Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania Economic Updates February 2024
February 1, 2024  
Inflation Rates: Tanzania's inflation rates, assessed across various sectors in December 2023, indicate a varied economic landscape. While the overall inflation rate stands at 113.34, showing a 3% increase over the year, certain sectors, such as clothing and footwear, witnessed significant month-to-month and year-to-year fluctuations. The data suggests that inflationary pressures are present, but the […]

Inflation Rates:

Tanzania's inflation rates, assessed across various sectors in December 2023, indicate a varied economic landscape. While the overall inflation rate stands at 113.34, showing a 3% increase over the year, certain sectors, such as clothing and footwear, witnessed significant month-to-month and year-to-year fluctuations. The data suggests that inflationary pressures are present, but the impact varies across different segments of the economy, potentially influenced by factors like supply chain disruptions or sector-specific dynamics.

Money Supply:

Tanzania's money supply in October 2023 reveals dynamic changes in both net foreign assets and net domestic assets. Notably, there was a substantial increase in extended broad money (M3), while narrow money supply (M1) experienced a decrease. This suggests fluctuations in the liquidity of the financial system, potentially influenced by changes in foreign reserves, domestic claims, and deposit dynamics. Policymakers may need to carefully monitor these trends for insights into economic stability and financial health.

Export to Import Rates:

Examining Tanzania's export-to-import rates for November 2023 reveals a positive growth trajectory in both exports and imports, with a notable increase in the balance of payments. Despite a minor decline in the export of goods and services, the import sector remained resilient, resulting in a decrease in the trade deficit. This data highlights the importance of assessing both export and import dynamics to understand the overall trade performance and economic resilience of the country.

Current Account:

The data on Tanzania's current account for November 2023 presents a mixed economic picture. While the services sector exhibits a surplus, the goods account and the overall goods and services balance reflect deficits, contributing to an overall current account deficit. The year-on-year changes underscore the dynamic nature of Tanzania's economic conditions, influenced by global trade patterns, commodity prices, and income flows. Policymakers may need to focus on strategies to address trade imbalances and ensure the sustainability of the current account position.

National Debts:

Tanzania's national debts development for November 2023 shows incremental growth in both external and domestic debts. External debt increased by 1%, while domestic debt saw a similar uptick. The total national debt reached 98,802,876.00 USD, reflecting a 7% increase over the year. Policymakers must carefully manage the country's debt levels, ensuring borrowed funds contribute to sustainable economic development and that the overall debt burden remains manageable over the long term.

Government Budget Analysis:

The government budget performance evaluation for October 2023 provides insights into Tanzania's financial management. While development expenditure increased by 50%, indicating a focus on long-term projects, revenue challenges were evident, particularly with a decrease in income tax collections. The expansion of the budget deficit by 44% raises concerns about fiscal sustainability, requiring policymakers to refine strategies for revenue mobilization, cost management, and aligning expenditures with national priorities. The data suggests a nuanced view of both successes and challenges in the government's fiscal approach during this period.

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