+8.4%
Others (incl. individuals, public inst.)6.017.3%7.37.318.7%+22.1%
Insurance Companies1.865.3%2.02.05.1%+8.3%
BOT Special Funds0.561.6%0.790.802.0%+41.5%
TOTAL34.8100%38.439.3100%+13.2%

📊 TICGL Domestic Debt Observation

The 15.0% single-month jump in the overdraft (non-securitized) debt in April 2026 — rising from TZS 5.1 trillion to TZS 5.9 trillion — deserves attention. Overdraft utilization signals short-term government cash flow pressures, even when overall revenue performance is strong. Commercial banks remain the largest single domestic creditor at TZS 11.1 trillion (28.1%), closely followed by pension funds at TZS 10.4 trillion (26.5%). The growth of government bond stock to TZS 31.8 trillion over the year reflects active domestic capital market development. Treasury yields have declined significantly — 10-year bond WAY fell from 14.26% (April 2025) to 9.40% (April 2026) — indicating strong investor demand and improving sovereign risk perception.

Section 5 — Debt Service

Debt Service Flows: External & Domestic Obligations

External debt service payments in April 2026 totalled TZS 630 billion (USD 242 million), comprising TZS 495 billion (USD 190.4 million) in principal repayments and TZS 135 billion (USD 51.7 million) in interest payments. For the full FY2025/26 budget, total domestic interest payments are budgeted at TZS 6.5 trillion, of which TZS 4.1 trillion had been paid by end-March 2026.

TZS 630.0B
External Debt Service — Apr-26
TZS 495.0B
External Principal Repaid — Apr-26
TZS 135.0B
External Interest Paid — Apr-26
TZS 1,436.1B
Domestic Debt Service — Apr-26
TZS 6.5T
Budget for Interest Payments FY25/26
Monthly External Debt Service Payments (Apr 2025 – Apr 2026)
TZS Billions (USD × end-period exchange rate) | Source: Bank of Tanzania
Domestic Debt Service: FY2025/26 Budget vs Actual (Jul–Mar 2026)
TZS Billions | Source: Ministry of Finance
PeriodTotal Service (USD Mn)Total Service (TZS B)Principal (USD Mn)Principal (TZS B)Interest (USD Mn)Interest (TZS B)
Apr-25155.5416.7142.3381.313.235.4
May-25404.71,087.0286.2768.9118.4318.1
Jun-25259.1674.9185.4482.673.7191.9
Jul-25122.3311.292.7235.929.675.3
Aug-2585.6210.832.981.152.6129.6
Sep-25130.9319.975.3184.055.6135.9
Oct-25344.3843.9262.0642.282.3201.8
Nov-25110.1268.276.4186.033.782.1
Dec-25183.5449.1136.8334.846.7114.3
Jan-2699.0249.381.5205.217.544.1
Feb-26100.8256.335.490.065.4166.2
Mar-26129.5333.860.0154.669.5179.1
Apr-26242.0630.0190.4495.051.7135.0
Section 6 — Arrears

External Debt Arrears: TZS 5.7 Trillion as of April 2026

Total external debt arrears stood at USD 2,191.9 million (TZS 5.70 trillion) at end-April 2026, comprising TZS 4.33 trillion in principal arrears and TZS 1.37 trillion in interest arrears. Commercial lenders account for the largest share of arrears at 60.1% of principal arrears. Multilateral arrears (largely private sector obligations) remain relatively contained.

TZS 5.70T
Total External Arrears Apr-26
TZS 4.33T
Principal Arrears
TZS 1.37T
Interest Arrears
TZS 3.31T
Commercial Arrears (Principal)
Arrears by Creditor — April 2026 (TZS Billions)
Principal + Interest components | Source: Bank of Tanzania
Monthly Arrears Trend — Apr 2025 to Apr 2026 (TZS Trillions)
Total arrears converted at end-period exchange rates | Source: BOT
Arrear TypeApr-25 (USD Mn)Apr-25 (TZS B)Mar-26 (USD Mn)Apr-26 (USD Mn)Apr-26 (TZS B)Change Apr-25 to Apr-26
Principal Arrears (Total)1,452.13,8901,609.41,665.54,333+14.7%
— Bilateral157.0421188.0189.2492+20.5%
— Multilateral53.01422.07.921−85.1%
— Commercial1,021.12,7361,226.31,273.03,312+24.7%
— Export Credits221.1593193.1195.4508−11.6%
Interest Arrears (Total)671.61,799507.9526.31,369−21.6%
— Bilateral78.020980.080.1208+2.7%
— Multilateral33.89123.224.263−28.4%
— Commercial383.81,028349.4365.1950−4.9%
— Export Credits176.147255.356.9148−67.7%
TOTAL Arrears2,123.75,6892,117.32,191.95,703+3.2%

🔴 TICGL Risk Alert: Commercial Arrears Rising

Principal arrears to commercial lenders increased by 24.7% year-on-year to TZS 3,312 billion (USD 1,273 million). Commercial lenders now account for 76.5% of total principal arrears (up from 70.3% in April 2025). While interest arrears to export credit agencies have declined significantly (−67.7% y/y), the persistent growth in commercial principal arrears signals potential refinancing risks and could affect Tanzania's access to international capital markets. TICGL recommends that policymakers prioritise commercial creditor arrears resolution as part of the broader debt management strategy under FYDP IV.

Section 7 — Fiscal Sustainability

Long-Term Debt Sustainability: GDP Ratios & Selected Indicators

Tanzania's budget deficit remained relatively contained at approximately 3.0% of GDP in FY2024/25, reflecting the government's fiscal consolidation effort. External debt as a share of GDP has increased over recent years, requiring sustained attention to debt composition and maturity profiles.

Key Fiscal & Debt Sustainability Indicators (2018 – 2025)
Source: Bank of Tanzania Selected Economic Indicators Table A1
Indicator2018201920202021202220232024r2025p
GDP Growth (Constant 2015 Prices, %)7.06.94.54.84.75.15.56.0
Annual Inflation (%)3.53.43.33.74.33.83.13.3
Current Revenue to GDP (%)14.814.315.013.714.915.014.715.6
Development Expenditure to GDP (%)6.66.57.17.89.27.47.26.9
Overall Budget Balance to GDP (%)−1.9−3.3−1.9−4.0−3.6−3.1−3.1−3.0
External Debt Stock (USD Billion)20.521.923.025.527.830.332.034.8
External Debt (TZS Trillion, approx.)46.450.152.858.664.172.283.188.3
Gross Foreign Reserves (USD Bn)5.05.64.86.45.25.55.56.3
Import Cover (Months)4.96.45.66.64.74.54.54.9
Private Sector Credit to GDP (%)14.314.614.014.316.017.017.421.6

📊 TICGL Sustainability Assessment

Several positive signals support Tanzania's debt sustainability outlook: GDP growth is accelerating (6.0% in 2025), the current revenue-to-GDP ratio improved to 15.6% in FY2024/25, foreign reserves reached USD 6.3 billion (4.9 months of import cover), and the budget deficit remained at 3.0% of GDP — within EAC and SADC convergence benchmarks. However, the rapid growth of domestic debt (+13.2% year-on-year) and the increase in commercial arrears call for continued vigilance. The decline in Treasury yields (10-year bond WAY from 14.26% to 9.40% over 12 months) reflects improved market confidence but also indicates rising financing volumes through the domestic market that need careful management to avoid crowding out private sector credit.

Data Sources & Attribution:
1. Bank of Tanzania (BOT). Monthly Economic Review, May 2026. Tables A10 (National Debt Developments), A1 (Selected Economic Indicators), A2 (Central Government Operations). Available at: www.bot.go.tz
2. Ministry of Finance, United Republic of Tanzania. Central Government Operations Data, FY 2025/26.
3. Exchange rate for USD-to-TZS conversions: TZS 2,602/USD (Bank of Tanzania end-April 2026 rate); monthly conversions use respective end-of-period rates from Table A10.
Currency Conversion Methodology: External debt figures (originally reported in USD millions by Bank of Tanzania) have been converted to TZS trillions and billions using end-of-period exchange rates from BOT Table A10. Figures may differ slightly from official TZS-denominated statements due to rounding. 1 Trillion TZS = 1,000 Billion TZS.
Disclaimer: This analysis is produced by TICGL Research for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment or financial advice. All underlying data sourced from official Tanzanian government and central bank publications.
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