TICGL

| Economic Consulting Group

TICGL | Economic Consulting Group
Government Securities Market in Tanzania: 2025–2026
March 16, 2026  
Government Securities Market in Tanzania 2025–2026 | Treasury Bills & Bonds Analysis | TICGL TICGL Economic Research · Tanzania Investment & Consultant Group Ltd · Published March 2026 TICGL Home › Economic Research › Government Securities Market 📊 Financial Markets Analysis Government Securities Marketin Tanzania: 2025–2026 An in-depth analysis of Tanzania's Treasury Bills, Treasury Bonds, […]
Government Securities Market in Tanzania 2025–2026 | Treasury Bills & Bonds Analysis | TICGL
TICGL Economic Research · Tanzania Investment & Consultant Group Ltd · Published March 2026
📊 Financial Markets Analysis

Government Securities Market
in Tanzania: 2025–2026

An in-depth analysis of Tanzania's Treasury Bills, Treasury Bonds, and Interbank Cash Market — covering auction performance, monetary policy transmission, and economic implications for Tanzania's growth trajectory.

Published by TICGL Research
Data Period Oct 2025 – Mar 2026
Market Tanzania (TZS)
Source Bank of Tanzania (BoT)
11.30%
10-Yr Bond Yield
January 2026 Auction
TZS 2,869B
IBCM Turnover
January 2026
34%
Bond Oversubscription
Jan 2026 10-Yr Auction
73.2%
7-Day Interbank Share
Dominant Tenor
5.75%
Central Bank Rate
BoT CBR Q1 2026
6.3%
GDP Growth Forecast
Tanzania 2026

Government Securities Market — Overview

The Government Securities Market is where the Tanzanian government raises domestic funds by issuing Treasury Bills (short-term) and Treasury Bonds (long-term) through competitive auctions conducted by the Bank of Tanzania (BoT). It serves as the primary mechanism for non-inflationary budget financing and development project funding.

As of early 2026, Tanzania's government securities market exhibits remarkable resilience: auctions remain consistently oversubscribed, yields have stabilized within the 9–12% range, and institutional demand continues to grow — reflecting investor confidence underpinned by stable inflation at 3.2% and projected GDP growth of 6.0–6.3%.

Key Context Tanzania's domestic debt stock reached TZS 38,114.8 billion in October 2025 (~17% of GDP), with Treasury Bonds comprising ~70% of the total, reflecting a deliberate strategy toward longer-duration, more stable financing.

Main Market Instruments

📋
Treasury Bills
Maturity: 35 · 91 · 182 · 364 Days
Short-term government debt instruments used for liquidity management and immediate budget financing. Auctioned weekly by the Bank of Tanzania via competitive bidding.
🏛️
Treasury Bonds
Maturity: 2 – 25 Years
Long-term government securities issued to finance development projects: infrastructure, hydropower, roads, and agriculture. Provide stable, predictable debt servicing costs.

Typical Buyers of Government Securities

Commercial Banks
Pension Funds
Insurance Companies
Institutional Investors

Why the Government Securities Market Matters

Importance of Government Securities Market in Tanzania
FunctionExplanationImpact
Government FinancingSupports budget deficits and development projects without printing moneyHigh
Monetary Policy ToolUsed by Bank of Tanzania (BoT) for open-market liquidity managementHigh
Benchmark Interest RateTreasury yields serve as reference rates for loans, mortgages, and other instrumentsMedium
Safe Investment AssetLow-risk option for institutional investors — pension funds, banks, insurersMedium
Debt SustainabilityReduces reliance on external (foreign currency) borrowing, mitigating FX riskHigh
Source: Bank of Tanzania; TICGL Analysis 2026
2

Treasury Bills — Auction Performance

Treasury Bill auctions are conducted weekly by the Bank of Tanzania across four tenors: 35-day, 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day instruments. From October 2025 through January 2026, every auction was oversubscribed, a clear signal of sustained institutional confidence in short-term government paper.

Yields edged slightly upward from the 9–10% range in October 2025 to 11–12% by January 2026 — a reflection of tightening liquidity conditions and evolving market expectations ahead of the central bank's policy decisions. Crucially, this yield movement occurred within an orderly market, with the government consistently absorbing its full tender each auction cycle.

Treasury Bills Auction Results (Oct 2025 – Jan 2026)

MonthTender Size (TZS Bn)Bids Submitted (TZS Bn)Successful Bids (TZS Bn)Wtd. Avg. YieldOversubscription
Oct 2025~560~740~5609.0 – 10.0%+32%
Nov 2025~560~720~560~10.0%+29%
Dec 2025~560~800~560~11.0%+43%
Jan 2026~560~840~56011.0 – 12.0%+50%
Source: Bank of Tanzania Auction Reports, TICGL compilation. Bids submitted and tender sizes are approximations based on BoT data.
Treasury Bills: Demand vs. Tender Size & Yield Trend
Monthly auction performance — Oversubscription and weighted average yield movement
Oct 2025 – Jan 2026
Bid Oversubscription Rate — Monthly Trend
Percentage by which bids submitted exceeded the government's tender size
Investor Demand Indicator
✅ Key Observation Every Treasury Bill auction from October 2025 to January 2026 was oversubscribed — meaning the market offered more funds than the government required. This indicates exceptionally high investor confidence in Tanzanian government debt instruments. The rise in oversubscription from ~32% (Oct 2025) to ~50% (Jan 2026) signals deepening domestic capital markets.
3

Treasury Bonds — 10-Year Auction Analysis

Alongside the weekly Treasury Bill auctions, the Bank of Tanzania conducts periodic Treasury Bond auctions for longer tenors ranging from 2 to 25 years. These bonds are critical instruments for financing Tanzania's long-term development agenda — hydropower, roads, industrial zones, and social infrastructure.

The January 2026 10-year Treasury Bond auction stands as a landmark result: oversubscribed by approximately 34%, with a weighted average yield of 11.30% — a borrowing cost that remains favorable by regional standards. The high demand reflects growing pension fund and insurance company allocations to domestic long-duration paper.

10-Year Treasury Bond Auction — January 2026

IndicatorValue (TZS Billion)Interpretation
Tender Size144.6Government's target raise for this auction
Total Bids Received194.1Market offered TZS 49.5 billion above the tender
Successful Bids118.9Government accepted below tender — managing yield levels
Weighted Average Yield11.30%Favorable long-term borrowing cost for the government
Oversubscription Rate~34%Strong institutional demand for long-duration GoT paper
Source: Bank of Tanzania, January 2026 Bond Auction Results
10-Year Treasury Bond: Tender vs. Bids vs. Successful Allocations
Visual breakdown of the January 2026 auction — government's strategic acceptance below tender
Jan 2026
Yield Comparison: Treasury Bills vs. 10-Year Treasury Bond
Tanzania's yield curve — risk-return relationship across maturities
Yield Curve Snapshot
⚠️ Strategic Note The government accepted TZS 118.9 billion — below the TZS 144.6 billion tender — to maintain favorable yield levels and avoid upward pressure on long-term borrowing costs. This disciplined approach to debt management demonstrates sound fiscal stewardship by the Ministry of Finance and BoT.
4

Interbank Cash Market — IBCM Analysis

The Interbank Cash Market (IBCM) is where commercial banks lend and borrow short-term funds among themselves to manage daily liquidity positions. It serves as a critical transmission mechanism for monetary policy — interest rates here respond quickly to the Central Bank Rate (CBR) set by the Bank of Tanzania.

In January 2026, total IBCM turnover reached TZS 2,868.9 billion, a slight decline from December's TZS 3,481.9 billion — reflecting post-year-end normalisation rather than market stress. The dominant tenor was 7-day transactions, accounting for 73.2% of all interbank activity.

IBCM Market Activity — January 2026

IndicatorValueContext
Total Market Turnover (Jan 2026)TZS 2,868.9 BnActive market — supports smooth bank liquidity operations
Previous Month Turnover (Dec 2025)TZS 3,481.9 BnHigher Dec activity driven by year-end liquidity demand
Month-on-Month Change–17.6%Normalisation post year-end, not a sign of market stress
Dominant Tenor7-Day TransactionsBanks prefer 7-day instruments for predictable short-term management
Share of 7-Day Transactions73.2%Signals preference for medium short-term over overnight borrowing
Source: Bank of Tanzania Monthly Economic Review, January 2026

Interbank Transaction Tenor Breakdown

~15%
Overnight
~12%
2–6 Days
73.2%
7 Days

Chart: IBCM transaction share by tenor — January 2026. The 7-day rate serves as a benchmark indicator of overall banking system liquidity.

Interbank Cash Market — Monthly Turnover Trend
TZS Billion — estimated turnover Q4 2025 through January 2026
IBCM Activity
IBCM Transaction Structure by Tenor — January 2026
Share of interbank lending by maturity bucket
Tenor Distribution

Monetary Policy Transmission Chain

BoT Sets
CBR: 5.75%
IBCM Responds
7-Day Rate
Banks Price
Lending Rates
Economy
Credit Growth

Bank of Tanzania Liquidity Management Instruments

InstrumentDirectionPurposeEffect on IBCM
Reverse RepoInject ↑BoT buys securities from banks — adds liquidityPushes IBCM rate down toward CBR floor
RepoAbsorb ↓BoT sells securities to banks — drains liquidityPushes IBCM rate up within policy corridor
Government Securities (OMO)DualOpen Market Operations — fine-tune liquidityAnchors overnight and short-term rates
Standing Lending FacilityEmergency ↑Emergency liquidity backstop for commercial banksSets ceiling on IBCM rates
Source: Bank of Tanzania Monetary Policy Framework; TICGL Analysis 2026

How Government Securities and Interbank Market Interact

🏛️ Government Securities Market
Used for government borrowing and fiscal financing
Provides safe, liquid investment assets for banks
Influences banking system liquidity when banks buy securities
Sets the benchmark yield curve for the economy
🏦 Interbank Cash Market (IBCM)
Used for bank-to-bank short-term liquidity management
Determines prevailing short-term interest rates daily
Responds to liquidity changes caused by T-Bill purchases
Transmits BoT monetary policy to the real economy
💡 The Feedback Loop Explained When banks purchase large volumes of Treasury Bills, their available cash reserves fall. To meet reserve requirements or fund daily operations, these banks then borrow from the interbank market. This raises IBCM demand and can push short-term rates higher — creating a direct feedback loop between the government securities market and interbank liquidity conditions.
5

Key Market Indicators — Tanzania, January 2026

The table below synthesizes the most critical data points from Tanzania's financial markets as of January 2026, drawing from Bank of Tanzania publications and TICGL research. Together, these indicators paint a picture of a stable, well-functioning domestic financial system.

IndicatorValueStatusSignal
Treasury Bill DemandOversubscribed every auction✅ StrongHigh investor confidence in short-term GoT debt
T-Bill Weighted Avg. Yield (Jan 2026)11.0 – 12.0%ElevatedTight liquidity; slight upward yield pressure
10-Year Bond Yield11.30%✅ StableFavorable long-term borrowing cost
10-Year Bond Oversubscription~34%✅ StrongDeep institutional appetite for long-duration GoT bonds
IBCM Turnover (Jan 2026)TZS 2,868.9 BnActiveHealthy bank-to-bank liquidity trading
Dominant IBCM Tenor7-DayNormalShort-term focus reflects standard liquidity management
Share of 7-Day Transactions73.2%DominantMarket benchmark for system-wide liquidity
Central Bank Rate (CBR)5.75%✅ StableAccommodative stance supporting growth targets
Domestic Debt / GDP~17%✅ SustainableWell within international thresholds
Tanzania Inflation (Feb 2026)3.2%✅ Within TargetBoT target range: 3–5%
Source: Bank of Tanzania; National Bureau of Statistics; TICGL Research, March 2026
Tanzania Financial Market Health — Multi-Metric Overview
Composite assessment across six dimensions — January 2026 (scores are illustrative normalised ratings)
Market Dashboard
6

Economic Implications — Tanzania's Growth & Development

The government securities market is far more than a financing mechanism — it is a strategic lever for Tanzania's macroeconomic management. Its performance directly shapes the country's fiscal space, monetary policy effectiveness, investor confidence, and long-run growth potential.

Tanzania's economy is forecast to grow at 6.0–6.3% in 2026, up from 5.9% in 2025, with the government securities market playing a central enabling role. Domestic securities fund approximately 34% of the FY 2025/26 budget (TZS 49.2 trillion), channelling resources into infrastructure, agriculture, mining, and construction — the four pillars of Tanzania's current growth model.

Tanzania GDP Growth Trajectory

2023
5.1%
Actual GDP Growth
2024
5.5%
Actual GDP Growth
2025
5.9%
Actual GDP Growth
2026 F
6.3%
Forecast (BoT/IMF)
2027+ F
6.9%
Medium-Term Target
Tanzania GDP Growth Rate — Historical & Forecast (2021–2027)
Percentage annual growth — shaded area represents government securities market contribution period
Growth Trajectory
📌 Context Tanzania's public debt stands at approximately 40.6% of GDP in FY 2025/26 — well below the IMF/World Bank risk threshold of 55% for low-income countries. This fiscal headroom enables the government to continue accessing domestic capital markets without triggering debt sustainability concerns.
7

Financing Development Projects — Fiscal Space & Budget Support

The government securities market funds ~34% of Tanzania's FY 2025/26 national budget (TZS 49.2 trillion), providing non-inflationary financing for critical development priorities. Low average yields of approximately 10.8% keep annual debt servicing at a manageable ~6.5% of the budget — freeing significant fiscal resources for productive investment.

Major beneficiaries include the hydropower sector (planned additions of 1.2–1.5% to GDP), road infrastructure, and agricultural programmes — which together generated ~160,000 new jobs from new investments in 2025. The government's Vision 2050 industrialisation goals depend critically on this market's continued depth and stability.

FY 2025/26 Government Budget — Financing Sources
Estimated share of TZS 49.2 trillion budget by funding mechanism
Fiscal Structure

Domestic Borrowing & Debt Metrics — Tanzania 2025/26

MetricFY 2025/26FY 2026/27 (Projected)Assessment
Total Domestic Borrowing~TZS 12.8 TnTZS 15.24 TnIncreasing
Domestic Debt StockTZS 38,114.8 BnEst. TZS 42,000+ BnManageable
Domestic Debt / GDP~17%~18–19%Sustainable
Total Public Debt / GDP~40.6%~42%Below 55% threshold
Debt Service / Budget~6.5%~7–8%Moderate
Bonds Share of Domestic Debt~70%~72%Longer-duration stability
Avg. Weighted Yield (T-Bills)~10.8%~11–12%Slight upward pressure
Source: Bank of Tanzania; Ministry of Finance Tanzania; TICGL Analysis, March 2026
Key Sectors Financed Through Government Securities — FY 2025/26
Estimated allocation of domestically-financed development expenditure by sector
Sectoral Allocation
✅ Development Impact Tanzania's domestic securities market financed a hydropower expansion program expected to add 1.2–1.5 percentage points to GDP. Combined with road infrastructure spending, this domestically-financed investment created approximately 160,000 new jobs in 2025 — demonstrating the market's direct link to inclusive growth.
8

Monetary Policy Transmission — Stability & Inflation Control

Government securities are the primary instrument through which the Bank of Tanzania conducts Open Market Operations (OMO) — injecting or absorbing liquidity as needed to keep the banking system in balance. This transmission chain runs from the Central Bank Rate (CBR at 5.75% in Q1 2026) through the interbank market, to commercial lending rates, and ultimately to the real economy.

The effectiveness of this chain is validated by Tanzania's inflation performance: at 3.2% in February 2026, inflation sits squarely within the Bank of Tanzania's 3–5% target band — shielding households from price instability and supporting real consumer purchasing power. Private credit growth of 16.1% year-on-year further attests to the health of monetary transmission.

Monetary Policy & Stability Indicators — Q1 2026

IndicatorValueTarget / BenchmarkStatus
Central Bank Rate (CBR)5.75%Policy corridor anchorAccommodative
Tanzania Inflation Rate (Feb 2026)3.2%BoT target: 3–5%✅ On Target
Private Sector Credit Growth (YoY)16.1%Target: 20%+Below target
T-Bill Yield Serving as Benchmark11.0–12.0%Market lending rate referenceElevated
Bank Holdings of Gov. Securities~70% of IBCM assetsCrowding-out risk
Foreign Exchange ReservesUSD 6.3 BillionMin. 4 months import cover~5 months cover
Source: Bank of Tanzania Monetary Policy Statement Q1 2026; NBS Tanzania; TICGL Research
Inflation vs. Private Sector Credit Growth — Tanzania 2023–2026
Dual-axis comparison: inflation control (left) vs. credit expansion (right)
Monetary Indicators
⚠️ Crowding-Out Risk Commercial banks' heavy allocation to government securities (~70% of liquid assets) may restrict credit availability for private sector SMEs. Private sector credit growth at 16.1% YoY remains below the 20%+ target needed to drive job creation among Tanzania's youth (unemployment ~13.4%). Policymakers must balance fiscal needs with private-sector lending capacity.
9

Investor Confidence — Domestic Capital Mobilisation & FDI

Consistent oversubscription of government securities sends a powerful signal to both domestic and international investors: Tanzania's financial system is credible, stable, and deepening. This confidence effect radiates beyond the bond market — contributing to a favourable environment for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which reached approximately USD 11 billion in 2025, with a target of USD 15 billion for 2026.

Pension funds, insurance companies, and other institutional investors — whose domestic savings are channelled into government paper — represent significant untapped capital. Analysts estimate that redirecting excess auction capacity (TZS 50–100 billion per auction above government needs) toward green bonds or SME guarantee facilities could add 0.5–1.0 percentage points to annual GDP growth.

Tanzania FDI & Investment Confidence — Key Metrics

Indicator202420252026 TargetDriver
FDI Inflows~USD 9.5 Bn~USD 11 BnUSD 15 BnPolicy reforms, stable macro environment
New Investment Projects Approved~7809271,000+TIC facilitation, lower regulatory friction
Jobs from New Investments~130,000~160,000180,000+Infrastructure-led investment expansion
Household Savings Rate~11%~12%13–14%Deepening financial sector access
External Debt Share of Total Debt~71%~69.5%68%Shift toward domestic financing
Foreign Reserves (Import Cover)~4.7 months~5.0 months5+ monthsStrong gold & export earnings
Source: Tanzania Investment Centre (TIC); Bank of Tanzania; IMF Article IV 2025; TICGL Analysis
Tanzania FDI Inflows vs. New Investment Projects — 2021–2026
USD Billion inflows (bars) and number of approved projects (line) — reflects market confidence signal
Investment Climate
✅ Capital Market Opportunity Excess bids in Treasury Bill and Bond auctions (TZS 50–100 billion above tender per cycle) signal significant untapped domestic capital. Structured products such as green bonds, housing bonds, or SME guarantee instruments could redirect this liquidity into higher-impact productive investment — potentially adding 0.5–1.0% to annual GDP growth and accelerating Tanzania's transition to self-reliant, inclusive development.
10

Risks & Challenges — Headwinds to Sustained Growth

While Tanzania's government securities market performs strongly, it is not without risks. The primary concern is the crowding-out effect: as the government borrows more domestically to fund a projected TZS 15.24 trillion in FY 2026/27, it competes directly with private sector borrowers for the same pool of bank funds. This dynamic can constrain SME lending, slow private investment diversification, and limit youth employment opportunities.

External shocks — particularly oil price volatility and tightening global financial conditions — could raise yields beyond the current 11–12% range, increasing debt-servicing costs and squeezing fiscal space. Analysts note Tanzania's strong buffers (USD 6.3 billion reserves, stable gold export earnings) provide meaningful protection, but sustained vigilance remains essential.

Opportunities vs. Risks — Balanced Assessment

✅ Opportunities
Deepening domestic capital markets through longer-tenor issuance (25-year bonds)
Green bond issuance to fund climate-resilient infrastructure
SME guarantee facilities funded by excess auction liquidity
Pension fund diversification into productive sectors
Reducing external borrowing dependence — lower FX risk
Continued oversubscription signals room for larger tender sizes
⚠️ Risks
Crowding out: private sector credit growth below 20% target
Rising yields if global rates increase or oversubscription wanes
Increasing domestic borrowing (TZS 15.24 Tn in FY 2026/27)
Youth unemployment at ~13.4% if SME credit remains constrained
External shocks (oil price, global liquidity shifts) could spike yields
Revenue shortfalls could create vicious debt-servicing cycles

Full Economic Implication Matrix

Implication CategoryPositive ImpactPotential RiskNet Assessment
Fiscal SpaceFunds 6–7% GDP growth via infrastructure; hydropower adds USD 3.5B valueHigher yields could raise servicing costs if oversubscription wanesNet Positive
Financial DeepeningMarket size ~15% GDP; attracts institutional investors; builds yield curveCrowding out: private credit growth below 20% target, hurting SMEsMixed
Macro StabilityAnchors inflation at 3.2%; supports 6.3% GDP forecast; low external riskExternal debt risks if global rates rise, though domestic focus mitigatesNet Positive
Investment Attraction927 new projects in 2025 (~USD 11B); stable credit ratings; policy reformsYouth unrest or policy gaps could deter FDI; job creation may slowNet Positive
Monetary PolicyEffective OMO tool; inflation within target; reserves at 5 months coverBank-heavy holdings (~70%) risk reducing SME lending if liquidity tightensModerate
Debt SustainabilityTotal debt-to-GDP ~40.6% — well below 55% IMF thresholdFY 2026/27 borrowing (TZS 15.24 Tn) increases pressure on sustainabilitySustainable
Employment & Inclusion~160,000 jobs from infrastructure-linked investments in 2025Crowding-out limits SME finance; youth unemployment persists at ~13.4%Watch
Source: TICGL Economic Analysis; Bank of Tanzania; IMF; World Bank Tanzania Economic Update 2025
Tanzania Debt Sustainability — Key Ratios vs. Risk Thresholds
Current levels (blue) plotted against IMF/World Bank risk thresholds (red dashed). Values in % of GDP.
Debt Sustainability

Four Pillars of Economic Impact

🏗️
Infrastructure & Fiscal Financing
Domestic securities fund ~34% of the national budget, prioritizing hydropower (+1.2–1.5% GDP), roads, and industrial zones. Average borrowing cost of ~10.8% keeps debt servicing at a sustainable 6.5% of budget.
TZS 49.2 Tn — FY 2025/26 Budget Size
📉
Inflation Anchoring & Stability
BoT's use of securities for Open Market Operations keeps inflation at 3.2% within the 3–5% target. This protects household purchasing power and anchors business planning confidence across all sectors.
3.2% — Tanzania Inflation, February 2026
💰
FDI & Investment Climate
Consistent oversubscription signals macro credibility, contributing to USD 11B in FDI in 2025. Stable credit outlook and policy reforms target USD 15B by end-2026, with 927 new approved investment projects.
USD 11 Bn — Tanzania FDI Inflows, 2025
⚠️
Crowding-Out & SME Risk
Banks holding ~70% of liquid assets in government securities may limit SME credit access. Private credit growth at 16.1% remains below the 20% target. Youth unemployment at 13.4% requires urgent private-sector catalysis.
13.4% — Youth Unemployment Rate, 2025
11

Conclusion — Tanzania's Financial Markets in 2026

Tanzania's government securities market and interbank cash market together constitute a robust, maturing financial infrastructure capable of supporting the country's ambitious development agenda. The evidence from October 2025 through January 2026 is unambiguous: every auction was oversubscribed, yields remained within manageable bounds, the interbank market cleared efficiently, and inflation stayed firmly within target.

These outcomes do not happen by chance. They reflect disciplined monetary management by the Bank of Tanzania, a deepening institutional investor base, and growing market confidence in Tanzania's macroeconomic fundamentals. With GDP growth forecast at 6.3% for 2026 and a medium-term target of 6.9%, the securities market is well-positioned to remain a cornerstone of Tanzania's self-reliant growth strategy.

The primary challenge ahead is ensuring that this financial strength translates into broad-based, inclusive prosperity — particularly for SMEs, youth, and rural communities who remain underserved by formal financial markets. Innovative instruments such as green bonds, infrastructure bonds with retail participation, and SME credit guarantee facilities could bridge this gap — turning oversubscribed government auctions from a fiscal tool into an engine of inclusive growth.

✅ TICGL Research Summary
Tanzania's Financial Markets Remain Stable, Deep, and Growth-Enabling
The convergence of consistently oversubscribed auctions, a functioning interbank market, controlled inflation, and growing FDI inflows positions Tanzania as one of East Africa's most credible domestic capital markets. With disciplined management, the securities market can accelerate medium-term GDP to 6.9% and deliver more inclusive development outcomes.
Treasury Bill auctions oversubscribed every month Oct 2025–Jan 2026, with demand rising to 50% above tender
10-Year Treasury Bond yield at 11.30% — favourable long-term borrowing cost for development financing
Interbank market turnover of TZS 2,868.9 Bn in Jan 2026 — efficient bank liquidity management
Inflation at 3.2% within BoT target; GDP growth forecast 6.3% for 2026; debt-to-GDP sustainable at ~40.6%
FDI inflows reached USD 11 Bn in 2025 — investor confidence in Tanzania's macro stability is rising
Key risk: crowding-out of private credit — requires innovative instruments to broaden financial inclusion
Tanzania Financial Market Composite — Key Metrics at a Glance (Jan 2026)
Normalised performance score (0–100) across six market dimensions — for comparative context
Composite Scorecard
Sources: Bank of Tanzania (BoT) Monthly Economic Reviews & Auction Results · National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Tanzania · Ministry of Finance & Planning Tanzania · Tanzania Investment Centre (TIC) · IMF Article IV Consultation 2025 · World Bank Tanzania Economic Update 2025 · TICGL Economic Research Division, March 2026

Subscribe to TICGL Insights

Stay informed and gain the crucial information you need to make strategic decisions in Tanzania's vibrant market.
Subscription Form
crossmenu linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram