TICGL

| Economic Consulting Group

TICGL | Economic Consulting Group
Tanzania Inflation Holds Steady at 3.2% in March 2026
April 10, 2026  
Tanzania CPI March 2026: Inflation Holds at 3.2% | TICGL Economic Intelligence TICGL Economic Intelligence  ·  Official NBS Data Tanzania Inflation Holds Steady at 3.2% in March 2026 📅 Published: 8 April 2026 📊 Source: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Tanzania 🗂️ Reference: NCPI (2020 = 100) Headline Inflation 3.2% Year-on-year, March 2026 Unchanged vs […]
Tanzania CPI March 2026: Inflation Holds at 3.2% | TICGL Economic Intelligence

About the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI)

The NCPI is Tanzania's official measure of consumer price changes, compiled by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and released monthly.

🛒 Basket Composition

383 goods and services in total — comprising 132 food and non-alcoholic beverage items and 251 non-food items. Prices are collected from all 26 regional headquarters on the Tanzanian mainland.

⚖️ Weights & Reference Period

Weights are derived from the 2017/18 Household Budget Survey, covering both urban and rural households across all 26 mainland regions. The base price reference period is January–December 2020 (index = 100).

🗂️ Classification

The NCPI follows the UN COICOP 2018 framework, disseminated across 13 divisions. Supplementary indices include: Core, Non-Core, Energy/Fuel/Utilities, Services, Goods, Education, and All Items Less Food.

📐 Compilation Method

Elementary aggregates use the geometric mean of price relatives. Higher-level aggregates use the Lowe Index formula (a type of Laspeyres index), providing a consistent and internationally comparable measure.

Annual Headline Inflation: March 2026 at 3.2%

The headline rate remained unchanged from February 2026, indicating stable overall price conditions. The overall NCPI climbed from 119.27 in March 2025 to 123.04 in March 2026.

Key Finding: Tanzania's headline inflation rate has remained remarkably stable, fluctuating within a narrow band of 3.2% to 3.6% over the 12 months from March 2025 to March 2026. This stability reflects disciplined monetary conditions even as food prices remain elevated.
NCPI Index Value & Annual Inflation Rate — Mar 2025 to Mar 2026

12-Month Inflation by Category (%)

Annual percentage change, March 2026 vs March 2025

Monthly Change by Category (%)

February 2026 to March 2026

NCPI by Division — Full Table (2020 = 100)

Detailed index values and inflation rates for all 13 COICOP divisions and supplementary indices as of March 2026.

#Division / CategoryWeight (%)Mar 2025Feb 2026Mar 20261-Month %12-Month %Weight Share

Source: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Tanzania — NCPI Press Release, 8 April 2026.

Supplementary Price Indices

The NBS also publishes several supplementary aggregations that provide deeper insight into price dynamics across different segments of the economy.

Core vs Non-Core Inflation

12-month rate, March 2026

Goods vs Services Inflation

12-month rate, March 2026

Supplementary Indices — Full Detail
IndexWeight (%)Mar 2025Feb 2026Mar 20261-Month %12-Month %
Core Inflation (2.2%) excludes unprocessed food, energy, and utilities (except maize flour) — covering 297 items representing 73.9% of the basket. Its slight uptick from 2.1% in February signals modest underlying price pressure. Meanwhile, Non-Core Inflation (5.6%) — driven largely by food and energy — continues to be the dominant force behind overall price increases.

Monthly Price Drivers: Feb → Mar 2026

The NCPI rose from 122.01 to 123.04 (+0.84%) between February and March 2026. The increase was driven by both food and non-food items.

🌾 Food Items — Price Increases
    🏠 Non-Food Items — Price Increases
      Top Food Price Movers — Monthly Change (%)

      Upcoming NCPI Release Schedule

      The NBS publishes monthly CPI data. Analysts and investors can plan around the following confirmed release dates.

      April 2026

      8 May 2026

      Scheduled release date for April 2026 NCPI data

      May 2026

      8 June 2026

      Scheduled release date for May 2026 NCPI data

      June 2026

      8 July 2026

      Scheduled release date for June 2026 NCPI data

      Primary Source: National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Tanzania — www.nbs.go.tz  ·  Ref: AC 334/376/01/377  ·  Published 8 April 2026

      Subscribe to TICGL Insights

      Stay informed and gain the crucial information you need to make strategic decisions in Tanzania's vibrant market.
      Subscription Form
      crossmenu linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram