Tanzania Investment and Consultant Group Ltd

| Economic Research Centre

Tanzania's Economic Growth Evident in Robust Bank Deposit and Loan Increases
July 12, 2024  
Bank Deposits Deposits Growth and Distribution: Zone-wise Breakdown: Table 1: Bank Deposits Zone Mar-23r (Billions of TZS) Dec-23r (Billions of TZS) Mar-24p (Billions of TZS) Percentage Change (Mar-23 to Mar-24) Share Mar-24 (%) Central 3,076.6 3,112.9 3,412.7 10.9% 10.9% Dar es Salaam 17,130.4 20,663.6 18,666.2 9.0% 59.4% South Eastern 820.3 940.3 877.0 6.9% 2.8% Lake […]

Bank Deposits

Deposits Growth and Distribution:

  • Overall Growth: Bank deposits across all zones in Tanzania grew by 12.3% from March 2023 to March 2024.
  • Total Deposits: The total deposits increased to TZS 31,424.6 billion.
  • Key Drivers: This growth was driven by banks’ efforts in mobilizing savings through financial education and innovative products and services.

Zone-wise Breakdown:

  • Dar es Salaam Zone: This zone accounted for the largest share of deposits at 59.4%, amounting to TZS 18,666.2 billion. The growth here was 9.0%.
  • Central Zone: Deposits grew by 10.9% to TZS 3,412.7 billion, representing 10.9% of the total.
  • South Eastern Zone: Deposits grew by 6.9% to TZS 877.0 billion, making up 2.8% of the total.
  • Lake Zone: This zone saw the highest growth rate of 46.1%, with deposits reaching TZS 3,482.6 billion, accounting for 11.1% of the total.
  • Northern Zone: Deposits increased by 5.0% to TZS 3,654.5 billion, representing 11.6% of the total.
  • Southern Highlands Zone: Deposits grew by 21.3% to TZS 1,331.6 billion, making up 4.2% of the total.

Table 1: Bank Deposits

ZoneMar-23r (Billions of TZS)Dec-23r (Billions of TZS)Mar-24p (Billions of TZS)Percentage Change (Mar-23 to Mar-24)Share Mar-24 (%)
Central3,076.63,112.93,412.710.9%10.9%
Dar es Salaam17,130.420,663.618,666.29.0%59.4%
South Eastern820.3940.3877.06.9%2.8%
Lake2,383.72,695.73,482.646.1%11.1%
Northern3,481.03,658.93,654.55.0%11.6%
Southern Highlands1,098.11,583.21,331.621.3%4.2%
Total27,990.232,654.531,424.612.3%100.0%

Bank Loans

Loans Growth and Distribution:

  • Overall Growth: Banks' loans to various economic activities grew by 21% from March 2023 to March 2024.
  • Total Loans: The total loans increased to TZS 29,735.9 billion.
  • Key Drivers: The growth was mainly due to improved economic activities, a better business environment, and supportive policies.

Zone-wise Breakdown:

  • Dar es Salaam Zone: This zone accounted for the largest share of loans at 53.8%, amounting to TZS 15,989.1 billion. The growth here was 12.8%.
  • Central Zone: Loans grew by 57.1% to TZS 4,070.3 billion, representing 13.7% of the total.
  • South Eastern Zone: Loans grew by 15.7% to TZS 1,424.9 billion, making up 4.8% of the total.
  • Lake Zone: Loans increased by 31.1% to TZS 4,308.8 billion, accounting for 14.5% of the total.
  • Northern Zone: Loans grew by 28.2% to TZS 3,163.8 billion, representing 10.6% of the total.
  • Southern Highlands Zone: Loans slightly decreased by 5.4% to TZS 779.0 billion, making up 2.6% of the total.

Table 2: Bank Loans

ZoneMar-23r (Billions of TZS)Dec-23r (Billions of TZS)Mar-24p (Billions of TZS)Percentage Change (Mar-23 to Mar-24)Share Mar-24 (%)
Central2,590.73,809.14,070.357.1%13.7%
Dar es Salaam14,174.316,203.415,989.112.8%53.8%
South Eastern1,231.41,441.61,424.915.7%4.8%
Lake3,286.23,821.64,308.831.1%14.5%
Northern2,467.02,960.83,163.828.2%10.6%
Southern Highlands823.2763.6779.0-5.4%2.6%
Total24,572.929,000.029,735.921.0%100.0%

The analysis indicates significant growth in both deposits and loans, with Dar es Salaam being the dominant region for both. The remarkable increase in deposits in the Lake Zone and loans in the Central Zone highlights regional economic activities' positive trends.

Economic Development Insights

The bank deposits and loans underscores Tanzania's positive economic development trends. With significant growth in financial inclusion, regional economic activities, and a supportive policy environment, Tanzania is poised for continued economic growth and development. However, attention to regional disparities and sustained investment in emerging regions will be vital to ensure balanced and inclusive economic progress.

  1. Increased Bank Deposits:
  • Overall Growth: The 12.3% increase in bank deposits indicates a growing confidence in the banking sector and the economy. This growth reflects an increase in savings and financial inclusion, which are crucial for economic stability and growth.
  • Dar es Salaam Dominance: With 59.4% of the total deposits, Dar es Salaam's leading position highlights its role as the economic hub of Tanzania. The concentration of deposits in this zone suggests robust economic activities and higher income levels.
  • Regional Growth: Significant growth in regions like the Lake Zone (46.1%) and the Southern Highlands (21.3%) suggests economic diversification and development beyond the primary economic centers. This could indicate growing economic opportunities and infrastructure development in these regions.
  1. Increased Bank Loans:
  • Overall Growth: A 21% increase in bank loans signifies an expanding credit market, which supports business growth, entrepreneurship, and investment in various economic activities. This is a positive indicator of economic dynamism and a supportive policy environment.
  • Sectoral Distribution: With 68.3% of loans going to personal, trade, agriculture, and manufacturing activities, this distribution reflects balanced growth across essential economic sectors. It suggests a focus on sectors that can drive economic growth and create jobs.
  • Central Zone's Growth: The Central Zone's remarkable 57.1% growth in loans highlights significant economic activities and development in this region, which could be driven by new investments, agricultural expansion, or industrial activities.
  1. Regional Economic Disparities and Development:
  • Dar es Salaam's Dominance: Despite growth in other regions, Dar es Salaam remains the dominant economic zone. This concentration highlights the need for policies to ensure balanced regional development to prevent over-reliance on one region.
  • Emerging Regions: The notable growth in deposits and loans in regions like the Lake Zone and Central Zone indicates emerging economic opportunities. This regional development can reduce economic disparities and promote inclusive growth.
  1. Economic Policy Implications:
  • Supportive Policies: The growth in loans suggests effective and supportive government policies that encourage lending and economic activities. These policies may include improved business environments, better regulatory frameworks, and targeted economic programs.
  • Financial Inclusion: The increase in bank deposits, especially through financial education and innovative products, reflects efforts to enhance financial inclusion. Greater financial inclusion can lead to more equitable economic development and poverty reduction.
  1. Future Economic Prospects:
  • Sustained Growth: The continuous increase in deposits and loans suggests that Tanzania is on a growth trajectory. Sustained economic policies, infrastructure development, and investment in key sectors will be crucial to maintain this growth.
  • Investment Opportunities: The growing loan market indicates expanding investment opportunities in Tanzania. Sectors such as agriculture, trade, manufacturing, and personal finance are likely to attract more investments, fostering further economic development.

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