TICGL

| Economic Consulting Group

TICGL | Economic Consulting Group

Deni la nje la Tanzania limeongezeka kwa kiwango kikubwa katika miaka ya hivi karibuni, likifikia TZS 78.8 trilioni (sawa na USD 32,675.10 milioni) mwezi Agosti 2024. Huu ni ongezeko kubwa ikilinganishwa na rekodi ya kiwango cha chini ya TZS 5.96 trilioni (sawa na USD 2,469.70 milioni) mnamo Desemba 2011, huku wastani ukiwa ni TZS 47 trilioni (sawa na USD 19,468.10 milioni) kwa kipindi cha 2011 hadi 2024. Kuongezeka kutoka TZS 77.2 trilioni (USD 31,993.90 milioni) mwezi Julai hadi TZS 78.8 trilioni (USD 32,675.10 milioni) mwezi Agosti 2024 kunadhihirisha utegemezi unaoendelea wa nchi kwenye ufadhili wa nje kwa miradi ya maendeleo na matumizi ya umma.

Vidokezo Muhimu:

Nafasi ya Tanzania Afrika Mashariki na Afrika
Afrika Mashariki: Tanzania ni moja ya nchi zenye uchumi mkubwa Afrika Mashariki, ikiwa na deni la nje linaloonyesha uwekezaji mkubwa kwenye miundombinu, nishati, na viwanda. Ongezeko la deni ni kutokana na mahitaji ya ufadhili kwa miradi mikubwa kama bandari, reli, na vituo vya nishati. Miongoni mwa nchi za Afrika Mashariki, Tanzania ni mojawapo ya nchi zenye deni kubwa la nje, ingawa Kenya pia ina deni kubwa la KES 5.151 trilioni (karibu USD 34.5 bilioni) kufikia Juni 2024.

Kulinganisha na Nchi za Afrika Mashariki (Deni kwa USD):

  1. Kenya: TZS 129.5 trilioni (USD 51.51 bilioni) (Juni 2024)
  2. Tanzania: TZS 78.8 trilioni (USD 32.68 bilioni) (Agosti 2024)
  3. Rwanda: TZS 15.1 trilioni (USD 6.26 bilioni) (Desemba 2022)
  4. Burundi: BIF 1,857.79 bilioni (~Thamani ya chini ikilinganishwa na Rwanda)

Afrika: Katika bara zima la Afrika, deni la nje la Tanzania ni chini ya nchi kama Afrika Kusini na Misri lakini ni kubwa kuliko nchi nyingi ndogo. Kwa mfano, Afrika Kusini ilikuwa na deni la nje la USD 163,852 milioni kufikia Juni 2024, huku Misri ikiwa na USD 160,607 milioni Machi 2024.

Orodha ya Nchi 10 Bora za Afrika Zenye Deni Kubwa la Nje (kulingana na data ya hivi karibuni):

  1. Afrika Kusini: USD 163,852 milioni (Juni 2024)
  2. Misri: USD 160,607 milioni (Machi 2024)
  3. Nigeria: USD 42,120 milioni (Machi 2024)
  4. Kenya: USD 34.5 bilioni (Juni 2024)
  5. Tanzania: USD 32,675 milioni (Agosti 2024)
  6. Ghana: USD 31,024 milioni (Juni 2024)
  7. Angola: USD 50,260 milioni (Desemba 2023)
  8. Zambia: USD 8,024 milioni (Desemba 2023)
  9. Zimbabwe: USD 13,325 milioni (Desemba 2020)
  10. Morocco: MAD 676,819 milioni (~USD 66.7 bilioni) (Desemba 2022)

Athari za Kiuchumi kwa Tanzania
Ongezeko la deni la Tanzania ni ishara ya ajenda yake ya maendeleo yenye malengo makubwa, ambayo yanahitaji mtaji mkubwa. Ingawa ufadhili huu wa nje ni muhimu kwa maendeleo ya miundombinu na ukuaji wa uchumi, usimamizi wa viwango vya deni ni muhimu ili kuepuka gharama kubwa za kulipa deni ambazo zinaweza kupunguza nafasi ya kufadhili sekta nyingine za maendeleo.

Muhtasari wa Maeneo Muhimu ya Deni la Tanzania:

  1. Ukuaji wa Deni la Nje la Tanzania
    • Ukuaji Mkubwa: Deni la nje la Tanzania limeongezeka kutoka USD 2.47 bilioni mnamo Desemba 2011 hadi USD 32.68 bilioni kufikia Agosti 2024.
    • Mwelekeo wa Hivi Karibuni: Deni limeongezeka kutoka USD 31.99 bilioni mnamo Julai 2024 hadi USD 32.68 bilioni mnamo Agosti 2024.
    • Wastani wa Deni: Kwa kipindi cha 2011 hadi 2024, wastani wa deni la Tanzania ilikuwa USD 19.47 bilioni.
  2. Nafasi ya Tanzania Afrika Mashariki
    • Tanzania ni moja ya nchi kubwa kiuchumi Afrika Mashariki, na deni la nje la pili kwa ukubwa baada ya Kenya.
    • Kulinganisha na Nchi za Afrika Mashariki:
      • Kenya inaongoza kwa deni la nje la USD 34.5 bilioni mnamo Juni 2024.
      • Tanzania inafuatia na USD 32.68 bilioni mnamo Agosti 2024.
      • Rwanda (USD 6.26 bilioni mnamo Desemba 2022) na Burundi zina deni la chini sana.
  3. Nafasi ya Tanzania Afrika
    • Tanzania inashikilia nafasi ya tano miongoni mwa nchi za Afrika zenye deni kubwa la nje, nyuma ya Ghana (USD 31.02 bilioni) na Zambia (USD 8.02 bilioni), lakini chini ya nchi kama Afrika Kusini na Misri.
  4. Athari kwa Tanzania
    • Ajenda ya Maendeleo: Ongezeko kubwa la deni linaonyesha dhamira ya Tanzania ya kupanua miundombinu, nishati, na sekta ya viwanda.
    • Changamoto ya Usimamizi wa Deni: Uwekezaji huu wa deni unahitaji usimamizi thabiti ili kuhakikisha kuwa fedha zilizokopwa zinatumika kwa ufanisi.
    • Matumizi ya Fedha za Kukopa: Changamoto kuu kwa Tanzania ni kuhakikisha kuwa fedha hizi zinazalisha matokeo ya kiuchumi kama ongezeko la uwezo wa uzalishaji, mauzo ya nje, na ajira.
    • Mashindano ya Kanda: Ongezeko la deni la Tanzania linaakisi ushindani na nchi nyingine za Afrika Mashariki, hususan Kenya.

Hitimisho
Deni la nje la Tanzania linaonyesha mipango yake ya maendeleo lakini ongezeko kubwa la deni linazua maswali kuhusu uhimilivu wa deni. Kama moja ya nchi zenye uchumi mkubwa Afrika Mashariki, Tanzania inafanya maendeleo makubwa katika miundombinu na viwanda lakini inapaswa kusimamia deni kwa umakini ili kudumisha utulivu wa kifedha wa muda mrefu.

Tanzania's external debt has grown significantly in recent years, reaching USD 32,675.10 million in August 2024. This is a major increase compared to its record low of USD 2,469.70 million in December 2011, and an average of USD 19,468.10 million over the period from 2011 to 2024. The month-on-month increase from USD 31,993.90 million in July to USD 32,675.10 million in August 2024 reflects the country's continued reliance on external financing for development projects and public expenditure.

Key Points:

Tanzania's Position in East Africa and Africa

East Africa: Tanzania is one of the largest economies in East Africa, with a growing external debt that reflects significant investments in infrastructure, energy, and industrialization. The rise in debt is partly due to the country’s need for financing large-scale projects like ports, railways, and energy plants. Among East African countries, Tanzania has one of the highest external debts, but Kenya's debt is also notable, with KES 5.151 trillion (approximately USD 34.5 billion) as of June 2024.

Comparison with East African Countries (Debt in USD):

  1. Kenya: $51.51 billion USD (June 2024)
  2. Tanzania: $32.68 billion USD (August 2024)
  3. Rwanda: $6.26 billion USD (Dec 2022)
  4. Burundi: BIF 1,857.79 billion (~USD equivalent lower than Rwanda)

Africa: On the broader African continent, Tanzania's external debt is lower than that of major economies like South Africa and Egypt but higher than many smaller economies. For instance, South Africa had an external debt of USD 163,852 million as of June 2024, while Egypt had USD 160,607 million in March 2024.

Top 10 African Countries with High External Debt (as per recent data)

Here is a list of the top African countries with high external debt (figures are based on the latest available data):

  1. South Africa: USD 163,852 million (June 2024)
  2. Egypt: USD 160,607 million (March 2024)
  3. Nigeria: USD 42,120 million (March 2024)
  4. Kenya: KES 5.151 trillion (~USD 34.5 billion) (June 2024)
  5. Tanzania: USD 32,675 million (August 2024)
  6. Ghana: USD 31,024 million (June 2024)
  7. Angola: USD 50,260 million (December 2023)
  8. Zambia: USD 8,024 million (December 2023)
  9. Zimbabwe: USD 13,325 million (December 2020)
  10. Morocco: MAD 676,819 million (~USD 66.7 billion) (December 2022)

Economic Implications for Tanzania

Tanzania’s growing debt is a reflection of its ambitious development agenda, which requires substantial capital. While this external financing is important for infrastructure development and economic growth, managing the debt levels will be crucial to avoid excessive debt servicing costs that could limit fiscal space for other development needs. Tanzania's current external debt positions it among the highly indebted nations in East Africa but is still lower than larger economies like South Africa and Egypt.

Tanzania’s debt management will likely involve focusing on maintaining sustainable debt levels while ensuring that borrowed funds are used productively to generate economic returns. As part of East Africa, Tanzania is competing with countries like Kenya in terms of infrastructure and economic development, which may drive further borrowing for development projects.

Tanzania's external debt highlights key insights about the country’s economic development, debt reliance, and its position within East Africa and the broader African continent:

1. Tanzania’s External Debt Growth

2. Tanzania’s Position in East Africa

3. Tanzania’s Position in Africa

4. Implications for Tanzania

Conclusion

Tanzania’s external debt reflects its ambitious development plans, but the significant increase in borrowing raises concerns about debt sustainability. As one of the largest economies in East Africa, Tanzania is making important strides in infrastructure and industrialization but must balance borrowing with the productive use of funds to ensure long-term fiscal stability. Compared to other African nations, Tanzania’s debt is significant but still more manageable than the continent’s largest economies like South Africa and Egypt. However, careful debt management will be crucial as the country continues its development journey.

To promote sustainable economic growth, Tanzania is increasingly leveraging Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) to improve financial efficiency and boost investment in key sectors. Over the 2021/22 to 2024/25 fiscal years, Tanzania allocated a total of 54.575 trillion TZS to its development budget, with 33.794 trillion TZS sourced domestically. By implementing PPPs under an 80-20 cost-sharing model, the government aims to reduce its financial burden, enhance service delivery, create jobs, and increase revenue through private sector collaboration. This article explores the impact and strategic approach of PPPs in Tanzania’s economic development.

1. Development Budget Allocation and Funding Trends

Across four fiscal years, Tanzania’s development budget reveals a structured approach to funding large-scale infrastructure, energy, social services, and economic development projects. The allocation data highlights the prioritization of domestic financing over external funds, underscoring a commitment to fiscal responsibility and self-reliance.

Fiscal YearTotal Development Budget (TZS Trillions)Domestic Funding (TZS Trillions)External Funding (TZS Trillions)
2021/2213.3310.372.96
2022/2315.0012.312.70
2023/2411.49N/AN/A
2024/2514.75511.1143.640
Total54.57533.7949.3

This budget structure, with over 60% sourced domestically, signals Tanzania’s shift towards utilizing internal revenue for growth, allowing foreign financing to focus on specific, large-scale projects.

2. Key Recurring Projects and Economic Impact

Tanzania’s development agenda targets large-scale projects in infrastructure, energy, social services, and economic development to achieve comprehensive growth.

3. Financing Strategies for Development

To finance these ambitious projects, Tanzania adopts a diversified approach, with the following methods:

4. Economic Benefits of Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs)

PPPs offer a unique model for maximizing resource utilization while minimizing financial risks to the government. The 80-20 cost-sharing model illustrates substantial economic benefits:

a) Cost Savings

Through PPPs, project costs are shared, reducing government expenditure. For instance:

b) Increased Investment and Economic Output

By leveraging PPPs, Tanzania’s 54.575 trillion TZS development budget could attract an estimated 43.66 trillion TZS from the private sector, enabling increased investments in other critical areas.

c) Risk Mitigation

With an 80% private sector contribution, the government’s risk exposure is substantially reduced. For example, in a 200 billion TZS project, a cost overrun of 30 billion TZS would mean the government only covers 6 billion TZS, transferring the remaining 24 billion TZS risk to private investors.

d) Enhanced Revenue Sharing

Infrastructure projects like the Julius Nyerere Hydropower Project can enhance revenue through efficient PPP implementation. With a 2,115 MW capacity, an estimated revenue of 10 million TZS per MW annually could see a 15% efficiency increase under PPPs, yielding an additional 31.725 billion TZS in revenue.

e) Job Creation and Economic Stimulation

PPPs can create approximately 10,000 jobs, injecting 10 billion TZS into the economy annually. This job creation benefits local economies and provides citizens with employment opportunities, improving livelihoods and increasing domestic consumption.

f) Long-term Economic Growth

By facilitating infrastructure development, PPPs can increase trade efficiency by 5%, which translates to a 1 trillion TZS boost in annual economic output. This growth benefits both the government and private sector through improved services and a broader tax base.

5. Strategic Advantages of PPPs for Tanzania’s Development Goals

The strategic implementation of Public-Private Partnerships in Tanzania is driving sustainable economic growth, enhancing service delivery, and creating employment opportunities. By balancing risk, leveraging private investment, and focusing on key sectors, Tanzania is building a resilient economy that benefits both the public and private sectors. Through continued collaboration, PPPs will play a crucial role in realizing Tanzania’s long-term development goals.

Rising Lending Rates, Strengthened Reserves, and Targeted Credit Growth

The East African Community (EAC) is experiencing notable shifts in monetary and financial trends, with lending rates rising across several member states, a robust 8.9% growth in money supply, and increased credit allocation to key sectors such as agriculture and manufacturing. These trends reflect the region’s efforts to balance inflation control, liquidity expansion, and economic development.

  1. Treasury Bill Rates:
    • Tanzania saw a decline in its 91-day Treasury bill rate from 9.1% in Q4 2023 to 8.2% in Q1 2024, while Kenya's rate rose from 15.7% to 16.7% in the same period.
    • Rwanda's rate slightly declined by 1%, while Burundi experienced an increase from 5.6% to 6.2%​.
  2. Lending Rates:
    • In Q1 2024, lending rates across the EAC were high, with Uganda and Rwanda recording rates of 17.3% and 16.6%, respectively, while Kenya saw the highest increase, up 11.3% from the previous quarter​.
  3. Deposit Rates:
    • Kenya's deposit rates increased from 10.1% to 10.5%, while South Sudan and Uganda saw decreases by 6% and 5%, respectively​.
  4. Broad Money Supply (M3):
    • Broad money (M3) grew by 8.9% year-over-year, reaching USD 78 billion in Q1 2024. This growth was largely supported by a 17.2% increase in foreign currency deposits, highlighting stronger dollar reserves across the region​.
  5. Credit to the Private Sector:
    • Credit to the private sector in the EAC region grew by 8.8% from the previous quarter, with substantial allocations to sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and construction, which saw increases of 28% and 8%, respectively​.

The monetary and financial statistics for the EAC with key insights into the region's economic and financial health:

  1. Rising Lending Rates and Borrowing Costs:
    • The increase in lending rates across several EAC countries, particularly in Kenya, Rwanda, and Uganda, reflects tightening monetary conditions. This trend may be aimed at controlling inflation, but it also indicates higher borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which could impact investment and spending.
  2. Broad Money Supply and Reserve Strengthening:
    • The significant growth in broad money supply (M3) by 8.9% signals an increase in overall liquidity within the EAC economies. A notable rise in foreign currency deposits reflects strengthening reserves, likely contributing to greater currency stability and resilience against external financial shocks.
  3. Selective Growth in Deposit Rates:
    • The varying changes in deposit rates, with some countries like Kenya experiencing increases while others see decreases, suggest divergent monetary policy strategies within the EAC. Countries facing higher inflation or currency pressures may be offering better rates to attract savings, while others may prioritize economic activity over savings.
  4. Credit Growth to Productive Sectors:
    • The notable increase in credit to sectors like agriculture, manufacturing, and construction underscores the EAC’s focus on supporting essential economic sectors. This shift not only helps stimulate economic growth but also aligns with development goals aimed at boosting productivity, food security, and infrastructure.

The mobile money sector in Tanzania has experienced strong and continuous growth, with total transactions rising by 9% from 285.5 million in June 2024 to 310.9 million in September 2024. Major providers, including M-Pesa, Tigo Pesa, and Airtel Money, each recorded over 80 million transactions in September. Smaller players like Azam Pesa also saw significant growth, with transactions increasing from 1.8 million to 5.05 million. This growth reflects the increasing reliance on mobile money for day-to-day transactions and highlights the critical role of mobile financial services in enhancing financial inclusion across the country.

1. Number of Mobile Money Transactions:

2. Transaction Breakdown by Mobile Money Providers (September 2024):

3. Historical Growth of Mobile Money Transactions:

Summary:

Numbers on mobile money transactions with key insights into the growth and usage of mobile financial services in Tanzania

The strong and continuous growth in the mobile money sector, with more people relying on mobile money for financial transactions. M-Pesa, Tigo Pesa, and Airtel Money dominate the space, but smaller players are also showing growth. The increasing number of transactions highlights the role of mobile money in enhancing financial inclusion and providing a convenient alternative to traditional banking. It shows that mobile money is a critical tool for economic empowerment and everyday financial management in Tanzania.

1. Steady Growth in Transaction Volumes:

2. Dominance of Major Players:

3. Growing Financial Inclusion:

4. Shift in Financial Behavior:

5. Historical Growth Indicates Long-Term Trend:

Source: Takwimu za Mawasiliano Robo ya mwaka inayoishia Septemba 2024

In Tanzania, mobile money services have experienced significant growth, with the number of mobile money accounts rising by 9% from 55.7 million in June 2024 to 60.8 million in September 2024. This translates to an average monthly increase of 2.3%. The volume of mobile money transactions also saw a 9% rise, from 285.5 million in June 2024 to 310.9 million in September 2024. Dominated by M-Pesa, Tigo Pesa, and Airtel Money, these three providers account for nearly 90% of the market share. This growth highlights the increasing reliance on mobile platforms for financial transactions and the strong competition driving innovations in Tanzania’s digital financial landscape.

1. Number of Mobile Money Accounts:

Breakdown by Mobile Money Providers:

This data shows that M-Pesa, Tigo Pesa, and Airtel Money dominate the mobile money market, together accounting for 89% of the total mobile money accounts in the country​.

2. Idadi ya Miamala ya Pesa Mtandao (Number of Mobile Money Transactions):

Breakdown by Mobile Money Providers:

3. Historical Growth in Mobile Money Transactions:

4. Market Share:

Summary:

Mobile money services with insights about the digital financial landscape in Tanzania:

Mobile money has become central to financial inclusion efforts, providing accessible financial services to millions who might otherwise be unbanked. The strong competition among key providers ensures that consumers continue to benefit from innovative, efficient, and increasingly affordable services. Mobile money is driving not just digital finance but also broader economic growth, especially as more people and businesses engage in digital transactions.

1. Rapid Adoption and Growth:

2. Mobile Money as a Key Financial Service:

3. Dominance of Major Providers:

4. Growing Inclusivity in Financial Services:

5. Competition Among Providers:

6. Increasing Transaction Volumes:

7. Digital Finance as an Economic Driver:

Source: Takwimu za Mawasiliano Robo ya mwaka inayoishia Septemba 2024

From Liberation to Economic Ascendancy in a Multipolar World

TICGL’s Economic Research Centre has published a groundbreaking paper authored by Dr. Bravious Felix Kahyoza PhD, FMVA, CP3 (braviouskahyoza5@gmail.com), which explores the evolution of Tanzania’s foreign policy from idealistic liberation diplomacy under Julius Nyerere to pragmatic economic diplomacy under President Samia Suluhu Hassan. The paper artfully weaves together the Keatsian duality of “truth” (principled values) and “beauty” (economic prosperity) to illustrate how Tanzania navigates the complexities of 21st-century global politics.

Dr. Bravious Felix Kahyoza, a certified professional in Financial Modeling & Valuation Analyst (FMVA) and Certified PPP Professional (CP3P), brings a unique interdisciplinary perspective that bridges economic strategy, governance, and international relations, reinforcing TICGL’s commitment to insightful, evidence-based policy research.

With over 60 years of independence, Tanzania has transformed from the "Mecca of African Liberation"—hosting anti-colonial movements like the ANC, ZANU, and SWAPO—into a regional economic powerhouse and diplomatic mediator. The paper argues that Tanzania's foreign policy represents a unique model of "smart power"—combining moral authority with strategic economic engagement—positioning the nation as a prototype for African agency in a multipolar world.

Key Findings and Insights

Policy Evolution and Strategic Shifts

Tanzania's foreign policy has undergone three distinct phases, each responding to changing global dynamics while maintaining core principles:

Phase 1: Liberation Diplomacy (1961-1990s)

Phase 2: Economic Diplomacy Transition (2001-2020)

Phase 3: Booming Economic Diplomacy (2021-Present)

Key structural achievements include:

Strategic Recommendations for 21st-Century Diplomacy

To navigate the complexities of a multipolar world and realize the vision of 30-fold GDP growth by 2081, the paper proposes a comprehensive diplomatic modernization agenda:

1. Develop Systemic Global Perspectives:

2. Embrace New Epistemological Approaches:

3. Combat Outdated Ethnographic Knowledge:

4. Master Global Economic Intricacies:

5. Implement Performance-Based Budgeting:

Conclusion

Tanzania's diplomatic journey embodies the Keatsian synthesis of "truth and beauty"—where unwavering principles of sovereignty, non-alignment, and African unity ("truth") harmonize with pragmatic pursuits of economic growth, regional integration, and sustainable development ("beauty"). This model represents a revolutionary approach to African diplomacy in the 21st century.

The authors emphasize that Tanzania's "smart power" diplomacy—combining Joseph Nye's concepts of hard and soft power—offers a blueprint for African nations navigating the multipolar world. By maintaining moral authority through peacekeeping and mediation while pursuing strategic economic partnerships with both Eastern and Western powers, Tanzania demonstrates that principled pragmatism is not only possible but necessary for developing nations.

The 2024 Foreign Policy Review, launched in May 2025, crystallizes this vision: integrating New Climate Economy requirements, diaspora engagement, digital public infrastructure, and environmental protection while addressing emerging challenges like cybersecurity, transborder crime (costing USD 500 million annually), and regional conflicts.

Under President Hassan's 4Rs philosophy and Samia-nomics framework, Tanzania is positioned to achieve transformative outcomes by 2030:

By 2081, if these policies continue, Tanzania could realize a 30-fold GDP increase, transforming from a liberation haven into an economic powerhouse while maintaining its role as Africa's diplomatic conscience. This journey proves that in the multipolar age, truth and beauty need not be contradictory—they can be symphonically harmonized to create a foreign policy that is both ethically grounded and economically empowering.

Tanzania's model offers a powerful counter-narrative to neoliberal orthodoxy, demonstrating that African nations can chart their own course—demystifying global economic shadows while building inclusive prosperity rooted in cultural authenticity and pan-African solidarity.


📘 Read the Full Research Paper:
"Truth and Beauty in Tanzanian Diplomacy: From Liberation to Economic Ascendancy in a Multipolar World"
Authored by Dr. Bravious Felix Kahyoza (PhD, FMVA)
Published by TICGL | Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd
🌐 www.ticgl.com

Truth and Beauty in Tanzanian DiplomacyDownload

Tanzania's internet landscape is rapidly expanding, primarily driven by mobile networks. The total number of internet subscriptions rose by 5%, from 39.3 million in June 2024 to 41.4 million by September 2024. Mobile internet remains dominant, with 22.9 million high-speed mobile lines (3G, 4G, 5G), while 18.3 million still use 2G services. Vodacom leads the market with a 32.5% share, followed by Airtel (27.9%) and Tigo (25.1%). Though fixed internet services, particularly fiber-optic connections, are slowly growing, mobile remains the primary access mode. This rapid connectivity growth supports Tanzania's digital transformation.

1. Number of Internet Lines:

2. Breakdown of Internet Subscriptions by Technology:

The internet subscriptions are categorized based on the technology used to access the service. Here is the breakdown for September 2024:

This shows that while mobile internet dominates, there is gradual growth in wired internet services, especially for homes and offices.

3. Internet Market Share by Providers:

The mobile internet market is dominated by a few key providers:

This data indicates that most Tanzanians access the internet through mobile networks, with Vodacom, Airtel, and Tigo being the primary providers.

4. Historical Growth in Internet Subscriptions:

5. Average Monthly Data Usage:

6. International Internet Capacity:

Summary:

  1. Strong Growth: The number of internet subscriptions grew by 5% in just three months, reaching 41.4 million by September 2024. Mobile internet dominates this growth, particularly through 3G and 4G technologies.
  2. Mobile Internet Leads: Mobile internet is the most popular means of access, with 22.9 million high-speed mobile lines. However, a significant portion of users still relies on 2G services (18.3 million), showing that not all regions are fully transitioned to faster networks.
  3. Market Dominance by Vodacom, Airtel, and Tigo: The internet market is dominated by Vodacom, Airtel, and Tigo, which together hold over 85% of the mobile internet market.
  4. Fixed Wired Internet Slowly Expanding: Although mobile internet dominates, there is slow but steady growth in fiber-optic connections for homes and offices, indicating gradual improvement in infrastructure for fixed wired internet services.
  5. Rising Data Consumption: The rise in internet subscriptions and increased data usage reflects the growing digital transformation of Tanzania, where more people are accessing the internet for communication, entertainment, business, and education.

Internet services with insights into the country's digital landscape and internet usage trends

Tanzania’s internet landscape is rapidly expanding, with a heavy reliance on mobile networks for access. This growth tells us that the country is becoming more digitally connected, which is essential for economic development, social inclusion, and modernization. The ongoing rollout of faster mobile technologies (4G, 5G) and the gradual expansion of fixed internet services suggest that Tanzania is on a path towards better digital infrastructure, though there are still gaps in rural and underserved areas.

Overall, the numbers reflect a positive digital trend, with increasing connectivity enabling more Tanzanians to participate in the global digital economy.

1. Rapid Internet Expansion:

2. Dominance of Mobile Internet:

3. Mobile Operators as Key Providers:

4. Slow Growth in Fixed Internet Services:

5. Increased Data Usage:

6. Improved International Internet Capacity:

7. Digital Transformation and Economic Impact:

Source: Takwimu za Mawasiliano Robo ya mwaka inayoishia Septemba 2024

Katika robo ya mwaka inayomalizika mwezi Septemba 2024, sekta ya mawasiliano nchini Tanzania ilionyesha ukuaji mzuri, huku idadi ya lines za simu ikiongezeka kutoka milioni 76.6 hadi milioni 80.7, sawa na ongezeko la asilimia 5.4. Pamoja na ukuaji wa akaunti za pesa mtandao kutoka milioni 55.7 hadi milioni 60.8, ukionyesha ongezeko la asilimia 9, M-Pesa iliongoza soko ikiwa na asilimia 36.9 ya hisa. Aidha, usajili wa intaneti uliongezeka kutoka milioni 39.3 hadi milioni 41.4, ukuaji wa asilimia 5. Takwimu hizi zinaashiria upanuzi mkubwa wa huduma za kidijitali, ukionesha kuongezeka kwa uunganisho na ushiriki wa kifedha, ingawa utegemezi wa teknolojia ya 2G unaonyesha haja ya uwekezaji zaidi katika intaneti ya kasi ya juu, hasa katika maeneo ya vijijini.

  1. Takwimu za Mawasiliano ya Simu:
    • Idadi ya watumiaji wa lines za simu iliongezeka kutoka milioni 76.6 mwezi Juni 2024 hadi milioni 80.7 mwezi Septemba 2024, ikiwakilisha ukuaji wa asilimia 5.4.
    • Kanda yenye watumiaji wa lines za simu ni Dar es Salaam ikiwa na mistari milioni 14.8, ikifuatiwa na Mwanza yenye mistari milioni 5.3.
  2. Takwimu za Pesa Mtandao:
    • Akaunti za pesa mtandao ziliongezeka kutoka milioni 55.7 mwezi Juni 2024 hadi milioni 60.8 mwezi Septemba 2024, ikionyesha ongezeko la asilimia 9.
    • M-Pesa inashikilia soko la pesa mtandao kwa asilimia 36.9 ya hisa ya soko, ikifuatiwa na Tigo Pesa kwa asilimia 32.1 na Airtel Money kwa asilimia 18.8.
  3. Takwimu za Huduma ya Intaneti:
    • Usajili wa intaneti ulishuka kutoka milioni 39.3 mwezi Juni 2024 hadi milioni 41.4 mwezi Septemba 2024, ukuaji wa asilimia 5.
    • Broadband ya simu inaongoza ikiwa na mistari milioni 22.9 ya intaneti ya kasi ya juu, ikifuatiwa na teknolojia ya 2G yenye mistari milioni 18.3.

Takwimu zinatoa maoni kadhaa muhimu kuhusu ukuaji na mwelekeo katika sekta ya mawasiliano na huduma za kidijitali nchini Tanzania

Takwimu hizi zinaonyesha ukuaji mzuri katika sekta ya mawasiliano, huku huduma za simu, pesa mtandao, na ufikiaji wa intaneti zikipanuka kwa haraka. Inaonyesha kuongezeka kwa ushiriki wa kidijitali nchini Tanzania, huku pesa mtandao ikiongoza mabadiliko ya kifedha na intaneti ya simu ikitengeneza msingi wa ufikiaji mtandaoni. Hata hivyo, utegemezi wa teknolojia ya 2G unaonyesha kuwa kuna haja ya uwekezaji zaidi katika intaneti ya kasi ya juu, hasa katika maeneo ya vijijini, ili kufunga pengo la kidijitali.

  1. Kuongezeka kwa Uunganisho na Ufikiaji wa Kidijitali:
    • Ukuaji wa asilimia 5.4 katika watumiaji wa lines za simu (kutoka milioni 76.6 hadi milioni 80.7) unaonyesha kuongezeka kwa ufikiaji wa huduma za simu, ambayo inawezekana imesababishwa na kuongezeka kwa mahitaji ya mawasiliano, intaneti ya simu, na huduma za kidijitali.
    • Dar es Salaam na Mwanza zinakuza usajili wa watumiaji wa lines za simu, ikionyesha kwamba maeneo ya mijini yanapata faida kubwa kutokana na maendeleo ya mawasiliano.
  2. Upanuzi wa Haraka wa Huduma za Pesa Mtandao:
    • Ukuaji wa asilimia 9 katika akaunti za pesa mtandao (kutoka milioni 55.7 hadi milioni 60.8) unaonyesha jinsi pesa mtandao inavyokuwa chombo muhimu kwa ushiriki wa kifedha, ikiwwezesha Watanzaia wengi kupata huduma za kifedha za kidijitali.
    • M-Pesa inaongoza soko kwa asilimia 36.9 ya hisa, ikifuatiwa na Tigo Pesa na Airtel Money, ikionyesha ushindani mkali lakini pia matumizi ya pesa mtandao kwa manunuzi, akiba, na biashara.
  3. Kuongezeka kwa Ujumuishaji wa Intaneti:
    • Ukuaji wa asilimia 5 katika usajili wa intaneti (kutoka milioni 39.3 hadi milioni 41.4) unaonyesha kwamba ufikiaji wa intaneti unapanuka, huku Watanzaia wengi wakijiunga mtandaoni.
    • Broadband ya simu (mamilioni 22.9 ya usajili) ndiyo njia kuu ambayo watu wanapata intaneti, wakati 2G inabaki kuwa muhimu, ikionyesha tofauti ya kidijitali kati ya wale wenye ufikiaji wa intaneti ya kasi ya juu na wale wanaotegemea mitandao ya polepole.

Source: Takwimu za Mawasiliano Robo ya mwaka inayoishia Septemba 2024

As of September 2024, Tanzania's telecommunications sector continues to expand rapidly, with mobile subscriptions reaching 80.7 million, a 5.4% increase from June's 76.6 million. Leading operators like Vodacom, Tigo, and Airtel dominate the market, while the number of M2M lines grew by 4.8%, reflecting progress in IoT adoption. Infrastructure development also surged, with 8,583 telecommunication towers and increasing 5G mast installations. Smartphone penetration climbed to 33.85%, further boosting digital access, especially in urban areas like Dar es Salaam, which leads with 14.8 million mobile lines.

  1. Number of Mobile Lines:
    • As of September 2024, the number of registered mobile lines reached 80.7 million, up from 76.6 million by June 2024, representing a 5.4% increase.
    • During the quarter, there was an average 1.7% monthly increase in the registration of mobile and landline subscriptions.
    • Table 1.1.1 shows mobile line registrations for service providers (P2P - Person to Person):
      • Vodacom: 24.1 million
      • Airtel: 19.5 million
      • Tigo: 23.4 million
      • Halotel: 10.9 million
      • TTCL: 1.5 million
  2. Machine to Machine (M2M) Lines:
    • M2M lines increased from 0.97 million (June 2024) to 1.02 million (September 2024), a 4.8% increase.
    • Vodacom leads in M2M line registrations, holding 56.2% of the market, followed by Airtel with 32.7%, and Halotel with 5.9%.
  3. Number of Telecommunication Towers:
    • The total number of telecommunication towers in Tanzania reached 8,583 by September 2024.
      • Dar es Salaam leads with 1,156 towers, followed by Mwanza with 423 towers.
      • The region with the fewest towers is Katavi (94 towers).
  4. Number of Communication Masts (2G, 3G, 4G, 5G):
    • As of September 2024, the number of masts was:
      • 2G: 13,579
      • 3G: 12,637
      • 4G: 12,260
      • 5G: 834 (an increase of 6% compared to previous months).
      • Dar es Salaam leads in all categories of communication masts.
  5. Distribution of Mobile Lines by Region:
    • The top five regions with the highest number of mobile lines are:
      • Dar es Salaam: 14.8 million
      • Mwanza: 5.3 million
      • Arusha: 4.9 million
      • Mbeya: 4.6 million
      • Dodoma: 4.3 million
  6. Communication Devices Using SIM Cards:
    • Smartphones have reached 33.85% penetration among the population by September 2024, up from 31.55% in June.
    • Feature phones have a penetration rate of 84.83%.

Statistics on mawasiliano ya simu from Tanzania for the period ending September 2024 with insights into the country's communication landscape

Tanzania’s telecommunication sector is rapidly expanding, with significant growth in mobile subscriptions, infrastructure, and smart device penetration. The dominance of key operators, the rise in machine-to-machine communications, and the growth of mobile money highlight the central role of telecommunications in the country’s digital and economic development. There’s clear momentum towards greater connectivity and access, particularly in urban areas, but there’s also growing attention to rural regions.

1. Rapid Growth in Mobile Subscriptions:

2. Dominance of Major Telecom Operators:

3. Machine to Machine (M2M) Connectivity:

4. Infrastructure Development:

5. Urban Dominance:

6. Increase in Smart Device Usage:

7. Competitive Mobile Money Market:

Source: Takwimu za Mawasiliano Robo ya mwaka inayoishia Septemba 2024

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