TICGL

| Economic Consulting Group

TICGL | Economic Consulting Group

The Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) achieved significant milestones in tax collection during the 2024/25 fiscal year (July 2024 – June 2025), reflecting enhanced administrative efficiency, taxpayer compliance, and technological advancements.

Key Highlights

Monthly Collection Breakdown (FY 2024/25)

Month2023/24 Collection (TZS Trillion)2024/25 Target (TZS Trillion)2024/25 Actual (TZS Trillion)Performance (%)Growth (%)
July1.942.252.35104.5%21.1%
August2.012.302.42105.5%20.4%
September2.622.883.02104.7%15.0%
October2.152.472.65107.4%23.6%
November2.142.422.50103.4%16.6%
December3.053.463.58103.3%17.3%
January2.122.382.42101.7%13.8%
February2.022.262.27100.2%12.2%
March2.492.792.84101.9%14.2%
April1.972.222.27102.1%15.3%
May2.222.442.53103.8%14.1%
June2.913.193.42107.4%17.5%
TOTAL27.6431.0532.26103.9%16.7%

Revenue Forecast for FY 2025/26

The TRA has set a target of TZS 36.066 trillion for the 2025/26 fiscal year, reflecting an anticipated growth of 11.8% from 2024/25. This ambitious target is supported by:

Projected Monthly Targets for 2025/26

MonthProjected Target (TZS Trillion)Projected Growth Rate (%)
July2.558.5%
August2.659.5%
September3.309.3%
October2.909.4%
November2.7510.0%
December4.0011.7%
January2.7011.6%
February2.5010.1%
March3.109.2%
April2.5010.1%
May2.8512.7%
June3.9014.0%
TOTAL36.0711.8%

Implications for Tanzania’s Economic Development (2025/26 Budget)

The TRA’s strong revenue performance in 2024/25 and the optimistic forecast for 2025/26 are critical for funding Tanzania’s TZS 56.49 trillion budget for 2025/26, which aims to achieve 6% GDP growth and aligns with the Third Five-Year National Development Plan (2021/22–2025/26) and Vision 2025. Below are the key implications for economic development:

1. Strengthened Fiscal Capacity

2. Support for Flagship Infrastructure Projects

The TRA’s revenue surplus supports the completion of strategic projects outlined in the 2025/26 budget, including:

These projects drive industrial capacity, competitiveness, and job creation, aligning with the budget’s theme of “Inclusive Economic Transformation through Strengthening Domestic Revenue Mobilization.”

3. Economic Growth and Job Creation

4. Social and Human Capital Development

5. Digital and Technological Advancements

6. Challenges and Risks

Conclusion

The TRA’s exceptional performance in 2024/25, with a record-breaking TZS 32.26 trillion collected, underscores Tanzania’s progress in domestic revenue mobilization. The forecasted TZS 36.066 trillion for 2025/26 will play a pivotal role in funding the TZS 56.49 trillion budget, supporting infrastructure, industrialization, and social development. By reducing reliance on external financing and fostering inclusive growth, Tanzania is poised to achieve its 6% GDP growth target and advance toward Vision 2050. However, addressing challenges like the narrow tax base and global economic uncertainties will be critical to sustaining this trajectory.

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