Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania Economic Updates April 2024
March 12, 2024  
Tanzania Inflation rates The uptick in food inflation, rising to 1.8 percent in February 2024 from 1.5 percent in January 2024, reflects the growing cost pressures within Tanzania's food and non-alcoholic beverages sector. This increase contributed to the overall stability of the annual inflation rate, maintaining at 3.0 percent, signaling a steady pace of price […]

Tanzania Inflation rates

The uptick in food inflation, rising to 1.8 percent in February 2024 from 1.5 percent in January 2024, reflects the growing cost pressures within Tanzania's food and non-alcoholic beverages sector. This increase contributed to the overall stability of the annual inflation rate, maintaining at 3.0 percent, signaling a steady pace of price changes across the broader economy. These trends underscore the importance of monitoring food prices and their impact on the overall inflationary landscape, informing policymakers and stakeholders about potential economic implications and necessary adjustments in response to evolving market dynamics.

Tanzania money supply

In January 2024, Tanzania's money supply dynamics reflected a mixed picture of both domestic and external influences. While net foreign assets surged by 274% year-on-year, indicating a notable influx of foreign investment, net domestic assets experienced a sharp decline of 291%, suggesting constraints on domestic credit expansion. The Bank of Tanzania's active monetary policy interventions, reflected in its increased assets, aimed to manage liquidity and stabilize the financial system amidst these shifts. Despite fluctuations in foreign currency deposits, currency stability remained relatively intact, supporting confidence in the local currency. However, the decrease in broad money supply (M2) alongside an increase in narrow money supply (M1) hinted at changing liquidity preferences among economic agents, underscoring the importance of monitoring monetary conditions for sustaining economic growth and stability in Tanzania.

Tanzania export and Import

In December 2023, Tanzania experienced significant growth in both export and import values. While exports of goods and services surged by 23%, reflecting enhanced international competitiveness and market access, imports also saw a remarkable 40% increase, indicating heightened domestic demand and economic activity. However, this growth resulted in a widening trade deficit, with import expenditures exceeding export earnings by a substantial margin. Managing this trade imbalance becomes crucial for Tanzania's economic stability and long-term growth.

 Tanzania current account

Tanzania's current account, as depicted in the provided data for December 2023, offers a glimpse into the country's economic performance and external trade dynamics. The reduction in the trade deficit suggests potential improvements in the balance of trade for tangible goods, indicating a degree of competitiveness in international markets. Additionally, the growth in service exports signifies diversification and expansion in the services sector, contributing positively to the overall current account balance. However, challenges persist in generating income from foreign investments, as indicated by the deficit reduction in the primary income account. Overall, while Tanzania's current account remains in deficit, the trends suggest ongoing efforts to strengthen trade competitiveness and broaden income sources, reflecting the country's aspirations for sustainable economic growth and development.

Tanzania government budget

The performance of government revenues and expenditure budget plays a crucial role in shaping Tanzania's economy. Government revenues, generated primarily through taxes and non-tax sources, provide the financial foundation for funding public services, infrastructure projects, and social welfare programs. The efficiency and effectiveness of revenue collection mechanisms directly impact the government's ability to finance its operations and stimulate economic growth. On the expenditure side, the allocation of government funds reflects policy priorities and socio-economic objectives, such as investment in infrastructure, education, healthcare, and poverty alleviation. Prudent management of government expenditure ensures optimal utilization of resources and supports sustainable development initiatives. Together, government revenues and expenditure budget management are instrumental in maintaining fiscal stability, fostering economic prosperity, and addressing socio-economic challenges in Tanzania.

Tanzania National debts development

Tanzania's national debts, encompassing both external and domestic obligations, are pivotal in financing development projects and infrastructure initiatives aimed at driving economic growth and improving living standards. While debt can be a valuable source of funding, careful management is essential to mitigate risks and ensure sustainable fiscal health. The recent decrease in total debts indicates efforts to manage debt levels, reflecting a commitment to fiscal prudence. However, maintaining a delicate balance between debt accumulation and debt servicing capacity is crucial to avoid excessive debt burdens that could hinder long-term economic prosperity. Transparent debt management practices, alongside strategic investment in priority sectors, are vital for harnessing the potential of debt financing to support Tanzania's socio-economic development aspirations while safeguarding fiscal stability for future generations.

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