Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

In 2024, global debt reached a staggering USD 250 trillion, equivalent to 237% of global GDP, according to the IMF’s 2024 Global Debt Monitor. Although this marks a slight decline from the previous year, the level remains significantly higher than the pre-pandemic ratio of 229% in 2019. The overall decline in global debt is mainly attributed to a drop in private debt, which fell by 2.8 percentage points to 143% of GDP, amounting to over USD 150 trillion. This includes household debt at 54% of GDP and non-financial corporate debt at 90% of GDP. Meanwhile, public debt rose by 2 percentage points to 94% of GDP, reaching USD 98 trillion, reflecting a return to its upward trajectory after the pandemic. The data highlights diverging debt trends across countriesβ€”with reductions in private debt seen in advanced economies and the US, while China and low-income developing countries experienced significant increases in both public and private debt levels.

Global Debt Overview (2024)

Private Debt

Public Debt

What Drove the Decline in Private Debt?

  1. Lower Future Growth Expectations
    ➀ Global 5-year growth forecast fell from 2.7% (2022) to 2.2% (2023/2024)
  2. Inflation Surprises
    ➀ Helped reduce real debt ratios:
    • Emerging Markets: Surprise inflation fell from 6% β†’ 2.3%
    • Advanced Economies: Fell from 5.5% β†’ 1.5%
  3. Eased Economic Uncertainty (except in the US due to elections)

πŸ“Œ Notable Highlights

what the global debt data is telling us:

1. The World Is Still Heavily in Debt

2. Private Sector Is Cleaning Up

3. Governments Are Borrowing More Again

4. Why Is Private Debt Falling?

5. Warnings & Opportunities

In short:

βœ… Households and companies are being cautious
⚠️ Governments are borrowing more again
πŸ“‰ Global debt is slowly improving, but risks remain

Summary global debt figures:

Global Debt Summary (2023/2024)

CategoryAmount (USD)% of Global GDPChange from 2022
Total Global Debt250 trillion237%↓ 1 percentage point
Private Debt (Total)>150 trillion143%↓ 2.8 percentage points
β€’ Household Debtβ€”54%↓
β€’ Non-Financial Corporate Debtβ€”90%↓
Public Debt (Total)98 trillion94%↑ 2 percentage points

Debt by Region or Country (2023/2024)

Region/CountryTotal Debt (% GDP)Private Debt (% GDP)Public Debt (% GDP)Trend
United States273%150% (↓ 6%)123% (↑ 3%)Mixed
China289%205% (↑ 7%)84% (↑ 7%)Rising
Advanced Economies (excl. US)268%165% (↓ 6%)103% (↓ 3%)Declining
Emerging Markets (excl. China)126%69% (stable)57% (↑ 2%)Rising
Low-Income Developing Countries88%38% (↓ 1%)50% (↑ 1.4%)Rising
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